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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 19:30 (UK time)

Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty: 3-0 result and AI prediction review

AnderlechtAnderlecht3 – 0Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 3-0

Final score: Anderlecht 3-0 Kairat Almaty. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Anderlecht at 85%. The exact score 3-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (10.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (77%): correct.

Match analysis

Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty met on Thursday, August 27, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Lotto Park, Brussels. Before kick-off, our model gave Anderlecht a 85% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Kairat Almaty 5%. On the correct score, 3-0 comes out on top (10.3%), followed by 2-0 (9.5%) and 4-0 (8.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, Anderlecht have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Kairat Almaty have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 6. Anderlecht therefore arrive in far better shape than Kairat Almaty. On average Anderlecht score 1.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Kairat Almaty score 0.20 and concede 1.20.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Anderlecht, 0 for Kairat Almaty and 0 draws. The most recent ended Kairat Almaty 0-3 Anderlecht (Aug 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "Anderlecht or draw" stands at 95%, "Kairat Almaty or draw" at 15% and "no draw" at 90%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

85%
Anderlecht (Win)
10%
Draw
5%
Kairat Almaty (Win)

Double chance

95%
Anderlecht or draw
15%
Kairat Almaty or draw
90%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Anderlecht – Kairat Almaty. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (10.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Anderlecht 3-0 Kairat Almaty10.3%
Anderlecht 2-0 Kairat Almaty9.5%
Anderlecht 4-0 Kairat Almaty8.5%
Anderlecht 3-1 Kairat Almaty7.9%
Anderlecht 2-1 Kairat Almaty7.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 3.28 expected goals for Anderlecht and 0.76 for Kairat Almaty, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 77% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Goals look likely in this one. Anderlecht keep a clean sheet in 47% of scenarios, Kairat Almaty in 4%.

Probability
Anderlecht expected goals3.28
Kairat Almaty expected goals0.76
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Anderlecht clean sheet47%
Kairat Almaty clean sheet4%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Anderlecht

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Kairat Almaty · UEFA Europa League3-0W
Aug 16, 2026SK Beveren · Jupiler Pro League0-1L
Aug 13, 2026PAOK · UEFA Europa League3-2W
Aug 9, 2026RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League2-1W
Aug 6, 2026PAOK · UEFA Europa League1-0W

Kairat Almaty

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Anderlecht · UEFA Europa League0-3L
Aug 11, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Aug 4, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 29, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 22, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Champions League0-1L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Kairat Almaty 0-3 AnderlechtUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

Anderlecht

No absences reported.

Kairat Almaty

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Anderlecht a 85% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Kairat Almaty 5%. Anderlecht are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?

3-0 (10.3%), followed by 2-0 (9.5%), 4-0 (8.5%), 3-1 (7.9%) and 2-1 (7.2%).

Will both teams score in Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?

The probability that both Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty score is 51%. Anderlecht have a 47% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kairat Almaty 4%.

How many goals should we expect in Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty?

The model expects 4.04 goals (3.28 for Anderlecht, 0.76 for Kairat Almaty). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 91%, over 2.5 goals 77%, over 3.5 goals 57%.

When and where is Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 19:30 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Lotto Park, Brussels.

What form are Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty in?

Anderlecht: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded). Kairat Almaty: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Anderlecht and Kairat Almaty?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Anderlecht, 0 for Kairat Almaty and 0 draws. The most recent ended Kairat Almaty 0-3 Anderlecht (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Anderlecht 3-0 Kairat Almaty. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Anderlecht at 85%. The exact score 3-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (10.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (77%): correct.

How is the Anderlecht vs Kairat Almaty prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.28 for Anderlecht, 0.76 for Kairat Almaty) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained