Skip to content
Elofoot

FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Thursday, July 2, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)

Spain vs Austria: 3-0 result and AI prediction review

SpainSpain3 – 0AustriaAustria

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: Spain 3-0 Austria. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Spain was the model's favourite outcome (58%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.6%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (67%): correct.

Match analysis

Spain vs Austria was played on Thursday, July 2, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood. Before kick-off, our model gave Spain a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Austria 18%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (11.0%), ahead of 3-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.0%).

Spain are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, Austria have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Spain score 1.80 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Austria score 1.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, Spain sit 1st with 7 points from 3 games, Austria 2nd with 4 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Spain have averaged 1.75 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.22 for Austria.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Spain and Austria: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Spain or draw" stands at 82%, "Austria or draw" at 42% and "no draw" at 76%.

In short : Spain leads Group standings with 7 points from 3 matches and a +5 goal difference, while Austria sits second with 4 points and a neutral goal differential. Spain's superior expected goals average (1.75 vs 1.22) and unbeaten record give them a significant advantage in this World Cup encounter.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

58%
Spain (Win)
24%
Draw
18%
Austria (Win)

Double chance

82%
Spain or draw
42%
Austria or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Spain – Austria. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 46% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Spain 2-0 Austria11.0%
Spain 3-0 Austria9.6%
Spain 2-1 Austria9.0%
Spain 1-0 Austria8.4%
Spain 3-1 Austria7.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.44 goals in total (2.62 for Spain, 0.82 for Austria): over 2.5 goals has a 67% probability and both teams to score 52%. Everything points to an open game. Spain keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Austria in 7%.

Probability
Spain expected goals2.62
Austria expected goals0.82
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Spain clean sheet44%
Austria clean sheet7%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Spain

DateOpponentScore
Jun 27, 2026Uruguay · FIFA World Cup1-0W
Jun 21, 2026Saudi Arabia · FIFA World Cup4-0W
Jun 15, 2026Cape Verde · FIFA World Cup0-0D
Jun 9, 2026Peru · International Friendlies3-1W
Jun 4, 2026Iraq · International Friendlies1-1D

Austria

DateOpponentScore
Jun 28, 2026Algeria · FIFA World Cup3-3D
Jun 22, 2026Argentina · FIFA World Cup0-2L
Jun 17, 2026Jordan · FIFA World Cup3-1W
Jun 1, 2026Tunisia · International Friendlies1-0W
Mar 31, 2026South Korea · International Friendlies1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Spain173
Austria243

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Spain and Austria: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Spain

No absences reported.

Austria

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Spain vs Austria prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Spain a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Austria 18%. Spain are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Spain vs Austria?

2-0 (11.0%), followed by 3-0 (9.6%), 2-1 (9.0%), 1-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.9%).

Will both teams score in Spain vs Austria?

The probability that both Spain and Austria score is 52%. Spain have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Austria 7%.

How many goals should we expect in Spain vs Austria?

The model expects 3.44 goals (2.62 for Spain, 0.82 for Austria). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 67%, over 3.5 goals 45%.

When and where is Spain vs Austria played?

Thursday, July 2, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood.

What form are Spain and Austria in?

Spain: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 2 conceded). Austria: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded).

What was the Spain vs Austria result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Spain 3-0 Austria. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Spain was the model's favourite outcome (58%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.6%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (67%): correct.

How is the Spain vs Austria prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.62 for Spain, 0.82 for Austria) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained