UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Europa League: Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht kicks off on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: Chorten Arena, Bialystok. Anderlecht start as favourites with a 47% chance of victory; Jagiellonia are given 29% and the draw 24%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-1 (9.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Jagiellonia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Anderlecht have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Jagiellonia score 2.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Anderlecht score 1.20 and concede 0.40. In the table, Jagiellonia sit 21st with 0 points from 1 games, Anderlecht 23rd with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Jagiellonia and Anderlecht: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Jagiellonia or draw" stands at 53%, "Anderlecht or draw" at 71% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Anderlecht are favourites for this Jagiellonia v Anderlecht, with a 47% win probability from our model. On recent form, Jagiellonia have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Anderlecht have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Jagiellonia – Anderlecht. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jagiellonia 1-1 Anderlecht | 11.3% |
| Jagiellonia 1-2 Anderlecht | 9.3% |
| Jagiellonia 0-1 Anderlecht | 9.0% |
| Jagiellonia 0-2 Anderlecht | 7.4% |
| Jagiellonia 2-1 Anderlecht | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.26 expected goals for Jagiellonia and 1.65 for Anderlecht, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 56% and "both teams to score" at 58%. Jagiellonia keep a clean sheet in 19% of scenarios, Anderlecht in 28%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Jagiellonia expected goals | 1.26 |
| Anderlecht expected goals | 1.65 |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Jagiellonia clean sheet | 19% |
| Anderlecht clean sheet | 28% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Jagiellonia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Wisla Krakow · Ekstraklasa | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw · Ekstraklasa | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Lech Poznan · Ekstraklasa | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa · Ekstraklasa | 5-2 | W |
| Aug 27, 2026 | FC Iberia 1999 · UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
Anderlecht
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lyon · UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 11, 2026 | KV Mechelen · Jupiler Pro League | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Genk · Jupiler Pro League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Kortrijk · Jupiler Pro League | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia | 21 | 0 | 1 |
| Anderlecht | 23 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Jagiellonia and Anderlecht: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Jagiellonia
No absences reported.
Anderlecht
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Jagiellonia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- N. Prelec5/5
- N. Wojtuszek5/5
- S. Abramowicz5/5
- T. Romanczuk5/5
- K. Szmyt4/5
- A. Klynge3/5
- B. Vital3/5
- G. Montoia3/5
- Y. Kobayashi3/5
- A. Konstantopoulos2/5
- C. Polak2/5
Anderlecht
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Maamar5/5
- C. Coosemans5/5
- L. Augustinsson5/5
- D. Sikan4/5
- L. Petrot4/5
- M. Kana4/5
- G. Biancone3/5
- I. Koutsoupias3/5
- L. Ambros3/5
- M. Winkler3/5
- T. Bentayeb3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction?
Our AI gives Jagiellonia a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Anderlecht 47%. Anderlecht are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
1-1 (11.3%), followed by 1-2 (9.3%), 0-1 (9.0%), 0-2 (7.4%) and 2-1 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
The probability that both Jagiellonia and Anderlecht score is 58%. Jagiellonia have a 19% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Anderlecht 28%.
How many goals should we expect in Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?
The model expects 2.91 goals (1.26 for Jagiellonia, 1.65 for Anderlecht). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, over 3.5 goals 33%.
When and where is Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht played?
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Chorten Arena, Bialystok.
What form are Jagiellonia and Anderlecht in?
Jagiellonia: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 8 conceded). Anderlecht: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 2 conceded).
How is the Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.26 for Jagiellonia, 1.65 for Anderlecht) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Jagiellonia predictions
- All Anderlecht predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology