Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 02:00 (UK time)
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Deportivo Garcilaso take on Sport Huancayo on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), a Peruvian Liga 1 fixture. Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco. The edge goes to Deportivo Garcilaso (56%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Sport Huancayo win (20%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.8%), ahead of 1-1 (11.2%) and 2-0 (10.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Deportivo Garcilaso have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Sport Huancayo have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Deportivo Garcilaso score 2.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Sport Huancayo score 2.00 and concede 1.60. In the table, Deportivo Garcilaso sit 1st with 22 points from 10 games, Sport Huancayo 5th with 19 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo Garcilaso, 1 for Sport Huancayo and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sport Huancayo 2-1 Deportivo Garcilaso (Apr 18, 2026). In double chance terms, "Deportivo Garcilaso or draw" stands at 80%, "Sport Huancayo or draw" at 44% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Our model backs Deportivo Garcilaso to edge Sport Huancayo (56% probability). On recent form, Deportivo Garcilaso are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Sport Huancayo are in good shape (4 wins in 5). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 51%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Deportivo Garcilaso – Sport Huancayo. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 Sport Huancayo | 11.8% |
| Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 Sport Huancayo | 11.2% |
| Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0 Sport Huancayo | 10.3% |
| Deportivo Garcilaso 2-1 Sport Huancayo | 9.8% |
| Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 Sport Huancayo | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.70 goals in total (1.75 for Deportivo Garcilaso, 0.95 for Sport Huancayo): over 2.5 goals has a 51% probability and both teams to score 51%. Deportivo Garcilaso keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Sport Huancayo in 17%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Deportivo Garcilaso expected goals | 1.75 |
| Sport Huancayo expected goals | 0.95 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Deportivo Garcilaso clean sheet | 39% |
| Sport Huancayo clean sheet | 17% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Deportivo Garcilaso
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Universitario · Peruvian Liga 1 | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sport Boys · Peruvian Liga 1 | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atletico Grau · Peruvian Liga 1 | 4-2 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Alianza Lima · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cusco · Peruvian Liga 1 | 4-1 | W |
Sport Huancayo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 1 | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos · Peruvian Liga 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sport Boys · Peruvian Liga 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | ADT · Peruvian Liga 1 | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Sporting Cristal · Copa De La Liga | 1-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 22 | 10 |
| Sport Huancayo | 5 | 19 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sport Huancayo 2-1 Deportivo Garcilaso | Peruvian Liga 1 |
Out and doubtful
Deportivo Garcilaso
No absences reported.
Sport Huancayo
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Deportivo Garcilaso
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Gomez5/5
- A. Gonzalez5/5
- A. Salazar5/5
- B. Da Silva5/5
- C. I. Ramos Rodriguez5/5
- E. Canales5/5
- F. Castelli5/5
- K. Sandoval5/5
- P. Zubczuk5/5
- X. Moreno5/5
- F. Arancibia4/5
Sport Huancayo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- R. Huaccha5/5
- A. Zamudio4/5
- D. Carabano4/5
- H. Angeles4/5
- J. Falconi4/5
- J. Valoyes4/5
- M. Gaona4/5
- N. Lujan4/5
- P. Magallanes4/5
- J. Sanguinetti3/5
- R. Salcedo3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- UCV Moquegua – CiencianoOct 8, 2026
- Atletico Grau – Club Deportivo Los ChankasOct 8, 2026
- ADT – FC CajamarcaOct 10, 2026
- Comerciantes Unidos – Juan Pablo II CollegeOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo prediction?
Our AI gives Deportivo Garcilaso a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sport Huancayo 20%. Deportivo Garcilaso are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?
1-0 (11.8%), followed by 1-1 (11.2%), 2-0 (10.3%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?
The probability that both Deportivo Garcilaso and Sport Huancayo score is 51%. Deportivo Garcilaso have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sport Huancayo 17%.
How many goals should we expect in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo?
The model expects 2.70 goals (1.75 for Deportivo Garcilaso, 0.95 for Sport Huancayo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 02:00 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco.
What form are Deportivo Garcilaso and Sport Huancayo in?
Deportivo Garcilaso: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 4 conceded). Sport Huancayo: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Garcilaso and Sport Huancayo?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo Garcilaso, 1 for Sport Huancayo and 0 draws. The most recent ended Sport Huancayo 2-1 Deportivo Garcilaso (Apr 18, 2026).
How is the Deportivo Garcilaso vs Sport Huancayo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.75 for Deportivo Garcilaso, 0.95 for Sport Huancayo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Deportivo Garcilaso predictions
- All Sport Huancayo predictions
- Peruvian Liga 1 predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology