Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
ADT vs FC Cajamarca prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Peruvian Liga 1: ADT vs FC Cajamarca kicks off on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time). It is a tight call: 43% for ADT, 26% for the draw and 31% for FC Cajamarca. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (8.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, ADT have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, FC Cajamarca have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Both sides come in with similar form. On average ADT score 1.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; FC Cajamarca score 1.80 and concede 2.60. In the table, ADT sit 17th with 5 points from 10 games, FC Cajamarca 12th with 10 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for ADT, 1 for FC Cajamarca and 1 draw. The most recent ended FC Cajamarca 2-2 ADT (Apr 18, 2026). In double chance terms, "ADT or draw" stands at 69%, "FC Cajamarca or draw" at 57% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Our model backs ADT to edge FC Cajamarca (43% probability). On recent form, ADT have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5 while FC Cajamarca have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 53%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as ADT – FC Cajamarca. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ADT 1-1 FC Cajamarca | 12.4% |
| ADT 1-0 FC Cajamarca | 10.6% |
| ADT 2-1 FC Cajamarca | 8.9% |
| ADT 0-1 FC Cajamarca | 8.7% |
| ADT 2-0 FC Cajamarca | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.43 expected goals for ADT and 1.17 for FC Cajamarca, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 53%. ADT keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, FC Cajamarca in 24%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| ADT expected goals | 1.43 |
| FC Cajamarca expected goals | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| ADT clean sheet | 31% |
| FC Cajamarca clean sheet | 24% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
ADT
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Cienciano · Peruvian Liga 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alianza Lima · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FBC Melgar · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sport Huancayo · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 27, 2026 | UCV Moquegua · Copa De La Liga | 2-0 | W |
FC Cajamarca
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cusco · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas · Peruvian Liga 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Cienciano · Peruvian Liga 1 | 2-5 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos · Peruvian Liga 1 | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atletico Grau · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADT | 17 | 5 | 10 |
| FC Cajamarca | 12 | 10 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | FC Cajamarca 2-2 ADT | Peruvian Liga 1 |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FC Cajamarca 2-1 ADT | Club Friendlies |
Out and doubtful
ADT
No absences reported.
FC Cajamarca
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
ADT
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Ramos5/5
- J. Rojas5/5
- J. J. Canela Torres4/5
- J. Soto4/5
- L. Perez4/5
- O. Nunez4/5
- C. Solis3/5
- J. Lucumi3/5
- H. Benincasa2/5
- H. Rengifo2/5
- J. Bauman2/5
FC Cajamarca
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Palacios5/5
- J. G. Orejuela5/5
- M. Arrasco5/5
- S. Enciso5/5
- Y. Vilchez5/5
- C. A. Correa Flores4/5
- P. Cejas4/5
- A. J. Posito Olazabal3/5
- C. Meza3/5
- J. Medina3/5
- C. Gomez2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- UCV Moquegua – CiencianoOct 8, 2026
- Atletico Grau – Club Deportivo Los ChankasOct 8, 2026
- Deportivo Garcilaso – Sport HuancayoOct 10, 2026
- Comerciantes Unidos – Juan Pablo II CollegeOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the ADT vs FC Cajamarca prediction?
Our AI gives ADT a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Cajamarca 31%. ADT are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for ADT vs FC Cajamarca?
1-1 (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.6%), 2-1 (8.9%), 0-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in ADT vs FC Cajamarca?
The probability that both ADT and FC Cajamarca score is 53%. ADT have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, FC Cajamarca 24%.
How many goals should we expect in ADT vs FC Cajamarca?
The model expects 2.60 goals (1.43 for ADT, 1.17 for FC Cajamarca). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is ADT vs FC Cajamarca played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1.
What form are ADT and FC Cajamarca in?
ADT: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded). FC Cajamarca: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 13 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between ADT and FC Cajamarca?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for ADT, 1 for FC Cajamarca and 1 draw. The most recent ended FC Cajamarca 2-2 ADT (Apr 18, 2026).
How is the ADT vs FC Cajamarca prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.43 for ADT, 1.17 for FC Cajamarca) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All ADT predictions
- All FC Cajamarca predictions
- Peruvian Liga 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology