UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Europa League: Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen kicks off on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). Venue: Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb. The edge goes to Dinamo Zagreb (52%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a NEC Nijmegen win (23%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (12.4%), ahead of 1-1 (12.0%) and 2-0 (9.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Dinamo Zagreb have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 6. NEC Nijmegen have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 14. Recent momentum is clearly with Dinamo Zagreb. On average Dinamo Zagreb score 2.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; NEC Nijmegen score 0.80 and concede 2.80. In the table, Dinamo Zagreb sit 19th with 1 points from 1 games, NEC Nijmegen 36th with 0 points from 1. 17 places separate the two sides.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Dinamo Zagreb or draw" stands at 77%, "NEC Nijmegen or draw" at 48% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Dinamo Zagreb are tipped by our AI model in this Dinamo Zagreb v NEC Nijmegen (52%). In the table, Dinamo Zagreb (19th, 1 pts) host NEC Nijmegen (36th, 0 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Dinamo Zagreb – NEC Nijmegen. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 NEC Nijmegen | 12.4% |
| Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 NEC Nijmegen | 12.0% |
| Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 NEC Nijmegen | 9.7% |
| Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 NEC Nijmegen | 9.4% |
| Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 NEC Nijmegen | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.54 goals in total (1.57 for Dinamo Zagreb, 0.97 for NEC Nijmegen): over 2.5 goals has a 47% probability and both teams to score 49%. Dinamo Zagreb keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, NEC Nijmegen in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb expected goals | 1.57 |
| NEC Nijmegen expected goals | 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet | 38% |
| NEC Nijmegen clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Dinamo Zagreb
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · HNL | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva · UEFA Europa League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | NK Osijek · HNL | 2-4 | L |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Bedem Ivankovo · Cup | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | HNK Gorica · HNL | 1-0 | W |
NEC Nijmegen
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventus · UEFA Europa League | 0-5 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cambuur · Eredivisie | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Excelsior · Eredivisie | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Feyenoord · Eredivisie | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb | 19 | 1 | 1 |
| NEC Nijmegen | 36 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Dinamo Zagreb
No absences reported.
NEC Nijmegen
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Dinamo Zagreb
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Hoxha3/4
- D. Kotarski3/4
- L. Stojkovic3/4
- S. Dominguez3/4
- S. McKenna3/4
- J. Misic2/4
- M. Lisica2/4
- M. Perez Vinlof2/4
- M. Valincic2/4
- M. Zajc2/4
- B. Goda1/4
NEC Nijmegen
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- T. Storm5/5
- N. Lebreton4/5
- T. Chery4/5
- A. Thomas3/5
- B. Linssen3/5
- D. Nejasmic3/5
- D. Tadic3/5
- N. Polster3/5
- A. Kabar2/5
- A. Tahaui2/5
- B. Nuytinck2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction?
Our AI gives Dinamo Zagreb a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and NEC Nijmegen 23%. Dinamo Zagreb are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
1-0 (12.4%), followed by 1-1 (12.0%), 2-0 (9.7%), 2-1 (9.4%) and 0-0 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
The probability that both Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen score is 49%. Dinamo Zagreb have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, NEC Nijmegen 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
The model expects 2.54 goals (1.57 for Dinamo Zagreb, 0.97 for NEC Nijmegen). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 47%, over 3.5 goals 25%.
When and where is Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen played?
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb.
What form are Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen in?
Dinamo Zagreb: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded). NEC Nijmegen: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 14 conceded).
How is the Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.57 for Dinamo Zagreb, 0.97 for NEC Nijmegen) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Dinamo Zagreb predictions
- All NEC Nijmegen predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology