UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Europa League: the Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha match is scheduled on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus. With a 73% win probability, Olympiakos Piraeus go in as strong favourites against Sparta Praha (12%), with the draw rated at 15%. The most likely correct score is 2-1 (8.8%), ahead of 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (8.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Olympiakos Piraeus have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Sparta Praha have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 15 and conceding 3. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Olympiakos Piraeus score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Sparta Praha score 3.00 and concede 0.60. In the table, Olympiakos Piraeus sit 13th with 3 points from 1 games, Sparta Praha 3rd with 3 points from 1. 10 places separate the two sides.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Olympiakos Piraeus or draw" stands at 88%, "Sparta Praha or draw" at 27% and "no draw" at 85%.
In short : Olympiakos Piraeus are tipped by our AI model in this Olympiakos Piraeus v Sparta Praha (73%). In the table, Olympiakos Piraeus (13th, 3 pts) host Sparta Praha (3rd, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Olympiakos Piraeus – Sparta Praha. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 40% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus 2-1 Sparta Praha | 8.8% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus 2-0 Sparta Praha | 8.4% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus 3-1 Sparta Praha | 8.2% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus 3-0 Sparta Praha | 7.8% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 Sparta Praha | 6.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.83 goals in total (2.78 for Olympiakos Piraeus, 1.05 for Sparta Praha): over 2.5 goals has a 74% probability and both teams to score 61%. Everything points to an open game. Olympiakos Piraeus keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Sparta Praha in 6%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus expected goals | 2.78 |
| Sparta Praha expected goals | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53% |
| Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet | 35% |
| Sparta Praha clean sheet | 6% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Olympiakos Piraeus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Levadiakos · Super League 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Jagiellonia · UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | OFI · Super League 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Volos NFC · Cup | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Volos NFC · Super League 1 | 1-1 | D |
Sparta Praha
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc · Czech Liga | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Europa League | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FK Jablonec · Czech Liga | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov · Cup | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hradec Králové · Czech Liga | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 13 | 3 | 1 |
| Sparta Praha | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Olympiakos Piraeus
No absences reported.
Sparta Praha
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Olympiakos Piraeus
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Chiquinho4/5
- Jota Silva4/5
- P. Retsos4/5
- S. Ortega4/5
- G. Puerta3/5
- K. Fortounis3/5
- L. Pirola3/5
- M. Pedersen3/5
- N. Tiknizyan3/5
- R. Freuler3/5
- A. Gonzalez2/5
Sparta Praha
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Alcocer4/5
- L. Mbe Soh4/5
- A. Karabec3/5
- J. Brunes3/5
- J. Mercado3/5
- J. Surovcik3/5
- M. Suchomel3/5
- R. Macek3/5
- T. Guddal3/5
- A. Irving2/5
- H. Sochurek2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha prediction?
Our AI gives Olympiakos Piraeus a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Sparta Praha 12%. Olympiakos Piraeus are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?
2-1 (8.8%), followed by 2-0 (8.4%), 3-1 (8.2%), 3-0 (7.8%) and 1-1 (6.3%).
Will both teams score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?
The probability that both Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha score is 61%. Olympiakos Piraeus have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sparta Praha 6%.
How many goals should we expect in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?
The model expects 3.83 goals (2.78 for Olympiakos Piraeus, 1.05 for Sparta Praha). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 74%, over 3.5 goals 53%.
When and where is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha played?
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus.
What form are Olympiakos Piraeus and Sparta Praha in?
Olympiakos Piraeus: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). Sparta Praha: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (15 scored, 3 conceded).
How is the Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.78 for Olympiakos Piraeus, 1.05 for Sparta Praha) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Olympiakos Piraeus predictions
- All Sparta Praha predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology