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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Thursday, July 2, 2026, 01:00 (UK time)

United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

United StatesUnited States2 – 0Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: United States 2-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for United States was the model's favourite outcome (68%). The exact score 2-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (17.4%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (31%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): correct.

Match analysis

United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina was played on Thursday, July 2, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: Levi's Stadium, San-Francisco. Before kick-off, our model gave United States a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bosnia & Herzegovina 12%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (17.4%), ahead of 1-0 (16.4%) and 3-0 (12.3%).

Over their last 5 matches, United States have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Bosnia & Herzegovina have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with United States. On average United States score 2.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Bosnia & Herzegovina score 1.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, United States sit 1st with 6 points from 3 games, Bosnia & Herzegovina 5th with 4 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, United States have averaged 1.50 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.62 for Bosnia & Herzegovina.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for United States, 0 for Bosnia & Herzegovina and 1 draw. United States out or doubtful: C. Roldan. In double chance terms, "United States or draw" stands at 88%, "Bosnia & Herzegovina or draw" at 32% and "no draw" at 80%.

In short : USA leads Group G with 6 points from 3 matches and a +4 goal difference, while Bosnia & Herzegovina sits fifth with 4 points and a -1 goal difference. The hosts' superior expected goals average (1.5 vs 0.62) and unbeaten head-to-head record (1W-1D) position them as clear favorites in this World Cup encounter.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

68%
United States (Win)
20%
Draw
12%
Bosnia & Herzegovina (Win)

Double chance

88%
United States or draw
32%
Bosnia & Herzegovina or draw
80%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as United States – Bosnia & Herzegovina. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (17.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 61% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
United States 2-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina17.4%
United States 1-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina16.4%
United States 3-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina12.3%
United States 0-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina7.7%
United States 2-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.56 goals in total (2.12 for United States, 0.44 for Bosnia & Herzegovina): over 2.5 goals has a 47% probability and both teams to score 31%. United States keep a clean sheet in 64% of scenarios, Bosnia & Herzegovina in 12%.

Probability
United States expected goals2.12
Bosnia & Herzegovina expected goals0.44
Both teams to score31%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals26%
United States clean sheet64%
Bosnia & Herzegovina clean sheet12%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

United States

DateOpponentScore
Jun 26, 2026Türkiye · FIFA World Cup2-3L
Jun 19, 2026Australia · FIFA World Cup2-0W
Jun 13, 2026Paraguay · FIFA World Cup4-1W
Jun 6, 2026Germany · International Friendlies1-2L
May 31, 2026Senegal · International Friendlies3-2W

Bosnia & Herzegovina

DateOpponentScore
Jun 24, 2026Qatar · FIFA World Cup3-1W
Jun 18, 2026Switzerland · FIFA World Cup1-4L
Jun 12, 2026Canada · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 6, 2026Panama · International Friendlies1-1D
May 29, 2026North Macedonia · International Friendlies0-0D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
United States163
Bosnia & Herzegovina543

Head-to-head

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for United States, 0 for Bosnia & Herzegovina and 1 draw.

Out and doubtful

United States

  • C. Roldan (out)

Bosnia & Herzegovina

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave United States a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bosnia & Herzegovina 12%. United States are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

2-0 (17.4%), followed by 1-0 (16.4%), 3-0 (12.3%), 0-0 (7.7%) and 2-1 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

The probability that both United States and Bosnia & Herzegovina score is 31%. United States have a 64% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bosnia & Herzegovina 12%.

How many goals should we expect in United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

The model expects 2.56 goals (2.12 for United States, 0.44 for Bosnia & Herzegovina). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 47%, over 3.5 goals 26%.

When and where is United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina played?

Thursday, July 2, 2026 at 01:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Levi's Stadium, San-Francisco.

What form are United States and Bosnia & Herzegovina in?

United States: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 8 conceded). Bosnia & Herzegovina: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between United States and Bosnia & Herzegovina?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for United States, 0 for Bosnia & Herzegovina and 1 draw.

What was the United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: United States 2-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for United States was the model's favourite outcome (68%). The exact score 2-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (17.4%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (31%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): correct.

How is the United States vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.12 for United States, 0.44 for Bosnia & Herzegovina) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained