UEFA Europa League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 22, 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Europa League: OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen kicks off on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time). Venue: Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion. With a 69% win probability, Bayer Leverkusen go in as strong favourites against OFI (15%), with the draw rated at 16%. The most likely correct score is 1-2 (8.8%), ahead of 1-3 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.1%).
OFI are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 10 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, Bayer Leverkusen have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with OFI. On average OFI score 2.00 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.40 and concede 1.00. In the table, OFI sit 9th with 3 points from 1 games, Bayer Leverkusen 8th with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between OFI and Bayer Leverkusen: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Bayer Leverkusen: M. Culbreath, G. Doue and K. Eichhorn (doubtful). In double chance terms, "OFI or draw" stands at 31%, "Bayer Leverkusen or draw" at 85% and "no draw" at 84%.
In short : Our model backs Bayer Leverkusen to edge OFI (69% probability). On recent form, OFI are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Bayer Leverkusen have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 75%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as OFI – Bayer Leverkusen. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (8.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 37% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| OFI 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen | 8.8% |
| OFI 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen | 7.9% |
| OFI 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen | 7.1% |
| OFI 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen | 6.5% |
| OFI 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen | 6.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.94 goals in total (1.24 for OFI, 2.70 for Bayer Leverkusen): over 2.5 goals has a 75% probability and both teams to score 66%. Everything points to an open game. OFI keep a clean sheet in 7% of scenarios, Bayer Leverkusen in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| OFI expected goals | 1.24 |
| Bayer Leverkusen expected goals | 2.70 |
| Both teams to score | 66% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% |
| OFI clean sheet | 7% |
| Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
OFI
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis · Super League 1 | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim · UEFA Europa League | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus · Super League 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis · Cup | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kifisia · Super League 1 | 2-0 | W |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | RB Leipzig · Bundesliga | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Celje · UEFA Europa League | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Augsburg · Bundesliga | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Union Berlin · Bundesliga | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | SV Elversberg · Bundesliga | 2-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OFI | 9 | 3 | 1 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between OFI and Bayer Leverkusen: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
OFI
No absences reported.
Bayer Leverkusen
- M. Culbreath (out)
- G. Doue (out)
- K. Eichhorn (doubtful)
Most regular starters
OFI
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Bouchalakis4/5
- A. Poungouras4/5
- K. Kostoulas4/5
- L. Dickmann4/5
- N. Christogeorgos4/5
- D. Nikolaou3/5
- K. Kodro3/5
- N. Athanasiou3/5
- T. Fountas3/5
- T. Nuss3/5
- A. Androutsos2/5
Bayer Leverkusen
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Tapsoba5/5
- M. Flekken5/5
- A. Garcia4/5
- F. Medina4/5
- I. Maza4/5
- P. Schick4/5
- A. Moreira3/5
- E. Fernandez3/5
- J. Quansah3/5
- M. Diaby3/5
- M. Gutierrez3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction?
Our AI gives OFI a 15% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Bayer Leverkusen 69%. Bayer Leverkusen are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?
1-2 (8.8%), followed by 1-3 (7.9%), 0-2 (7.1%), 1-1 (6.5%) and 0-3 (6.4%).
Will both teams score in OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The probability that both OFI and Bayer Leverkusen score is 66%. OFI have a 7% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bayer Leverkusen 29%.
How many goals should we expect in OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?
The model expects 3.94 goals (1.24 for OFI, 2.70 for Bayer Leverkusen). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 75%, over 3.5 goals 56%.
When and where is OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen played?
Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 17:45 (UK time), UEFA Europa League. Venue: Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion.
What form are OFI and Bayer Leverkusen in?
OFI: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 2 conceded). Bayer Leverkusen: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 5 conceded).
How is the OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.24 for OFI, 2.70 for Bayer Leverkusen) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All OFI predictions
- All Bayer Leverkusen predictions
- UEFA Europa League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology