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UEFA Europa LeagueUEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, August 27, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 2-1 result and AI prediction review

LillestromLillestrom2 – 1Egnatia RrogozhinëEgnatia Rrogozhinë

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Lillestrom 2-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Lillestrom was the model's favourite outcome (47%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.

Match analysis

Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë was played on Thursday, August 27, 2026 (UEFA Europa League). Venue: Åråsen, Lillestrøm. Before kick-off, our model gave Lillestrom a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 27%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.2%), ahead of 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.3%).

Lillestrom have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 6. Egnatia Rrogozhinë have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 10 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Lillestrom score 1.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Egnatia Rrogozhinë score 2.00 and concede 1.60.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Lillestrom, 0 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 1 draw. The most recent ended Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 Lillestrom (Aug 20, 2026). In double chance terms, "Lillestrom or draw" stands at 73%, "Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw" at 53% and "no draw" at 74%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

47%
Lillestrom (Win)
26%
Draw
27%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë (Win)

Double chance

73%
Lillestrom or draw
53%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Lillestrom – Egnatia Rrogozhinë. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Lillestrom 1-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë12.2%
Lillestrom 1-0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë11.2%
Lillestrom 2-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë9.3%
Lillestrom 2-0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë8.5%
Lillestrom 0-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë8.0%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.61 goals in total (1.52 for Lillestrom, 1.09 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. Lillestrom keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Egnatia Rrogozhinë in 22%.

Probability
Lillestrom expected goals1.52
Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected goals1.09
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Lillestrom clean sheet34%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë clean sheet22%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Lillestrom

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Jul 3, 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF · Club Friendlies3-1W
Jun 26, 2026Degerfors IF · Club Friendlies2-3L
Jun 20, 2026FC Midtjylland · Club Friendlies0-1L
Mar 27, 2026Orgryte IS · Club Friendlies0-1L

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

DateOpponentScore
Aug 20, 2026Lillestrom · UEFA Europa League0-0D
Aug 13, 2026Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Europa League5-1W
Aug 4, 2026Shamrock Rovers · UEFA Europa League1-3L
Jul 28, 2026Celje · UEFA Champions League1-1D
Jul 22, 2026Celje · UEFA Champions League3-3D

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 LillestromUEFA Europa League

Out and doubtful

Lillestrom

No absences reported.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Lillestrom a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 27%. Lillestrom are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.3%), 2-0 (8.5%) and 0-1 (8.0%).

Will both teams score in Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

The probability that both Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë score is 52%. Lillestrom have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 22%.

How many goals should we expect in Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

The model expects 2.61 goals (1.52 for Lillestrom, 1.09 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë played?

Thursday, August 27, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Åråsen, Lillestrøm.

What form are Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë in?

Lillestrom: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded). Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Lillestrom and Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Lillestrom, 0 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 1 draw. The most recent ended Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0-0 Lillestrom (Aug 20, 2026).

What was the Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Lillestrom 2-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Lillestrom was the model's favourite outcome (47%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (9.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.

How is the Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.52 for Lillestrom, 1.09 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained