Liga MX· Kick-off : Monday, October 12, 2026, 00:00 (UK time)
Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Atletico San Luis 1-2 Santos Laguna. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Atletico San Luis (57%), while victory for Santos Laguna was rated at only 20%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (5.3%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.
Match analysis
Atletico San Luis and Santos Laguna met on Monday, October 12, 2026, a Liga MX fixture. Venue: Alfonso Lastras Ramirez, San Luis de Potosi. Before kick-off, our model gave Atletico San Luis a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santos Laguna 20%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.1%) and 2-0 (10.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Atletico San Luis have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Santos Laguna have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Atletico San Luis score 1.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Santos Laguna score 1.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, Atletico San Luis sit 14th with 12 points from 10 games, Santos Laguna 16th with 10 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Atletico San Luis, 0 for Santos Laguna and 0 draws. The most recent ended Atletico San Luis 2-0 Santos Laguna (Apr 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Atletico San Luis or draw" stands at 80%, "Santos Laguna or draw" at 43% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Atletico San Luis are tipped by our AI model in this Atletico San Luis v Santos Laguna (57%). On recent form, Atletico San Luis have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Santos Laguna have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Atletico San Luis – Santos Laguna. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis 1-0 Santos Laguna | 11.7% |
| Atletico San Luis 1-1 Santos Laguna | 11.1% |
| Atletico San Luis 2-0 Santos Laguna | 10.3% |
| Atletico San Luis 2-1 Santos Laguna | 9.8% |
| Atletico San Luis 0-0 Santos Laguna | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.76 expected goals for Atletico San Luis and 0.95 for Santos Laguna, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 51% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Atletico San Luis keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Santos Laguna in 17%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis expected goals | 1.76 |
| Santos Laguna expected goals | 0.95 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Atletico San Luis clean sheet | 39% |
| Santos Laguna clean sheet | 17% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Atletico San Luis
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Necaxa · Liga MX | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Leon · Liga MX | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas · Liga MX | 0-3 | L |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Monterrey · Liga MX | 3-1 | W |
Santos Laguna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | CF Pachuca · Liga MX | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Toluca · Liga MX | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | FC Juarez · Liga MX | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Cruz Azul · Liga MX | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Tigres UANL · Liga MX | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis | 14 | 12 | 10 |
| Santos Laguna | 16 | 10 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Atletico San Luis 2-0 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Santos Laguna 1-4 Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
Out and doubtful
Atletico San Luis
No absences reported.
Santos Laguna
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Atletico San Luis
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Duarte5/5
- R. Torres5/5
- S. Salles-Lamonge5/5
- D. Rodriguez4/5
- E. Aguila4/5
- O. Macias4/5
- R. Llorente4/5
- A. Cruz3/5
- B. Galindo3/5
- A. Sanchez2/5
- F. Mora2/5
Santos Laguna
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Acevedo5/5
- E. Bullaude5/5
- M. Cuevas5/5
- E. Orona4/5
- F. Pardo4/5
- F. Sanchez4/5
- K. Palacios4/5
- D. Gonzalez3/5
- A. Lopez2/5
- E. Lozano2/5
- F. Caseres2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Puebla 1-1 LeonOct 10, 2026
- Tigres UANL 3-2 TolucaOct 10, 2026
- Club Queretaro 2-0 Atlante FCOct 11, 2026
- FC Juarez 1-1 Club TijuanaOct 11, 2026
- Atlas 1-1 Guadalajara ChivasOct 11, 2026
- Club America 1-1 MonterreyOct 11, 2026
- CF Pachuca 3-3 NecaxaOct 12, 2026
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-3 Cruz AzulOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Atletico San Luis a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santos Laguna 20%. Atletico San Luis are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.1%), 2-0 (10.3%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 0-0 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
The probability that both Atletico San Luis and Santos Laguna score is 51%. Atletico San Luis have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Santos Laguna 17%.
How many goals should we expect in Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
The model expects 2.71 goals (1.76 for Atletico San Luis, 0.95 for Santos Laguna). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna played?
Monday, October 12, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Alfonso Lastras Ramirez, San Luis de Potosi.
What form are Atletico San Luis and Santos Laguna in?
Atletico San Luis: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 9 conceded). Santos Laguna: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Atletico San Luis and Santos Laguna?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Atletico San Luis, 0 for Santos Laguna and 0 draws. The most recent ended Atletico San Luis 2-0 Santos Laguna (Apr 23, 2026).
What was the Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Atletico San Luis 1-2 Santos Laguna. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Atletico San Luis (57%), while victory for Santos Laguna was rated at only 20%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (5.3%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (51%): correct.
How is the Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.76 for Atletico San Luis, 0.95 for Santos Laguna) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Atletico San Luis predictions
- All Santos Laguna predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology