Ecuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Saturday, October 31, 2026, 16:30 (UK time)
Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca: 3-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Delfin SC 3-1 Deportivo Cuenca. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Delfin SC at 69%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.3%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (60%): correct.
Match analysis
Delfin SC and Deportivo Cuenca met on Saturday, October 31, 2026, a Ecuadorian Liga Pro fixture. Venue: Estadio Jocay, Manta. Before kick-off, our model gave Delfin SC a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Deportivo Cuenca 13%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (11.3%), followed by 1-0 (10.0%) and 2-1 (9.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Delfin SC have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Deportivo Cuenca are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Delfin SC score 1.60 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Deportivo Cuenca score 1.20 and concede 0.60. In the table, Delfin SC sit 15th with 35 points from 34 games, Deportivo Cuenca 11th with 44 points from 34. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Delfin SC have averaged 2.31 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.84 for Deportivo Cuenca.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Delfin SC, 1 for Deportivo Cuenca and 0 draws. The most recent ended Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 Delfin SC (May 31, 2026). In double chance terms, "Delfin SC or draw" stands at 87%, "Deportivo Cuenca or draw" at 31% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Our model backs Delfin SC to edge Deportivo Cuenca (69% probability). On recent form, Delfin SC have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Deportivo Cuenca have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 60%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Delfin SC – Deportivo Cuenca. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 48% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Delfin SC 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca | 11.3% |
| Delfin SC 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca | 10.0% |
| Delfin SC 2-1 Deportivo Cuenca | 9.7% |
| Delfin SC 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca | 8.6% |
| Delfin SC 3-0 Deportivo Cuenca | 8.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.26 expected goals for Delfin SC and 0.86 for Deportivo Cuenca, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 60% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Goals look likely in this one. Delfin SC keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Deportivo Cuenca in 10%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Delfin SC expected goals | 2.26 |
| Deportivo Cuenca expected goals | 0.86 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Delfin SC clean sheet | 42% |
| Deportivo Cuenca clean sheet | 10% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Delfin SC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Independiente del Valle · Copa Ecuador | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Orense SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-4 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Manta FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 4-2 | W |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
Deportivo Cuenca
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Manta FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Orense SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | LDU de Quito · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC | 15 | 35 | 34 |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 11 | 44 | 34 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 Delfin SC | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Delfin SC 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
Out and doubtful
Delfin SC
No absences reported.
Deportivo Cuenca
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Delfin SC
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Bedoya3/5
- B. Heras3/5
- G. Heredia3/5
- O. Medina3/5
- Anthony Bedoya2/5
- B. Hernández2/5
- Brian Heras2/5
- Bryan Hernández2/5
- Danny Gabriel Luna Morán2/5
- Danny Luna2/5
- E. Zúñiga2/5
Deportivo Cuenca
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Carlos Arboleda3/5
- Eddie Guevara3/5
- Edison Vega3/5
- Facundo Ferrero3/5
- Jeremy Chacon3/5
- Patricio Boolsen3/5
- Santiago Postel3/5
- C. Arboleda2/5
- David González2/5
- F. Ferrero2/5
- Germán Rivero2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Emelec 0-2 Leones del NorteOct 31, 2026
- Macara 3-0 Barcelona SCOct 31, 2026
- Universidad Catolica 1-2 AucasNov 1, 2026
- Independiente del Valle 2-0 LDU de QuitoNov 1, 2026
- Guayaquil City FC 0-0 LibertadNov 1, 2026
- Orense SC 1-1 Tecnico UniversitarioNov 2, 2026
- Mushuc Runa SC 2-3 Manta FCNov 3, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Delfin SC a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Deportivo Cuenca 13%. Delfin SC are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
2-0 (11.3%), followed by 1-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.7%), 1-1 (8.6%) and 3-0 (8.5%).
Will both teams score in Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The probability that both Delfin SC and Deportivo Cuenca score is 52%. Delfin SC have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Deportivo Cuenca 10%.
How many goals should we expect in Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The model expects 3.12 goals (2.26 for Delfin SC, 0.86 for Deportivo Cuenca). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 60%, over 3.5 goals 38%.
When and where is Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca played?
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 16:30 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio Jocay, Manta.
What form are Delfin SC and Deportivo Cuenca in?
Delfin SC: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 12 conceded). Deportivo Cuenca: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Delfin SC and Deportivo Cuenca?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Delfin SC, 1 for Deportivo Cuenca and 0 draws. The most recent ended Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 Delfin SC (May 31, 2026).
What was the Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Delfin SC 3-1 Deportivo Cuenca. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Delfin SC at 69%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.3%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (60%): correct.
How is the Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.26 for Delfin SC, 0.86 for Deportivo Cuenca) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Delfin SC predictions
- All Deportivo Cuenca predictions
- Ecuadorian Liga Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology