UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Hradec Králové vs Tromso: 3-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Hradec Králové 3-1 Tromso. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Hradec Králové at 52%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
Match analysis
Hradec Králové and Tromso met on Thursday, July 30, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Malsovicka arena, Hradec Kralove. Before kick-off, our model gave Hradec Králové a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tromso 23%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Hradec Králové are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 11 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Tromso have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Hradec Králové therefore arrive in far better shape than Tromso. On average Hradec Králové score 2.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Tromso score 1.20 and concede 0.60.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Hradec Králové, 0 for Tromso and 0 draws. The most recent ended Tromso 0-1 Hradec Králové (Jul 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Hradec Králové or draw" stands at 77%, "Tromso or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Hradec Králové – Tromso. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Hradec Králové 1-1 Tromso | 11.7% |
| Hradec Králové 1-0 Tromso | 11.5% |
| Hradec Králové 2-1 Tromso | 9.6% |
| Hradec Králové 2-0 Tromso | 9.4% |
| Hradec Králové 0-1 Tromso | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.64 expected goals for Hradec Králové and 1.02 for Tromso, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Hradec Králové keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Tromso in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Hradec Králové expected goals | 1.64 |
| Tromso expected goals | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Hradec Králové clean sheet | 36% |
| Tromso clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Hradec Králové
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Tromso · UEFA Europa League | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 10, 2026 | FC Nordsjaelland · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Sparta Praha II · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Chrudim · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka · Club Friendlies | 4-3 | W |
Tromso
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Hradec Králové · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Orgryte IS · Club Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Start · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Lillestrom · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Viking · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Tromso 0-1 Hradec Králové | UEFA Europa League |
Out and doubtful
Hradec Králové
No absences reported.
Tromso
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Sheriff TiraspolJul 30, 2026
- Pafos 2-0 HNK Hajduk SplitJul 30, 2026
- FC Midtjylland 0-2 BeşiktaşJul 30, 2026
- PAOK 2-0 Dynamo KyivJul 30, 2026
- CSKA Sofia 0-0 QarabagJul 30, 2026
- Anderlecht 3-1 Hammarby FFJul 30, 2026
- Ferencvarosi TC 2-2 TwenteJul 30, 2026
- Benfica 5-0 FC ST. GallenJul 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Hradec Králové vs Tromso prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Hradec Králové a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tromso 23%. Hradec Králové are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Hradec Králové vs Tromso?
1-1 (11.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Hradec Králové vs Tromso?
The probability that both Hradec Králové and Tromso score is 52%. Hradec Králové have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Tromso 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Hradec Králové vs Tromso?
The model expects 2.66 goals (1.64 for Hradec Králové, 1.02 for Tromso). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Hradec Králové vs Tromso played?
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Malsovicka arena, Hradec Kralove.
What form are Hradec Králové and Tromso in?
Hradec Králové: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 4 conceded). Tromso: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Hradec Králové and Tromso?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Hradec Králové, 0 for Tromso and 0 draws. The most recent ended Tromso 0-1 Hradec Králové (Jul 23, 2026).
What was the Hradec Králové vs Tromso result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Hradec Králové 3-1 Tromso. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Hradec Králové at 52%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.2%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
How is the Hradec Králové vs Tromso prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.64 for Hradec Králové, 1.02 for Tromso) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Hradec Králové predictions
- All Tromso predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology