Ecuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Tuesday, November 3, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)
Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC: 2-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Mushuc Runa SC 2-3 Manta FC. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Mushuc Runa SC (43%), while victory for Manta FC was rated at only 30%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.6%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (43%): missed.
Match analysis
Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC was played on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 (Ecuadorian Liga Pro). Venue: Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting Club, Ambato. Before kick-off, our model gave Mushuc Runa SC a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Manta FC 30%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.9%), ahead of 1-0 (12.0%) and 0-1 (9.6%).
Mushuc Runa SC have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Manta FC have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Manta FC. On average Mushuc Runa SC score 1.00 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Manta FC score 1.00 and concede 1.40. In the table, Mushuc Runa SC sit 12th with 40 points from 34 games, Manta FC 16th with 27 points from 34. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Mushuc Runa SC have averaged 1.04 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.38 for Manta FC.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Mushuc Runa SC, 0 for Manta FC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Manta FC 1-2 Mushuc Runa SC (Aug 1, 2026). In double chance terms, "Mushuc Runa SC or draw" stands at 70%, "Manta FC or draw" at 57% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Mushuc Runa SC are favourites for this Mushuc Runa SC v Manta FC, with a 43% win probability from our model. In the table, Mushuc Runa SC (12th, 40 pts) host Manta FC (16th, 27 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Mushuc Runa SC – Manta FC. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa SC 1-1 Manta FC | 12.9% |
| Mushuc Runa SC 1-0 Manta FC | 12.0% |
| Mushuc Runa SC 0-1 Manta FC | 9.6% |
| Mushuc Runa SC 0-0 Manta FC | 9.0% |
| Mushuc Runa SC 2-1 Manta FC | 8.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.41 goals in total (1.34 for Mushuc Runa SC, 1.07 for Manta FC): over 2.5 goals has a 43% probability and both teams to score 49%. Mushuc Runa SC keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Manta FC in 26%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa SC expected goals | 1.34 |
| Manta FC expected goals | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% |
| Mushuc Runa SC clean sheet | 34% |
| Manta FC clean sheet | 26% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Mushuc Runa SC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-3 | L |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Orense SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-3 | L |
Manta FC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 2-4 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Orense SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aucas · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mushuc Runa SC | 12 | 40 | 34 |
| Manta FC | 16 | 27 | 34 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Manta FC 1-2 Mushuc Runa SC | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Mushuc Runa SC 1-0 Manta FC | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
Out and doubtful
Mushuc Runa SC
No absences reported.
Manta FC
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Mushuc Runa SC
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Zambrano3/5
- Cristopher Adonis Angulo Caicedo3/5
- Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón3/5
- M. Hernández3/5
- M. Perea3/5
- R. Formento3/5
- Ronny Alfonso Biojo Preciado3/5
- Arnaldo Zambrano2/5
- Cristopher Angulo2/5
- F. Carabalí2/5
- F. Mina2/5
Manta FC
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Medina3/5
- B. Ramírez3/5
- F. Zambrano3/5
- J. Alman3/5
- J. Jiménez3/5
- J. Vergés3/5
- José Enrique Angulo Caicedo3/5
- O. Moscarelli3/5
- Braian Ramírez2/5
- G. Mina2/5
- Glendys Mina2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Delfin SC 3-1 Deportivo CuencaOct 31, 2026
- Emelec 0-2 Leones del NorteOct 31, 2026
- Macara 3-0 Barcelona SCOct 31, 2026
- Universidad Catolica 1-2 AucasNov 1, 2026
- Independiente del Valle 2-0 LDU de QuitoNov 1, 2026
- Guayaquil City FC 0-0 LibertadNov 1, 2026
- Orense SC 1-1 Tecnico UniversitarioNov 2, 2026
- Libertad 0-1 EmelecNov 7, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Mushuc Runa SC a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Manta FC 30%. Mushuc Runa SC are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC?
1-1 (12.9%), followed by 1-0 (12.0%), 0-1 (9.6%), 0-0 (9.0%) and 2-1 (8.6%).
Will both teams score in Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC?
The probability that both Mushuc Runa SC and Manta FC score is 49%. Mushuc Runa SC have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Manta FC 26%.
How many goals should we expect in Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC?
The model expects 2.41 goals (1.34 for Mushuc Runa SC, 1.07 for Manta FC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 69%, over 2.5 goals 43%, over 3.5 goals 22%.
When and where is Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC played?
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting Club, Ambato.
What form are Mushuc Runa SC and Manta FC in?
Mushuc Runa SC: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 11 conceded). Manta FC: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Mushuc Runa SC and Manta FC?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Mushuc Runa SC, 0 for Manta FC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Manta FC 1-2 Mushuc Runa SC (Aug 1, 2026).
What was the Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Mushuc Runa SC 2-3 Manta FC. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Mushuc Runa SC (43%), while victory for Manta FC was rated at only 30%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.6%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (43%): missed.
How is the Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.34 for Mushuc Runa SC, 1.07 for Manta FC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Mushuc Runa SC predictions
- All Manta FC predictions
- Ecuadorian Liga Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology