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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia1 – 0Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Ararat-Armenia 1-0 Universitatea Craiova. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Ararat-Armenia at 51%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

Match analysis

Ararat-Armenia and Universitatea Craiova met on Thursday, August 27, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan. Before kick-off, our model gave Ararat-Armenia a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Universitatea Craiova 24%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, Ararat-Armenia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Universitatea Craiova have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Ararat-Armenia score 1.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Universitatea Craiova score 1.20 and concede 1.20.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Ararat-Armenia, 0 for Universitatea Craiova and 1 draw. The most recent ended Universitatea Craiova 1-1 Ararat-Armenia (Aug 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "Ararat-Armenia or draw" stands at 76%, "Universitatea Craiova or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

51%
Ararat-Armenia (Win)
25%
Draw
24%
Universitatea Craiova (Win)

Double chance

76%
Ararat-Armenia or draw
49%
Universitatea Craiova or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Ararat-Armenia – Universitatea Craiova. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Ararat-Armenia 1-1 Universitatea Craiova11.8%
Ararat-Armenia 1-0 Universitatea Craiova11.4%
Ararat-Armenia 2-1 Universitatea Craiova9.5%
Ararat-Armenia 2-0 Universitatea Craiova9.3%
Ararat-Armenia 0-1 Universitatea Craiova7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.62 expected goals for Ararat-Armenia and 1.03 for Universitatea Craiova, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Ararat-Armenia keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Universitatea Craiova in 20%.

Probability
Ararat-Armenia expected goals1.62
Universitatea Craiova expected goals1.03
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Ararat-Armenia clean sheet36%
Universitatea Craiova clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Ararat-Armenia

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Universitatea Craiova · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Aug 11, 2026Celje · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Aug 4, 2026Celje · UEFA Champions League2-1W
Jul 28, 2026Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Champions League1-2L
Jul 21, 2026Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Champions League2-0W

Universitatea Craiova

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Aug 13, 2026KuPS · UEFA Europa League2-1W
Aug 6, 2026KuPS · UEFA Europa League1-1D
Jul 29, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League2-2D
Jul 22, 2026Levski Sofia · UEFA Champions League0-1L

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Universitatea Craiova 1-1 Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

Ararat-Armenia

No absences reported.

Universitatea Craiova

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Ararat-Armenia a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Universitatea Craiova 24%. Ararat-Armenia are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova?

1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova?

The probability that both Ararat-Armenia and Universitatea Craiova score is 52%. Ararat-Armenia have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Universitatea Craiova 20%.

How many goals should we expect in Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova?

The model expects 2.65 goals (1.62 for Ararat-Armenia, 1.03 for Universitatea Craiova). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan.

What form are Ararat-Armenia and Universitatea Craiova in?

Ararat-Armenia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded). Universitatea Craiova: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Ararat-Armenia and Universitatea Craiova?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Ararat-Armenia, 0 for Universitatea Craiova and 1 draw. The most recent ended Universitatea Craiova 1-1 Ararat-Armenia (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Ararat-Armenia 1-0 Universitatea Craiova. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Ararat-Armenia at 51%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (11.4%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

How is the Ararat-Armenia vs Universitatea Craiova prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for Ararat-Armenia, 1.03 for Universitatea Craiova) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained