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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden: 4-2 result and AI prediction review

Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia4 – 2St. TruidenSt. Truiden

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-2

Final score: Omonia Nicosia 4-2 St. Truiden. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for St. Truiden (59%), while victory for Omonia Nicosia was rated at only 21%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (65%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (69%): correct.

Match analysis

Omonia Nicosia and St. Truiden met on Thursday, August 27, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: GSP Stadium, Nicosia. Before kick-off, our model gave Omonia Nicosia a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and St. Truiden 59%. On the correct score, 1-2 comes out on top (9.5%), followed by 1-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, Omonia Nicosia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 3. St. Truiden have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Omonia Nicosia score 0.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; St. Truiden score 1.00 and concede 1.60.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Omonia Nicosia, 1 for St. Truiden and 0 draws. The most recent ended St. Truiden 1-0 Omonia Nicosia (Aug 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "Omonia Nicosia or draw" stands at 41%, "St. Truiden or draw" at 79% and "no draw" at 80%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

21%
Omonia Nicosia (Win)
20%
Draw
59%
St. Truiden (Win)

Double chance

41%
Omonia Nicosia or draw
79%
St. Truiden or draw
80%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Omonia Nicosia – St. Truiden. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (9.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Omonia Nicosia 1-2 St. Truiden9.5%
Omonia Nicosia 1-1 St. Truiden8.4%
Omonia Nicosia 0-2 St. Truiden7.3%
Omonia Nicosia 1-3 St. Truiden7.1%
Omonia Nicosia 0-1 St. Truiden6.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.30 expected goals for Omonia Nicosia and 2.25 for St. Truiden, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 69% and "both teams to score" at 65%. Goals look likely in this one. Omonia Nicosia keep a clean sheet in 11% of scenarios, St. Truiden in 27%.

Probability
Omonia Nicosia expected goals1.30
St. Truiden expected goals2.25
Both teams to score65%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Omonia Nicosia clean sheet11%
St. Truiden clean sheet27%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Omonia Nicosia

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026St. Truiden · UEFA Europa League0-1L
Aug 13, 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Aug 6, 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Jul 29, 2026Kairat Almaty · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 22, 2026Kairat Almaty · UEFA Champions League1-0W

St. Truiden

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Europa League1-0W
Aug 14, 2026Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League3-3D
Aug 8, 2026Lommel United · Jupiler Pro League1-1D
Aug 2, 2026AEK Athens FC · Club Friendlies0-3L
Aug 1, 2026Helmond Sport · Club Friendlies0-1L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026St. Truiden 1-0 Omonia NicosiaUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

Omonia Nicosia

No absences reported.

St. Truiden

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Omonia Nicosia a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and St. Truiden 59%. St. Truiden are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden?

1-2 (9.5%), followed by 1-1 (8.4%), 0-2 (7.3%), 1-3 (7.1%) and 0-1 (6.5%).

Will both teams score in Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden?

The probability that both Omonia Nicosia and St. Truiden score is 65%. Omonia Nicosia have a 11% chance of keeping a clean sheet, St. Truiden 27%.

How many goals should we expect in Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden?

The model expects 3.55 goals (1.30 for Omonia Nicosia, 2.25 for St. Truiden). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 87%, over 2.5 goals 69%, over 3.5 goals 47%.

When and where is Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: GSP Stadium, Nicosia.

What form are Omonia Nicosia and St. Truiden in?

Omonia Nicosia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 3 conceded). St. Truiden: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Omonia Nicosia and St. Truiden?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Omonia Nicosia, 1 for St. Truiden and 0 draws. The most recent ended St. Truiden 1-0 Omonia Nicosia (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Omonia Nicosia 4-2 St. Truiden. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for St. Truiden (59%), while victory for Omonia Nicosia was rated at only 21%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (65%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (69%): correct.

How is the Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.30 for Omonia Nicosia, 2.25 for St. Truiden) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained