UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Celtic take on Celta Vigo on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a UEFA Europa League fixture. Venue: Celtic Park, Glasgow. Celta Vigo start as favourites with a 48% chance of victory; Celtic are given 28% and the draw 24%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.5%), followed by 0-1 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Celtic have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Celta Vigo have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 7 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Celtic score 0.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Celta Vigo score 1.40 and concede 0.60. In the table, Celtic sit 28th with 0 points from 1 games, Celta Vigo 25th with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Celtic and Celta Vigo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Celtic or draw" stands at 52%, "Celta Vigo or draw" at 72% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Celta Vigo are tipped by our AI model in this Celtic v Celta Vigo (48%). In the table, Celtic (28th, 0 pts) host Celta Vigo (25th, 0 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Celtic – Celta Vigo. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Celtic 1-1 Celta Vigo | 11.5% |
| Celtic 0-1 Celta Vigo | 9.5% |
| Celtic 1-2 Celta Vigo | 9.4% |
| Celtic 0-2 Celta Vigo | 7.9% |
| Celtic 1-0 Celta Vigo | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.20 expected goals for Celtic and 1.65 for Celta Vigo, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 54% and "both teams to score" at 57%. Celtic keep a clean sheet in 19% of scenarios, Celta Vigo in 30%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Celtic expected goals | 1.20 |
| Celta Vigo expected goals | 1.65 |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Celtic clean sheet | 19% |
| Celta Vigo clean sheet | 30% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Celtic
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rangers · Premiership | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC · UEFA Europa League | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rangers · League Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 9, 2026 | ST Johnstone · Premiership | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | ST Mirren · Premiership | 2-1 | W |
Celta Vigo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Racing Santander · La Liga | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia · UEFA Europa League | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Getafe · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Real Sociedad · La Liga | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 28 | 0 | 1 |
| Celta Vigo | 25 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Celtic and Celta Vigo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Celtic
No absences reported.
Celta Vigo
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Celtic
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. McGregor5/5
- L. Scales5/5
- M. Baur5/5
- C. Carter-Vickers4/5
- A. Trusty3/5
- B. Nygren3/5
- C. Donovan3/5
- H. Hassan3/5
- K. Tierney3/5
- V. Sinisalo3/5
- C. Duran2/5
Celta Vigo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Radu5/5
- I. Moriba4/5
- M. Alonso4/5
- M. Roman4/5
- F. Jutgla3/5
- S. Carreira3/5
- Y. Lago3/5
- A. Nunez2/5
- C. Starfelt2/5
- H. Gonzalez2/5
- J. Rueda2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Lillestrom – Real SociedadOct 22, 2026
- Omonia Nicosia – BenficaOct 22, 2026
- Bournemouth – AC MilanOct 22, 2026
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction?
Our AI gives Celtic a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celta Vigo 48%. Celta Vigo are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
1-1 (11.5%), followed by 0-1 (9.5%), 1-2 (9.4%), 0-2 (7.9%) and 1-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
The probability that both Celtic and Celta Vigo score is 57%. Celtic have a 19% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Celta Vigo 30%.
How many goals should we expect in Celtic vs Celta Vigo?
The model expects 2.85 goals (1.20 for Celtic, 1.65 for Celta Vigo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is Celtic vs Celta Vigo played?
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Celtic Park, Glasgow.
What form are Celtic and Celta Vigo in?
Celtic: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded). Celta Vigo: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 3 conceded).
How is the Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.20 for Celtic, 1.65 for Celta Vigo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Celtic predictions
- All Celta Vigo predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology