UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Celje take on Red Bull Salzburg on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Europa League fixture. Our model makes Red Bull Salzburg clear favourites: a 64% chance of winning, against 21% for the draw and 15% for Celje. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 0-2 (11.7%) and 1-1 (9.9%).
Celje have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Red Bull Salzburg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 13 and conceding 2. Red Bull Salzburg therefore arrive in far better shape than Celje. On average Celje score 1.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Red Bull Salzburg score 2.60 and concede 0.40. In the table, Celje sit 31st with 0 points from 1 games, Red Bull Salzburg 14th with 3 points from 1. 17 places separate the two sides.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Celje and Red Bull Salzburg: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Celje or draw" stands at 36%, "Red Bull Salzburg or draw" at 85% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Our model backs Red Bull Salzburg to edge Celje (64% probability). On recent form, Celje are struggling (4 losses in 5) while Red Bull Salzburg are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 49%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Celje – Red Bull Salzburg. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Celje 0-1 Red Bull Salzburg | 11.7% |
| Celje 0-2 Red Bull Salzburg | 11.7% |
| Celje 1-1 Red Bull Salzburg | 9.9% |
| Celje 1-2 Red Bull Salzburg | 9.8% |
| Celje 0-3 Red Bull Salzburg | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.84 expected goals for Celje and 1.99 for Red Bull Salzburg, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 54% and "both teams to score" at 49%. Celje keep a clean sheet in 14% of scenarios, Red Bull Salzburg in 43%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Celje expected goals | 0.84 |
| Red Bull Salzburg expected goals | 1.99 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Celje clean sheet | 14% |
| Red Bull Salzburg clean sheet | 43% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Celje
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bravo · 1. SNL | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Koper · 1. SNL | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Aluminij · 1. SNL | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje · 1. SNL | 1-4 | L |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
Red Bull Salzburg
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sturm Graz · Bundesliga | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Levski Sofia · UEFA Europa League | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Ried · Bundesliga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten · Cup | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Rapid Vienna · Bundesliga | 5-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celje | 31 | 0 | 1 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 14 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Celje and Red Bull Salzburg: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Celje
No absences reported.
Red Bull Salzburg
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Celje
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Tutyskinas3/4
- M. Kvesic3/4
- M. Zabukovnik3/4
- P. Sirvys3/4
- S. Seslar3/4
- Z. Leban3/4
- A. Kotnik2/4
- I. Calusic2/4
- L. Koutris2/4
- M. Avdyli2/4
- M. Ivansek2/4
Red Bull Salzburg
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Barry4/4
- B. Mazurek4/4
- D. Schmid4/4
- E. Baidoo4/4
- K. Boma4/4
- N. Veratschnig4/4
- Christian Zawieschitzky3/4
- H. Tabaković3/4
- S. Kitano3/4
- Y. Vertessen3/4
- Valentin Zabransky2/4
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction?
Our AI gives Celje a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Red Bull Salzburg 64%. Red Bull Salzburg are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
0-1 (11.7%), followed by 0-2 (11.7%), 1-1 (9.9%), 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-3 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The probability that both Celje and Red Bull Salzburg score is 49%. Celje have a 14% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Red Bull Salzburg 43%.
How many goals should we expect in Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The model expects 2.83 goals (0.84 for Celje, 1.99 for Red Bull Salzburg). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg played?
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League.
What form are Celje and Red Bull Salzburg in?
Celje: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded). Red Bull Salzburg: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 2 conceded).
How is the Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.84 for Celje, 1.99 for Red Bull Salzburg) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Celje predictions
- All Red Bull Salzburg predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology