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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Friday, July 3, 2026, 23:00 (UK time)

Argentina vs Cape Verde: 3-2 result and AI prediction review

ArgentinaArgentina3 – 2Cape VerdeCape Verde

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 3-0

Final score: Argentina 3-2 Cape Verde. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Argentina at 88%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.9%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (30%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (81%): correct.

Match analysis

Argentina and Cape Verde met on Friday, July 3, 2026, a FIFA World Cup fixture. Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami. Before kick-off, our model gave Argentina a 88% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Cape Verde 3%. On the correct score, 3-0 comes out on top (13.6%), followed by 4-0 (13.6%) and 5-0 (10.9%).

Argentina are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 13 and conceding 1. Cape Verde are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 2. Argentina therefore arrive in far better shape than Cape Verde. On average Argentina score 2.60 and concede 0.20 goals per game; Cape Verde score 1.60 and concede 0.40. In the table, Argentina sit 1st with 9 points from 3 games, Cape Verde 2nd with 3 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Argentina have averaged 1.99 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.82 for Cape Verde.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Argentina and Cape Verde: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Cape Verde: S. Lopes Cabral. In double chance terms, "Argentina or draw" stands at 97%, "Cape Verde or draw" at 12% and "no draw" at 91%.

In short : Argentina arrives undefeated with three consecutive wins and a +7 goal differential, while Cape Verde Islands has drawn all three group matches with zero goals conceded but also zero wins. Argentina's 1.99 average expected goals per match vastly outpaces Cape Verde's 0.82, setting up a stark contrast in attacking intent.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

88%
Argentina (Win)
9%
Draw
3%
Cape Verde (Win)

Double chance

97%
Argentina or draw
12%
Cape Verde or draw
91%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Argentina – Cape Verde. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 56% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Argentina 3-0 Cape Verde13.6%
Argentina 4-0 Cape Verde13.6%
Argentina 5-0 Cape Verde10.9%
Argentina 2-0 Cape Verde10.2%
Argentina 6-0 Cape Verde7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 4.00 expected goals for Argentina and 0.36 for Cape Verde, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 81% and "both teams to score" at 30%. Goals look likely in this one. Argentina keep a clean sheet in 70% of scenarios, Cape Verde in 2%.

Probability
Argentina expected goals4.00
Cape Verde expected goals0.36
Both teams to score30%
Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals63%
Argentina clean sheet70%
Cape Verde clean sheet2%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Argentina

DateOpponentScore
Jun 28, 2026Jordan · FIFA World Cup3-1W
Jun 22, 2026Austria · FIFA World Cup2-0W
Jun 17, 2026Algeria · FIFA World Cup3-0W
Jun 10, 2026Iceland · International Friendlies3-0W
Jun 7, 2026Honduras · International Friendlies2-0W

Cape Verde

DateOpponentScore
Jun 27, 2026Saudi Arabia · FIFA World Cup0-0D
Jun 21, 2026Uruguay · FIFA World Cup2-2D
Jun 15, 2026Spain · FIFA World Cup0-0D
Jun 6, 2026Bermuda · International Friendlies3-0W
May 31, 2026Serbia · International Friendlies3-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Argentina193
Cape Verde233

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Argentina and Cape Verde: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Argentina

No absences reported.

Cape Verde

  • S. Lopes Cabral (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Argentina vs Cape Verde prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Argentina a 88% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Cape Verde 3%. Argentina are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Argentina vs Cape Verde?

3-0 (13.6%), followed by 4-0 (13.6%), 5-0 (10.9%), 2-0 (10.2%) and 6-0 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in Argentina vs Cape Verde?

The probability that both Argentina and Cape Verde score is 30%. Argentina have a 70% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cape Verde 2%.

How many goals should we expect in Argentina vs Cape Verde?

The model expects 4.36 goals (4.00 for Argentina, 0.36 for Cape Verde). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 93%, over 2.5 goals 81%, over 3.5 goals 63%.

When and where is Argentina vs Cape Verde played?

Friday, July 3, 2026 at 23:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami.

What form are Argentina and Cape Verde in?

Argentina: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 1 conceded). Cape Verde: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 2 conceded).

What was the Argentina vs Cape Verde result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Argentina 3-2 Cape Verde. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Argentina at 88%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.9%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (30%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (81%): correct.

How is the Argentina vs Cape Verde prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (4.00 for Argentina, 0.36 for Cape Verde) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

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Key terms explained