UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Plzen vs Levski Sofia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Europa League: the Plzen vs Levski Sofia match is scheduled on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Doosan Arena, Plzen. The edge goes to Plzen (49%), ahead of the draw (25%) and a Levski Sofia win (26%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.0%), ahead of 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).
Plzen have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Levski Sofia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Plzen score 1.20 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Levski Sofia score 1.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Plzen sit 34th with 0 points from 1 games, Levski Sofia 27th with 0 points from 1. 7 places separate the two sides.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Plzen and Levski Sofia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Plzen or draw" stands at 74%, "Levski Sofia or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Our model backs Plzen to edge Levski Sofia (49% probability). On recent form, Plzen have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Levski Sofia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 52%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Plzen – Levski Sofia. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Plzen 1-1 Levski Sofia | 12.0% |
| Plzen 1-0 Levski Sofia | 11.3% |
| Plzen 2-1 Levski Sofia | 9.4% |
| Plzen 2-0 Levski Sofia | 8.9% |
| Plzen 0-1 Levski Sofia | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.63 goals in total (1.57 for Plzen, 1.06 for Levski Sofia): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Plzen keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Levski Sofia in 21%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Plzen expected goals | 1.57 |
| Levski Sofia expected goals | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Plzen clean sheet | 35% |
| Levski Sofia clean sheet | 21% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Plzen
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Slavia Praha · Czech Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise · UEFA Europa League | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc · Czech Liga | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové · Czech Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Artis · Czech Liga | 3-0 | W |
Levski Sofia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Botev Vratsa · First League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | CSKA Sofia · Super Cup | 2-4 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA 1948 · First League | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Slavia Sofia · First League | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plzen | 34 | 0 | 1 |
| Levski Sofia | 27 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Plzen and Levski Sofia: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Plzen
No absences reported.
Levski Sofia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Plzen
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Wiegele5/5
- A. Memic4/5
- L. Cerv4/5
- M. Doski4/5
- P. Hrosovsky4/5
- S. Dweh4/5
- A. Sojka3/5
- D. Vavro3/5
- P. Adu3/5
- T. Paliscak3/5
- A. Gabriel2/5
Levski Sofia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Trdin5/5
- S. Vutsov5/5
- C. Makoun4/5
- Reinaldo4/5
- Serginho4/5
- A. Mitkov3/5
- A. Oko-Flex3/5
- Everton Bala3/5
- K. Dimitrov3/5
- Maicon3/5
- A. Neves2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Plzen vs Levski Sofia prediction?
Our AI gives Plzen a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Levski Sofia 26%. Plzen are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
The probability that both Plzen and Levski Sofia score is 52%. Plzen have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Levski Sofia 21%.
How many goals should we expect in Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
The model expects 2.63 goals (1.57 for Plzen, 1.06 for Levski Sofia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Plzen vs Levski Sofia played?
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Doosan Arena, Plzen.
What form are Plzen and Levski Sofia in?
Plzen: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 8 conceded). Levski Sofia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).
How is the Plzen vs Levski Sofia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.57 for Plzen, 1.06 for Levski Sofia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Plzen predictions
- All Levski Sofia predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology