UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, July 30, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: FC Midtjylland 0-2 Beşiktaş. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FC Midtjylland (50%), while victory for Beşiktaş was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.7%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
Match analysis
FC Midtjylland and Beşiktaş met on Thursday, July 30, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: MCH Arena, Herning. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Midtjylland a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Beşiktaş 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (10.2%) and 0-1 (9.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, FC Midtjylland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 5. Beşiktaş have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 6. FC Midtjylland therefore arrive in far better shape than Beşiktaş. On average FC Midtjylland score 2.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Beşiktaş score 0.80 and concede 1.20.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FC Midtjylland, 1 for Beşiktaş and 0 draws. The most recent ended Beşiktaş 1-0 FC Midtjylland (Jul 23, 2026). FC Midtjylland out or doubtful: O. Diao, M. Gogorza and Junior Brumado. In double chance terms, "FC Midtjylland or draw" stands at 74%, "Beşiktaş or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as FC Midtjylland – Beşiktaş. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland 1-1 Beşiktaş | 12.5% |
| FC Midtjylland 1-0 Beşiktaş | 10.2% |
| FC Midtjylland 0-1 Beşiktaş | 9.2% |
| FC Midtjylland 2-1 Beşiktaş | 8.5% |
| FC Midtjylland 1-2 Beşiktaş | 7.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.36 expected goals for FC Midtjylland and 1.23 for Beşiktaş, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 53%. FC Midtjylland keep a clean sheet in 29% of scenarios, Beşiktaş in 26%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland expected goals | 1.36 |
| Beşiktaş expected goals | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| FC Midtjylland clean sheet | 29% |
| Beşiktaş clean sheet | 26% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
FC Midtjylland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Beşiktaş · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Cardiff · Club Friendlies | 6-0 | W |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Silkeborg · Club Friendlies | 4-2 | W |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Malmo FF · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Lillestrom · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Beşiktaş
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Midtjylland · UEFA Europa League | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Spartak Trnava · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Malženice · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Widzew Łódź · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Jul 5, 2026 | MTE 1904 · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Beşiktaş 1-0 FC Midtjylland | UEFA Europa League |
Out and doubtful
FC Midtjylland
- O. Diao (out)
- M. Gogorza (out)
- Junior Brumado (out)
Beşiktaş
No absences reported.
Other matches in this competition
- Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Sheriff TiraspolJul 30, 2026
- Hradec Králové 3-1 TromsoJul 30, 2026
- Pafos 2-0 HNK Hajduk SplitJul 30, 2026
- PAOK 2-0 Dynamo KyivJul 30, 2026
- CSKA Sofia 0-0 QarabagJul 30, 2026
- Anderlecht 3-1 Hammarby FFJul 30, 2026
- Ferencvarosi TC 2-2 TwenteJul 30, 2026
- Benfica 5-0 FC ST. GallenJul 30, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave FC Midtjylland a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Beşiktaş 26%. FC Midtjylland are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş?
1-1 (12.5%), followed by 1-0 (10.2%), 0-1 (9.2%), 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.7%).
Will both teams score in FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş?
The probability that both FC Midtjylland and Beşiktaş score is 53%. FC Midtjylland have a 29% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Beşiktaş 26%.
How many goals should we expect in FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş?
The model expects 2.59 goals (1.36 for FC Midtjylland, 1.23 for Beşiktaş). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş played?
Thursday, July 30, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: MCH Arena, Herning.
What form are FC Midtjylland and Beşiktaş in?
FC Midtjylland: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 5 conceded). Beşiktaş: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Midtjylland and Beşiktaş?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for FC Midtjylland, 1 for Beşiktaş and 0 draws. The most recent ended Beşiktaş 1-0 FC Midtjylland (Jul 23, 2026).
What was the FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: FC Midtjylland 0-2 Beşiktaş. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for FC Midtjylland (50%), while victory for Beşiktaş was rated at only 26%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.7%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (53%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
How is the FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.36 for FC Midtjylland, 1.23 for Beşiktaş) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All FC Midtjylland predictions
- All Beşiktaş predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology

