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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda: 5-1 result and AI prediction review

PlzenPlzen5 – 1FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Plzen 5-1 FK Crvena Zvezda. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Plzen at 49%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

Plzen and FK Crvena Zvezda met on Thursday, August 27, 2026, a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Stadion Mesta Plzne, Plzen. Before kick-off, our model gave Plzen a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Crvena Zvezda 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Plzen have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 12. Over their last 5 matches, FK Crvena Zvezda have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 3. FK Crvena Zvezda therefore arrive in far better shape than Plzen. On average Plzen score 1.80 and concede 2.40 goals per game; FK Crvena Zvezda score 2.40 and concede 0.60.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Plzen, 1 for FK Crvena Zvezda and 0 draws. The most recent ended FK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 Plzen (Aug 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "Plzen or draw" stands at 74%, "FK Crvena Zvezda or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

49%
Plzen (Win)
25%
Draw
26%
FK Crvena Zvezda (Win)

Double chance

74%
Plzen or draw
51%
FK Crvena Zvezda or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Plzen – FK Crvena Zvezda. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Plzen 1-1 FK Crvena Zvezda12.0%
Plzen 1-0 FK Crvena Zvezda11.2%
Plzen 2-1 FK Crvena Zvezda9.4%
Plzen 2-0 FK Crvena Zvezda8.8%
Plzen 0-1 FK Crvena Zvezda7.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.56 expected goals for Plzen and 1.07 for FK Crvena Zvezda, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Plzen keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, FK Crvena Zvezda in 21%.

Probability
Plzen expected goals1.56
FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals1.07
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Plzen clean sheet34%
FK Crvena Zvezda clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Plzen

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Europa League0-3L
Jul 10, 2026BSC Young Boys · Club Friendlies3-5L
Jul 7, 2026FC Copenhagen · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jul 1, 2026Spartak Trnava · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jun 27, 2026Artis · Club Friendlies4-2W

FK Crvena Zvezda

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Plzen · UEFA Europa League3-0W
Aug 11, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Champions League0-2L
Aug 4, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Champions League0-1L
Jul 29, 2026Larne · UEFA Champions League5-0W
Jul 21, 2026Larne · UEFA Champions League4-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 PlzenUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

Plzen

No absences reported.

FK Crvena Zvezda

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Plzen a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Crvena Zvezda 26%. Plzen are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.8%) and 0-1 (7.7%).

Will both teams score in Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

The probability that both Plzen and FK Crvena Zvezda score is 52%. Plzen have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FK Crvena Zvezda 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda?

The model expects 2.63 goals (1.56 for Plzen, 1.07 for FK Crvena Zvezda). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Stadion Mesta Plzne, Plzen.

What form are Plzen and FK Crvena Zvezda in?

Plzen: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 12 conceded). FK Crvena Zvezda: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Plzen and FK Crvena Zvezda?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Plzen, 1 for FK Crvena Zvezda and 0 draws. The most recent ended FK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 Plzen (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Plzen 5-1 FK Crvena Zvezda. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Plzen at 49%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the Plzen vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.56 for Plzen, 1.07 for FK Crvena Zvezda) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained