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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris1 – 0BeşiktaşBeşiktaş

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 Beşiktaş. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Beşiktaş (61%), while victory for Kauno Žalgiris was rated at only 8%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (10.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): correct.

Match analysis

Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş was played on Thursday, August 27, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas, Kaunas. Before kick-off, our model gave Kauno Žalgiris a 8% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Beşiktaş 61%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.0%), ahead of 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-0 (10.4%).

Kauno Žalgiris have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Beşiktaş have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 1. Recent momentum is clearly with Beşiktaş. On average Kauno Žalgiris score 0.40 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Beşiktaş score 1.20 and concede 0.20.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Kauno Žalgiris, 1 for Beşiktaş and 0 draws. The most recent ended Beşiktaş 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris (Aug 20, 2026). Beşiktaş: L. Trossard. In double chance terms, "Kauno Žalgiris or draw" stands at 39%, "Beşiktaş or draw" at 92% and "no draw" at 69%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

8%
Kauno Žalgiris (Win)
31%
Draw
61%
Beşiktaş (Win)

Double chance

39%
Kauno Žalgiris or draw
92%
Beşiktaş or draw
69%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Kauno Žalgiris – Beşiktaş. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Kauno Žalgiris 1-1 Beşiktaş13.0%
Kauno Žalgiris 0-1 Beşiktaş11.1%
Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 Beşiktaş10.4%
Kauno Žalgiris 0-0 Beşiktaş8.9%
Kauno Žalgiris 1-2 Beşiktaş8.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.42 goals in total (1.17 for Kauno Žalgiris, 1.25 for Beşiktaş): over 2.5 goals has a 44% probability and both teams to score 49%. Kauno Žalgiris keep a clean sheet in 29% of scenarios, Beşiktaş in 31%.

Probability
Kauno Žalgiris expected goals1.17
Beşiktaş expected goals1.25
Both teams to score49%
Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet29%
Beşiktaş clean sheet31%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Kauno Žalgiris

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Beşiktaş · UEFA Europa League0-3L
Aug 11, 2026Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Champions League1-2L
Aug 4, 2026Dinamo Zagreb · UEFA Champions League0-5L
Jul 29, 2026KI Klaksvik · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jul 21, 2026KI Klaksvik · UEFA Champions League0-0D

Beşiktaş

DateOpponentScore
Aug 23, 2026Alanyaspor · Süper Lig0-1L
Aug 20, 2026Kauno Žalgiris · UEFA Europa League3-0W
Aug 16, 2026Eyüpspor · Süper Lig1-0W
Aug 13, 2026Hradec Králové · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Aug 6, 2026Hradec Králové · UEFA Europa League1-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Beşiktaş 3-0 Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

Kauno Žalgiris

No absences reported.

Beşiktaş

  • L. Trossard (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Kauno Žalgiris a 8% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Beşiktaş 61%. Beşiktaş are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş?

1-1 (13.0%), followed by 0-1 (11.1%), 1-0 (10.4%), 0-0 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.1%).

Will both teams score in Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş?

The probability that both Kauno Žalgiris and Beşiktaş score is 49%. Kauno Žalgiris have a 29% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Beşiktaş 31%.

How many goals should we expect in Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş?

The model expects 2.42 goals (1.17 for Kauno Žalgiris, 1.25 for Beşiktaş). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 70%, over 2.5 goals 44%, over 3.5 goals 23%.

When and where is Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Steponas Darius and Stasys Girenas, Kaunas.

What form are Kauno Žalgiris and Beşiktaş in?

Kauno Žalgiris: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 10 conceded). Beşiktaş: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 1 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Kauno Žalgiris and Beşiktaş?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Kauno Žalgiris, 1 for Beşiktaş and 0 draws. The most recent ended Beşiktaş 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 Beşiktaş. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Beşiktaş (61%), while victory for Kauno Žalgiris was rated at only 8%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (10.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (44%): correct.

How is the Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.17 for Kauno Žalgiris, 1.25 for Beşiktaş) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained