UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
1899 Hoffenheim take on Lyon on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: SNP Arena, Sinsheim. Our model makes Lyon clear favourites: a 84% chance of winning, against 10% for the draw and 6% for 1899 Hoffenheim. On the correct score, 0-3 comes out on top (9.0%), followed by 0-2 (8.1%) and 1-3 (8.0%).
1899 Hoffenheim have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 12. Lyon are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 10 and conceding 3. Lyon therefore arrive in far better shape than 1899 Hoffenheim. On average 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.40 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Lyon score 2.00 and concede 0.60. In the table, 1899 Hoffenheim sit 29th with 0 points from 1 games, Lyon 11th with 3 points from 1. 18 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, 1899 Hoffenheim have averaged 1.52 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.96 for Lyon.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for 1899 Hoffenheim, 0 for Lyon and 3 draws. The most recent ended 1899 Hoffenheim 2-2 Lyon (Nov 7, 2024). 1899 Hoffenheim out or doubtful: Bernardo (doubtful) and A. Hajdari (doubtful). Lyon: M. Niakhate. In double chance terms, "1899 Hoffenheim or draw" stands at 16%, "Lyon or draw" at 94% and "no draw" at 90%.
In short : Lyon are tipped by our AI model in this 1899 Hoffenheim v Lyon (84%). In the table, 1899 Hoffenheim (29th, 0 pts) host Lyon (11th, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-3.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as 1899 Hoffenheim – Lyon. 0-3 is the single most likely scoreline (9.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 40% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim 0-3 Lyon | 9.0% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim 0-2 Lyon | 8.1% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim 1-3 Lyon | 8.0% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim 0-4 Lyon | 7.5% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim 1-2 Lyon | 7.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.89 expected goals for 1899 Hoffenheim and 3.34 for Lyon, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 79% and "both teams to score" at 57%. Goals look likely in this one. 1899 Hoffenheim keep a clean sheet in 4% of scenarios, Lyon in 41%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim expected goals | 0.89 |
| Lyon expected goals | 3.34 |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 61% |
| 1899 Hoffenheim clean sheet | 4% |
| Lyon clean sheet | 41% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
1899 Hoffenheim
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07 · Bundesliga | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 17, 2026 | OFI · UEFA Europa League | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga | 2-3 | L |
Lyon
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rennes · Ligue 1 | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Anderlecht · UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Paris FC · Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Auxerre · Ligue 1 | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Le Havre · Ligue 1 | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 29 | 0 | 1 |
| Lyon | 11 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1899 Hoffenheim 2-2 Lyon | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 7, 2018 | Lyon 2-2 1899 Hoffenheim | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 1899 Hoffenheim 3-3 Lyon | UEFA Champions League |
Out and doubtful
1899 Hoffenheim
- Bernardo (doubtful)
- A. Hajdari (doubtful)
Lyon
- M. Niakhate (out)
Most regular starters
1899 Hoffenheim
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Avdullahu5/5
- O. Baumann5/5
- O. Kabak5/5
- V. Coufal5/5
- W. Burger5/5
- A. Daghim4/5
- A. Hajdari4/5
- M. Rots4/5
- A. Hlozek3/5
- P. Wimmer3/5
- T. Lemperle3/5
Lyon
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Corentin Tolisso3/5
- Dominik Greif3/5
- Ernest Nuamah3/5
- Felix Bacher3/5
- Loïs Openda3/5
- Mads Bidstrup3/5
- Moussa Niakhaté3/5
- Tyler Morton3/5
- Zachary Athekame3/5
- Abner Vinícius2/5
- L. Openda2/5
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Frequently asked questions
What is the 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon prediction?
Our AI gives 1899 Hoffenheim a 6% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Lyon 84%. Lyon are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
0-3 (9.0%), followed by 0-2 (8.1%), 1-3 (8.0%), 0-4 (7.5%) and 1-2 (7.2%).
Will both teams score in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
The probability that both 1899 Hoffenheim and Lyon score is 57%. 1899 Hoffenheim have a 4% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lyon 41%.
How many goals should we expect in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
The model expects 4.23 goals (0.89 for 1899 Hoffenheim, 3.34 for Lyon). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 92%, over 2.5 goals 79%, over 3.5 goals 61%.
When and where is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon played?
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: SNP Arena, Sinsheim.
What form are 1899 Hoffenheim and Lyon in?
1899 Hoffenheim: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 12 conceded). Lyon: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between 1899 Hoffenheim and Lyon?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for 1899 Hoffenheim, 0 for Lyon and 3 draws. The most recent ended 1899 Hoffenheim 2-2 Lyon (Nov 7, 2024).
How is the 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.89 for 1899 Hoffenheim, 3.34 for Lyon) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All 1899 Hoffenheim predictions
- All Lyon predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology