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Peruvian Liga 1Peruvian Liga 1· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 21:30 (UK time)

Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College prediction: correct score and AI tips

Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos–Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College

Match analysis

Comerciantes Unidos take on Juan Pablo II College on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 21:30 (UK time), a Peruvian Liga 1 fixture. Venue: Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo. Juan Pablo II College start as favourites with a 50% chance of victory; Comerciantes Unidos are given 25% and the draw 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 0-1 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.5%).

Comerciantes Unidos have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Juan Pablo II College are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 16 and conceding 6. Juan Pablo II College therefore arrive in far better shape than Comerciantes Unidos. On average Comerciantes Unidos score 1.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Juan Pablo II College score 3.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Comerciantes Unidos sit 13th with 9 points from 10 games, Juan Pablo II College 6th with 18 points from 10. 7 places separate the two sides.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Comerciantes Unidos, 0 for Juan Pablo II College and 1 draw. The most recent ended Juan Pablo II College 2-2 Comerciantes Unidos (Apr 18, 2026). In double chance terms, "Comerciantes Unidos or draw" stands at 50%, "Juan Pablo II College or draw" at 75% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Juan Pablo II College are favourites for this Comerciantes Unidos v Juan Pablo II College, with a 50% win probability from our model. In the table, Comerciantes Unidos (13th, 9 pts) host Juan Pablo II College (6th, 18 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

25%
Comerciantes Unidos (Win)
25%
Draw
50%
Juan Pablo II College (Win)

Double chance

50%
Comerciantes Unidos or draw
75%
Juan Pablo II College or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Comerciantes Unidos – Juan Pablo II College. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 Juan Pablo II College11.9%
Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 Juan Pablo II College11.3%
Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 Juan Pablo II College9.5%
Comerciantes Unidos 0-2 Juan Pablo II College9.0%
Comerciantes Unidos 1-0 Juan Pablo II College7.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.05 expected goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.59 for Juan Pablo II College, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Comerciantes Unidos keep a clean sheet in 20% of scenarios, Juan Pablo II College in 35%.

Probability
Comerciantes Unidos expected goals1.05
Juan Pablo II College expected goals1.59
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Comerciantes Unidos clean sheet20%
Juan Pablo II College clean sheet35%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Comerciantes Unidos

DateOpponentScore
Sep 18, 2026Alianza Atletico · Peruvian Liga 11-2L
Sep 12, 2026Sport Huancayo · Peruvian Liga 10-1L
Sep 6, 2026Universitario · Peruvian Liga 12-2D
Aug 28, 2026FC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 12-3L
Aug 22, 2026UTC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 13-1W

Juan Pablo II College

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026UCV Moquegua · Peruvian Liga 14-0W
Sep 11, 2026UTC Cajamarca · Peruvian Liga 12-1W
Sep 6, 2026Alianza Lima · Peruvian Liga 11-1D
Aug 29, 2026Club Deportivo Los Chankas · Peruvian Liga 14-3W
Aug 22, 2026ADT · Peruvian Liga 15-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Comerciantes Unidos13910
Juan Pablo II College61810

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Juan Pablo II College 2-2 Comerciantes UnidosPeruvian Liga 1

Out and doubtful

Comerciantes Unidos

No absences reported.

Juan Pablo II College

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Comerciantes Unidos

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Arias5/5
  • A. Cossio5/5
  • F. Rojas5/5
  • J. Rodriguez5/5
  • M. Cordova5/5
  • F. Alcedo4/5
  • R. Vilca4/5
  • A. Rodriguez3/5
  • J. Olivares3/5
  • J. Parodi3/5
  • Jhon Sanchez3/5

Juan Pablo II College

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Rojas5/5
  • E. Ramirez5/5
  • F. Agurto5/5
  • J. P. Goicochea Del Carpio5/5
  • M. Almiron5/5
  • M. Vega5/5
  • N. Ramirez5/5
  • P. Miguez5/5
  • P. Reyna5/5
  • C. Flores4/5
  • J. Posito4/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College prediction?

Our AI gives Comerciantes Unidos a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Juan Pablo II College 50%. Juan Pablo II College are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?

1-1 (11.9%), followed by 0-1 (11.3%), 1-2 (9.5%), 0-2 (9.0%) and 1-0 (7.5%).

Will both teams score in Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?

The probability that both Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II College score is 52%. Comerciantes Unidos have a 20% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Juan Pablo II College 35%.

How many goals should we expect in Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College?

The model expects 2.64 goals (1.05 for Comerciantes Unidos, 1.59 for Juan Pablo II College). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College played?

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 21:30 (UK time), Peruvian Liga 1. Venue: Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo.

What form are Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II College in?

Comerciantes Unidos: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 9 conceded). Juan Pablo II College: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (16 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Comerciantes Unidos and Juan Pablo II College?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Comerciantes Unidos, 0 for Juan Pablo II College and 1 draw. The most recent ended Juan Pablo II College 2-2 Comerciantes Unidos (Apr 18, 2026).

How is the Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.05 for Comerciantes Unidos, 1.59 for Juan Pablo II College) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained