Skip to content
Elofoot

Ecuadorian Liga ProEcuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 21:00 (UK time)

Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC0 – 0LibertadLibertad

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Guayaquil City FC 0-0 Libertad. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Libertad (42%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (70%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (70%): missed.

Match analysis

Guayaquil City FC and Libertad met on Sunday, November 1, 2026, a Ecuadorian Liga Pro fixture. Venue: Estadio Christian Benitez, Guayaquil. Before kick-off, our model gave Guayaquil City FC a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Libertad 42%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (8.8%), followed by 1-2 (8.2%) and 2-1 (7.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, Guayaquil City FC have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Libertad have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Guayaquil City FC score 1.60 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Libertad score 2.40 and concede 1.60. In the table, Guayaquil City FC sit 9th with 46 points from 34 games, Libertad 7th with 50 points from 34. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Guayaquil City FC have averaged 1.60 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.04 for Libertad.

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Guayaquil City FC, 1 for Libertad and 2 draws. The most recent ended Guayaquil City FC 2-2 Libertad (Aug 15, 2026). In double chance terms, "Guayaquil City FC or draw" stands at 58%, "Libertad or draw" at 64% and "no draw" at 78%.

In short : Guayaquil City FC and Libertad meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 22%). In the table, Guayaquil City FC (9th, 46 pts) host Libertad (7th, 50 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

36%
Guayaquil City FC (Win)
22%
Draw
42%
Libertad (Win)

Double chance

58%
Guayaquil City FC or draw
64%
Libertad or draw
78%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Guayaquil City FC – Libertad. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 37% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Guayaquil City FC 1-1 Libertad8.8%
Guayaquil City FC 1-2 Libertad8.2%
Guayaquil City FC 2-1 Libertad7.6%
Guayaquil City FC 2-2 Libertad7.2%
Guayaquil City FC 1-3 Libertad5.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.74 expected goals for Guayaquil City FC and 1.88 for Libertad, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 70% and "both teams to score" at 70%. Goals look likely in this one. Guayaquil City FC keep a clean sheet in 15% of scenarios, Libertad in 18%.

Probability
Guayaquil City FC expected goals1.74
Libertad expected goals1.88
Both teams to score70%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
Over 3.5 goals49%
Guayaquil City FC clean sheet15%
Libertad clean sheet18%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Guayaquil City FC

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Emelec · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-0W
Oct 17, 2026Libertad · Ecuadorian Liga Pro0-4L
Oct 10, 2026Emelec · Ecuadorian Liga Pro3-2W
Sep 19, 2026Leones del Norte · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D
Sep 12, 2026Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro3-1W

Libertad

DateOpponentScore
Oct 25, 2026Leones del Norte · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-4L
Oct 17, 2026Guayaquil City FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro4-0W
Oct 9, 2026Leones del Norte · Ecuadorian Liga Pro3-0W
Sep 20, 2026Emelec · Ecuadorian Liga Pro2-1W
Sep 14, 2026Independiente del Valle · Ecuadorian Liga Pro2-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Guayaquil City FC94634
Libertad75034

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Guayaquil City FC 2-2 LibertadLiga Pro
Apr 21, 2026Libertad 0-1 Guayaquil City FCLiga Pro
Oct 10, 2023Libertad 1-0 Guayaquil City FCLiga Pro
May 6, 2023Guayaquil City FC 1-1 LibertadLiga Pro

Out and doubtful

Guayaquil City FC

No absences reported.

Libertad

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Guayaquil City FC

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Diego Dorregaray3/5
  • Dixon Arroyo3/5
  • Edinson Mero3/5
  • Junior Ayovi3/5
  • Pablo González3/5
  • Roger Arias3/5
  • Yardely Rodriguez3/5
  • Anderson Naula2/5
  • D. Arroyo2/5
  • D. Dorregaray2/5
  • E. Ladines2/5

Libertad

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Caicedo4/5
  • D. Cabezas4/5
  • E. Patta4/5
  • R. Morinigo4/5
  • A. Chére3/5
  • G. Cortéz3/5
  • J. Bravo3/5
  • J. Rodríguez3/5
  • O. Quiñónez3/5
  • Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín3/5
  • X. Pineda3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Guayaquil City FC a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Libertad 42%. Libertad are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?

1-1 (8.8%), followed by 1-2 (8.2%), 2-1 (7.6%), 2-2 (7.2%) and 1-3 (5.2%).

Will both teams score in Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?

The probability that both Guayaquil City FC and Libertad score is 70%. Guayaquil City FC have a 15% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Libertad 18%.

How many goals should we expect in Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad?

The model expects 3.62 goals (1.74 for Guayaquil City FC, 1.88 for Libertad). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 88%, over 2.5 goals 70%, over 3.5 goals 49%.

When and where is Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad played?

Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 21:00 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio Christian Benitez, Guayaquil.

What form are Guayaquil City FC and Libertad in?

Guayaquil City FC: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded). Libertad: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Guayaquil City FC and Libertad?

In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Guayaquil City FC, 1 for Libertad and 2 draws. The most recent ended Guayaquil City FC 2-2 Libertad (Aug 15, 2026).

What was the Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Guayaquil City FC 0-0 Libertad. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Libertad (42%), while a draw was rated at only 22%. The model considered this score unlikely (2.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (70%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (70%): missed.

How is the Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.74 for Guayaquil City FC, 1.88 for Libertad) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained