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Ecuadorian Liga ProEcuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Monday, November 2, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)

Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

Orense SCOrense SC1 – 1Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Orense SC 1-1 Tecnico Universitario. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Tecnico Universitario (41%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (46%): correct.

Match analysis

Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario was played on Monday, November 2, 2026 (Ecuadorian Liga Pro). Venue: Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala. Before kick-off, our model gave Orense SC a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tecnico Universitario 41%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.7%), ahead of 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-0 (9.4%).

Orense SC have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Tecnico Universitario have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 4. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Orense SC score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Tecnico Universitario score 1.20 and concede 0.80. In the table, Orense SC sit 13th with 38 points from 34 games, Tecnico Universitario 15th with 36 points from 34. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Orense SC have averaged 1.02 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.52 for Tecnico Universitario.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Orense SC, 1 for Tecnico Universitario and 1 draw. The most recent ended Orense SC 1-2 Tecnico Universitario (Jul 7, 2026). In double chance terms, "Orense SC or draw" stands at 59%, "Tecnico Universitario or draw" at 68% and "no draw" at 73%.

In short : Tecnico Universitario are favourites for this Orense SC v Tecnico Universitario, with a 41% win probability from our model. On recent form, Orense SC have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Tecnico Universitario have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

32%
Orense SC (Win)
27%
Draw
41%
Tecnico Universitario (Win)

Double chance

59%
Orense SC or draw
68%
Tecnico Universitario or draw
73%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Orense SC – Tecnico Universitario. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Orense SC 1-1 Tecnico Universitario12.7%
Orense SC 0-1 Tecnico Universitario11.1%
Orense SC 1-0 Tecnico Universitario9.4%
Orense SC 1-2 Tecnico Universitario8.6%
Orense SC 0-0 Tecnico Universitario8.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.50 goals in total (1.15 for Orense SC, 1.35 for Tecnico Universitario): over 2.5 goals has a 46% probability and both teams to score 51%. Orense SC keep a clean sheet in 26% of scenarios, Tecnico Universitario in 32%.

Probability
Orense SC expected goals1.15
Tecnico Universitario expected goals1.35
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Orense SC clean sheet26%
Tecnico Universitario clean sheet32%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Orense SC

DateOpponentScore
Oct 24, 2026Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro4-0W
Oct 19, 2026Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D
Oct 11, 2026Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuadorian Liga Pro0-0D
Sep 21, 2026Manta FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-2L
Sep 15, 2026Universidad Catolica · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-2L

Tecnico Universitario

DateOpponentScore
Oct 26, 2026Mushuc Runa SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro3-0W
Oct 16, 2026Deportivo Cuenca · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-2L
Oct 10, 2026Manta FC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro0-1L
Sep 20, 2026Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D
Sep 13, 2026Leones del Norte · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Orense SC133834
Tecnico Universitario153634

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 7, 2026Orense SC 1-2 Tecnico UniversitarioEcuadorian Liga Pro
Feb 28, 2026Tecnico Universitario 1-1 Orense SCEcuadorian Liga Pro

Out and doubtful

Orense SC

No absences reported.

Tecnico Universitario

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Orense SC

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Agustin Herrera4/5
  • Beder Caicedo4/5
  • Gabriel Achilier4/5
  • Pedro Velasco4/5
  • Rolando Silva4/5
  • Valentín Burgoa3/5
  • Alan Lorenzo2/5
  • Ángel Mena2/5
  • Christian Ortíz2/5
  • Michael Bermúdez2/5
  • Nixon Molina2/5

Tecnico Universitario

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • Ayrton Morales4/5
  • B. Delgado3/5
  • D. Armas3/5
  • E. Mesa3/5
  • J. Anaya3/5
  • J. Majao3/5
  • Adrian Cela2/5
  • Bagner Delgado2/5
  • C. Castaño2/5
  • Diego Armas2/5
  • Edwin Mesa2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Orense SC a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Tecnico Universitario 41%. Tecnico Universitario are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario?

1-1 (12.7%), followed by 0-1 (11.1%), 1-0 (9.4%), 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-0 (8.2%).

Will both teams score in Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario?

The probability that both Orense SC and Tecnico Universitario score is 51%. Orense SC have a 26% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Tecnico Universitario 32%.

How many goals should we expect in Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario?

The model expects 2.50 goals (1.15 for Orense SC, 1.35 for Tecnico Universitario). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 71%, over 2.5 goals 46%, over 3.5 goals 24%.

When and where is Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario played?

Monday, November 2, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio 9 de Mayo, Machala.

What form are Orense SC and Tecnico Universitario in?

Orense SC: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). Tecnico Universitario: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Orense SC and Tecnico Universitario?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Orense SC, 1 for Tecnico Universitario and 1 draw. The most recent ended Orense SC 1-2 Tecnico Universitario (Jul 7, 2026).

What was the Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Orense SC 1-1 Tecnico Universitario. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Tecnico Universitario (41%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (46%): correct.

How is the Orense SC vs Tecnico Universitario prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.15 for Orense SC, 1.35 for Tecnico Universitario) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained