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FIFA World CupFIFA World Cup· Kick-off : Tuesday, June 30, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)

Ivory Coast vs Norway: 1-2 result and AI prediction review

Ivory CoastIvory Coast1 – 2NorwayNorway

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Ivory Coast (38%), while victory for Norway was rated at only 36%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (54%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

Ivory Coast vs Norway was played on Tuesday, June 30, 2026 (FIFA World Cup). Venue: AT&T Stadium, Dallas. Before kick-off, our model gave Ivory Coast a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Norway 36%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.4%), ahead of 1-0 (9.4%) and 0-1 (9.2%).

Over their last 5 matches, Ivory Coast have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Norway have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 9. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Ivory Coast score 1.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Norway score 2.40 and concede 1.80. In the table, Ivory Coast sit 2nd with 6 points from 3 games, Norway 2nd with 6 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Ivory Coast have averaged 1.35 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.14 for Norway.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ivory Coast and Norway: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Ivory Coast or draw" stands at 64%, "Norway or draw" at 62% and "no draw" at 74%.

In short : Ivory Coast and Norway arrive level on 6 points with identical records, but Norway's superior expected goals average of 2.14 versus Ivory Coast's 1.35 suggests a more clinical attacking approach. Both teams have won 2 of 3 matches, setting up a tightly contested World Cup encounter where Norway's recent form edge could prove decisive.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

38%
Ivory Coast (Win)
26%
Draw
36%
Norway (Win)

Double chance

64%
Ivory Coast or draw
62%
Norway or draw
74%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Ivory Coast – Norway. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Ivory Coast 1-1 Norway12.4%
Ivory Coast 1-0 Norway9.4%
Ivory Coast 0-1 Norway9.2%
Ivory Coast 2-1 Norway8.3%
Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway8.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.66 goals in total (1.35 for Ivory Coast, 1.31 for Norway): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 54%. Ivory Coast keep a clean sheet in 27% of scenarios, Norway in 26%.

Probability
Ivory Coast expected goals1.35
Norway expected goals1.31
Both teams to score54%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Ivory Coast clean sheet27%
Norway clean sheet26%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Ivory Coast

DateOpponentScore
Jun 25, 2026Curaçao · FIFA World Cup2-0W
Jun 20, 2026Germany · FIFA World Cup1-2L
Jun 15, 2026Ecuador · FIFA World Cup1-0W
Jun 9, 2026Philadelphia Union II · International Friendlies2-0W
Jun 4, 2026France · International Friendlies2-1W

Norway

DateOpponentScore
Jun 26, 2026France · FIFA World Cup1-4L
Jun 23, 2026Senegal · FIFA World Cup3-2W
Jun 16, 2026Iraq · FIFA World Cup4-1W
Jun 7, 2026Morocco · International Friendlies1-1D
Jun 1, 2026Sweden · International Friendlies3-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Ivory Coast263
Norway263

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Ivory Coast and Norway: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Ivory Coast

No absences reported.

Norway

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Ivory Coast vs Norway prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Ivory Coast a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Norway 36%. Ivory Coast are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Ivory Coast vs Norway?

1-1 (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (9.4%), 0-1 (9.2%), 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.1%).

Will both teams score in Ivory Coast vs Norway?

The probability that both Ivory Coast and Norway score is 54%. Ivory Coast have a 27% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Norway 26%.

How many goals should we expect in Ivory Coast vs Norway?

The model expects 2.66 goals (1.35 for Ivory Coast, 1.31 for Norway). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Ivory Coast vs Norway played?

Tuesday, June 30, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), FIFA World Cup. Venue: AT&T Stadium, Dallas.

What form are Ivory Coast and Norway in?

Ivory Coast: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded). Norway: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 9 conceded).

What was the Ivory Coast vs Norway result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Ivory Coast 1-2 Norway. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Ivory Coast (38%), while victory for Norway was rated at only 36%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (8.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (54%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the Ivory Coast vs Norway prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.35 for Ivory Coast, 1.31 for Norway) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained