Liga MX· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 04:10 (UK time)
Club America vs Monterrey: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Club America 1-1 Monterrey. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Club America (64%), while a draw was rated at only 21%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (10.0%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.
Match analysis
Club America vs Monterrey was played on Sunday, October 11, 2026 (Liga MX). Venue: Estadio Banorte, Mexico City. Before kick-off, our model gave Club America a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Monterrey 15%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.7%), ahead of 2-0 (11.6%) and 1-1 (10.0%).
Club America have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Monterrey have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Club America score 1.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Monterrey score 1.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Club America sit 1st with 20 points from 9 games, Monterrey 10th with 13 points from 9. 9 places separate the two sides.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Club America, 2 for Monterrey and 1 draw. The most recent ended Club America 1-0 Monterrey (Feb 8, 2026). In double chance terms, "Club America or draw" stands at 85%, "Monterrey or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Club America are favourites for this Club America v Monterrey, with a 64% win probability from our model. On recent form, Club America have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Monterrey have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Club America – Monterrey. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Club America 1-0 Monterrey | 11.7% |
| Club America 2-0 Monterrey | 11.6% |
| Club America 1-1 Monterrey | 10.0% |
| Club America 2-1 Monterrey | 9.8% |
| Club America 3-0 Monterrey | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.82 goals in total (1.97 for Club America, 0.85 for Monterrey): over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability and both teams to score 49%. Club America keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Monterrey in 14%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Club America expected goals | 1.97 |
| Monterrey expected goals | 0.85 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Club America clean sheet | 43% |
| Monterrey clean sheet | 14% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Club America
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cruz Azul · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Necaxa · Liga MX | 4-2 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas · Liga MX | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cruz Azul · Liga MX | 3-4 | L |
Monterrey
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Toluca · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atlante FC · Liga MX | 2-4 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cruz Azul · Liga MX | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tigres UANL · Liga MX | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Toluca · Leagues Cup | 0-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club America | 1 | 20 | 9 |
| Monterrey | 10 | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Club America 1-0 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Club America 2-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Monterrey 2-0 Club America | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Monterrey 2-2 Club America | Liga MX |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Monterrey 1-0 Club America | Liga MX |
Out and doubtful
Club America
No absences reported.
Monterrey
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Club America
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Zendejas3/4
- D. Espinoza3/4
- E. Lara3/4
- H. Martin3/4
- R. Cota3/4
- A. Cervantes2/4
- B. Rodriguez2/4
- C. Borja2/4
- E. Cerrillo2/4
- E. Sanchez2/4
- I. Reyes2/4
Monterrey
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Andrada4/4
- H. Cuypers4/4
- J. Corona4/4
- C. Salcedo3/4
- G. Arteaga3/4
- L. Ocampos3/4
- O. Pineda3/4
- O. Torres3/4
- R. Chavez3/4
- V. Guzman3/4
- A. Aceves2/4
Other matches in this competition
- Puebla 1-1 LeonOct 10, 2026
- Tigres UANL 3-2 TolucaOct 10, 2026
- Club Queretaro 2-0 Atlante FCOct 11, 2026
- FC Juarez 1-1 Club TijuanaOct 11, 2026
- Atlas 1-1 Guadalajara ChivasOct 11, 2026
- Atletico San Luis 1-2 Santos LagunaOct 12, 2026
- CF Pachuca 3-3 NecaxaOct 12, 2026
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-3 Cruz AzulOct 12, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Club America vs Monterrey prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Club America a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Monterrey 15%. Club America are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Club America vs Monterrey?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 2-0 (11.6%), 1-1 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Club America vs Monterrey?
The probability that both Club America and Monterrey score is 49%. Club America have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Monterrey 14%.
How many goals should we expect in Club America vs Monterrey?
The model expects 2.82 goals (1.97 for Club America, 0.85 for Monterrey). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 31%.
When and where is Club America vs Monterrey played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 04:10 (UK time), Liga MX. Venue: Estadio Banorte, Mexico City.
What form are Club America and Monterrey in?
Club America: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded). Monterrey: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Club America and Monterrey?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Club America, 2 for Monterrey and 1 draw. The most recent ended Club America 1-0 Monterrey (Feb 8, 2026).
What was the Club America vs Monterrey result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Club America 1-1 Monterrey. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Club America (64%), while a draw was rated at only 21%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (10.0%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.
How is the Club America vs Monterrey prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.97 for Club America, 0.85 for Monterrey) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Club America predictions
- All Monterrey predictions
- Liga MX predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology