Skip to content
Elofoot

Peruvian Liga 1Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Thursday, October 8, 2026, 21:30 (UK time)

Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas prediction: correct score and AI tips

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau–Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas

Match analysis

Peruvian Liga 1: Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas kicks off on Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 21:30 (UK time). Venue: Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura. Our model makes Atletico Grau clear favourites: a 78% chance of winning, against 14% for the draw and 8% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (13.2%), followed by 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (10.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, Atletico Grau have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Club Deportivo Los Chankas have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 17. Atletico Grau therefore arrive in far better shape than Club Deportivo Los Chankas. On average Atletico Grau score 1.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Club Deportivo Los Chankas score 0.80 and concede 3.40. In the table, Atletico Grau sit 11th with 16 points from 10 games, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 16th with 7 points from 9. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Atletico Grau, 1 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 0 draws. The most recent ended Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2-0 Atletico Grau (Apr 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "Atletico Grau or draw" stands at 92%, "Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw" at 22% and "no draw" at 86%.

In short : Atletico Grau are tipped by our AI model in this Atletico Grau v Club Deportivo Los Chankas (78%). In the table, Atletico Grau (11th, 16 pts) host Club Deportivo Los Chankas (16th, 7 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

78%
Atletico Grau (Win)
14%
Draw
8%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Win)

Double chance

92%
Atletico Grau or draw
22%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas or draw
86%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Atletico Grau – Club Deportivo Los Chankas. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Atletico Grau 2-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas13.2%
Atletico Grau 3-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas11.1%
Atletico Grau 1-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas10.5%
Atletico Grau 2-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas8.7%
Atletico Grau 3-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 2.51 expected goals for Atletico Grau and 0.66 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 61% and "both teams to score" at 44%. Goals look likely in this one. Atletico Grau keep a clean sheet in 52% of scenarios, Club Deportivo Los Chankas in 8%.

Probability
Atletico Grau expected goals2.51
Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected goals0.66
Both teams to score44%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Atletico Grau clean sheet52%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas clean sheet8%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Atletico Grau

DateOpponentScore
Sep 19, 2026Sporting Cristal · Peruvian Liga 11-3L
Sep 13, 2026Alianza Atletico · Peruvian Liga 13-1W
Sep 6, 2026Deportivo Garcilaso · Peruvian Liga 12-4L
Sep 1, 2026FBC Melgar · Peruvian Liga 11-0W
Aug 26, 2026Sport Boys · Copa De La Liga2-2D

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

DateOpponentScore
Sep 12, 2026FC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 11-2L
Sep 6, 2026Sporting Cristal · Peruvian Liga 10-5L
Aug 29, 2026Juan Pablo II College · Peruvian Liga 13-4L
Aug 24, 2026Universitario · Peruvian Liga 10-3L
Aug 15, 2026FBC Melgar · Peruvian Liga 10-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Atletico Grau111610
Club Deportivo Los Chankas1679

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 17, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2-0 Atletico GrauPeruvian Liga 1

Out and doubtful

Atletico Grau

No absences reported.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Atletico Grau

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Oncoy4/5
  • I. Tapia4/5
  • P. Alvarez4/5
  • R. Guarderas4/5
  • A. Vasquez3/5
  • D. Barreto3/5
  • D. Rodriguez3/5
  • G. E. Alfaro Martinez3/5
  • M. Da Luz3/5
  • P. de la Cruz3/5
  • P. Lavandeira Hernandez3/5

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • C. Pimienta5/5
  • J. Quintero5/5
  • O. Takeuchi5/5
  • F. Torres4/5
  • H. Camacho4/5
  • J. Palomino4/5
  • A. Quintana3/5
  • C. Velarde3/5
  • D. Gonzales3/5
  • H. Gonzalez3/5
  • K. Sanchez3/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas prediction?

Our AI gives Atletico Grau a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 8%. Atletico Grau are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

2-0 (13.2%), followed by 3-0 (11.1%), 1-0 (10.5%), 2-1 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

The probability that both Atletico Grau and Club Deportivo Los Chankas score is 44%. Atletico Grau have a 52% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 8%.

How many goals should we expect in Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

The model expects 3.17 goals (2.51 for Atletico Grau, 0.66 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 61%, over 3.5 goals 39%.

When and where is Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas played?

Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 21:30 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura.

What form are Atletico Grau and Club Deportivo Los Chankas in?

Atletico Grau: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded). Club Deportivo Los Chankas: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 17 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Atletico Grau and Club Deportivo Los Chankas?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Atletico Grau, 1 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas and 0 draws. The most recent ended Club Deportivo Los Chankas 2-0 Atletico Grau (Apr 17, 2026).

How is the Atletico Grau vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.51 for Atletico Grau, 0.66 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained