UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Europa League: the Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica match is scheduled on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: GSP Stadium, Nicosia. The edge goes to Benfica (49%), ahead of the draw (40%) and a Omonia Nicosia win (11%). The most likely correct score is 0-0 (32.3%), ahead of 0-1 (27.8%) and 0-2 (11.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Omonia Nicosia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Benfica have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Omonia Nicosia score 1.80 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Benfica score 2.60 and concede 0.80. In the table, Omonia Nicosia sit 16th with 3 points from 1 games, Benfica 7th with 3 points from 1. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Omonia Nicosia have averaged 0.32 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.74 for Benfica.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Omonia Nicosia and Benfica: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Omonia Nicosia or draw" stands at 51%, "Benfica or draw" at 89% and "no draw" at 60%.
In short : Our model backs Benfica to edge Omonia Nicosia (49% probability). On recent form, Omonia Nicosia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Benfica are in good shape (4 wins in 5). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Omonia Nicosia – Benfica. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (32.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 88% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia 0-0 Benfica | 32.3% |
| Omonia Nicosia 0-1 Benfica | 27.8% |
| Omonia Nicosia 0-2 Benfica | 11.9% |
| Omonia Nicosia 1-0 Benfica | 8.7% |
| Omonia Nicosia 1-1 Benfica | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.13 goals in total (0.27 for Omonia Nicosia, 0.86 for Benfica): over 2.5 goals has a 11% probability and both teams to score 14%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Omonia Nicosia keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Benfica in 76%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia expected goals | 0.27 |
| Benfica expected goals | 0.86 |
| Both teams to score | 14% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 31% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 11% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3% |
| Omonia Nicosia clean sheet | 42% |
| Benfica clean sheet | 76% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Omonia Nicosia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Krasava Ypsonas · 1. Division | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Celta Vigo · UEFA Europa League | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Apollon Limassol · 1. Division | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Aris · 1. Division | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Pafos · Super Cup | 0-1 | L |
Benfica
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Porto · Primeira Liga | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AC Milan · UEFA Europa League | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | GIL Vicente · Primeira Liga | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Moreirense · Primeira Liga | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Maritimo · Primeira Liga | 3-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Omonia Nicosia | 16 | 3 | 1 |
| Benfica | 7 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Omonia Nicosia and Benfica: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Omonia Nicosia
No absences reported.
Benfica
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Omonia Nicosia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Balkovec4/5
- J. Duverne4/5
- J. Montnor4/5
- L. Diony4/5
- M. Tankovic4/5
- P. Andreou4/5
- S. Coulibaly4/5
- M. Mayambela3/5
- Fabiano2/5
- Ľ. Šatka2/5
- M. Maric2/5
Benfica
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Lenglet4/5
- G. Prestianni4/5
- S. Dahl4/5
- T. Araujo4/5
- V. Pavlidis4/5
- D. Banjaqui3/5
- J. Palhinha3/5
- L. Barreiro3/5
- Rafa Silva3/5
- S. Soares3/5
- A. Bah2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica prediction?
Our AI gives Omonia Nicosia a 11% chance of winning, the draw 40% and Benfica 49%. Benfica are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
0-0 (32.3%), followed by 0-1 (27.8%), 0-2 (11.9%), 1-0 (8.7%) and 1-1 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
The probability that both Omonia Nicosia and Benfica score is 14%. Omonia Nicosia have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Benfica 76%.
How many goals should we expect in Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica?
The model expects 1.13 goals (0.27 for Omonia Nicosia, 0.86 for Benfica). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 31%, over 2.5 goals 11%, over 3.5 goals 3%.
When and where is Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica played?
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: GSP Stadium, Nicosia.
What form are Omonia Nicosia and Benfica in?
Omonia Nicosia: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 3 conceded). Benfica: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 4 conceded).
How is the Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.27 for Omonia Nicosia, 0.86 for Benfica) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Omonia Nicosia predictions
- All Benfica predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology