Liga MX· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 00:00 (UK time)
FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: FC Juarez 1-1 Club Tijuana. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Club Tijuana (45%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
Match analysis
FC Juarez and Club Tijuana met on Sunday, October 11, 2026, a Liga MX fixture. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juarez. Before kick-off, our model gave FC Juarez a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Club Tijuana 45%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.3%), followed by 0-1 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.1%).
FC Juarez have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 10. Club Tijuana have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 8 and conceding 11. Both sides come in with similar form. On average FC Juarez score 0.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Club Tijuana score 1.60 and concede 2.20. In the table, FC Juarez sit 18th with 3 points from 10 games, Club Tijuana 9th with 14 points from 9. 9 places separate the two sides.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for FC Juarez, 2 for Club Tijuana and 2 draws. The most recent ended FC Juarez 1-2 Club Tijuana (Apr 11, 2026). In double chance terms, "FC Juarez or draw" stands at 55%, "Club Tijuana or draw" at 71% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Club Tijuana are favourites for this FC Juarez v Club Tijuana, with a 45% win probability from our model. In the table, FC Juarez (18th, 3 pts) host Club Tijuana (9th, 14 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as FC Juarez – Club Tijuana. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Juarez 1-1 Club Tijuana | 12.3% |
| FC Juarez 0-1 Club Tijuana | 10.9% |
| FC Juarez 1-2 Club Tijuana | 9.1% |
| FC Juarez 1-0 Club Tijuana | 8.3% |
| FC Juarez 0-2 Club Tijuana | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.13 expected goals for FC Juarez and 1.48 for Club Tijuana, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. FC Juarez keep a clean sheet in 23% of scenarios, Club Tijuana in 32%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| FC Juarez expected goals | 1.13 |
| Club Tijuana expected goals | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| FC Juarez clean sheet | 23% |
| Club Tijuana clean sheet | 32% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
FC Juarez
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leon · Liga MX | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tigres UANL · Liga MX | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Santos Laguna · Liga MX | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CF Pachuca · Liga MX | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Toluca · Liga MX | 0-4 | L |
Club Tijuana
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlas · Liga MX | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 21, 2026 | CF Pachuca · Liga MX | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Club Queretaro · Liga MX | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas · Liga MX | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas · Liga MX | 2-5 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Juarez | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| Club Tijuana | 9 | 14 | 9 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | FC Juarez 1-2 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Club Tijuana 3-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Club Tijuana 1-1 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Club Tijuana 1-2 FC Juarez | Liga MX |
| Nov 7, 2024 | FC Juarez 1-1 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
Out and doubtful
FC Juarez
No absences reported.
Club Tijuana
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
FC Juarez
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Murillo5/5
- S. Jurado5/5
- D. Garcia4/5
- G. Sepulveda4/5
- J. Rodriguez4/5
- Monchu4/5
- O. Estupinan4/5
- Rodrigo Dourado4/5
- A. Mayorga3/5
- F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin3/5
- J. Aquino3/5
Club Tijuana
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Tona5/5
- A. Gomez4/5
- A. Preciado4/5
- A. Rodriguez4/5
- G. Mora4/5
- J. Porozo4/5
- A. Vega3/5
- M. El Ghezouani3/5
- R. Arciga3/5
- F. Gonzalez2/5
- I. Rivero2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Puebla 1-1 LeonOct 10, 2026
- Tigres UANL 3-2 TolucaOct 10, 2026
- Club Queretaro 2-0 Atlante FCOct 11, 2026
- Atlas 1-1 Guadalajara ChivasOct 11, 2026
- Club America 1-1 MonterreyOct 11, 2026
- Atletico San Luis 1-2 Santos LagunaOct 12, 2026
- CF Pachuca 3-3 NecaxaOct 12, 2026
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-3 Cruz AzulOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave FC Juarez a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Club Tijuana 45%. Club Tijuana are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana?
1-1 (12.3%), followed by 0-1 (10.9%), 1-2 (9.1%), 1-0 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana?
The probability that both FC Juarez and Club Tijuana score is 52%. FC Juarez have a 23% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Club Tijuana 32%.
How many goals should we expect in FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana?
The model expects 2.61 goals (1.13 for FC Juarez, 1.48 for Club Tijuana). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juarez.
What form are FC Juarez and Club Tijuana in?
FC Juarez: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 10 conceded). Club Tijuana: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Juarez and Club Tijuana?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for FC Juarez, 2 for Club Tijuana and 2 draws. The most recent ended FC Juarez 1-2 Club Tijuana (Apr 11, 2026).
What was the FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: FC Juarez 1-1 Club Tijuana. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Club Tijuana (45%), while a draw was rated at only 26%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
How is the FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.13 for FC Juarez, 1.48 for Club Tijuana) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All FC Juarez predictions
- All Club Tijuana predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology