Ecuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Saturday, October 31, 2026, 21:30 (UK time)
Macara vs Barcelona SC: 3-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Macara 3-0 Barcelona SC. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Macara at 63%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.5%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (24%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (26%): missed.
Match analysis
Macara and Barcelona SC met on Saturday, October 31, 2026, a Ecuadorian Liga Pro fixture. Venue: Estadio Bellavista, Ambato. Before kick-off, our model gave Macara a 63% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Barcelona SC 10%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (23.4%), followed by 0-0 (16.9%) and 2-0 (16.3%).
Macara are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 2. Barcelona SC have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Macara therefore arrive in far better shape than Barcelona SC. On average Macara score 1.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Barcelona SC score 1.60 and concede 1.00. In the table, Macara sit 2nd with 63 points from 34 games, Barcelona SC 6th with 48 points from 33. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Macara have averaged 1.01 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.53 for Barcelona SC.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Macara, 0 for Barcelona SC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Barcelona SC 1-2 Macara (Aug 9, 2026). In double chance terms, "Macara or draw" stands at 90%, "Barcelona SC or draw" at 37% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Our model backs Macara to edge Barcelona SC (63% probability). In the table, Macara (2nd, 63 pts) host Barcelona SC (6th, 48 pts). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Macara – Barcelona SC. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (23.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 73% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Macara 1-0 Barcelona SC | 23.4% |
| Macara 0-0 Barcelona SC | 16.9% |
| Macara 2-0 Barcelona SC | 16.3% |
| Macara 1-1 Barcelona SC | 9.1% |
| Macara 3-0 Barcelona SC | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.39 expected goals for Macara and 0.39 for Barcelona SC, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 26% and "both teams to score" at 24%. Few goals are expected here. Macara keep a clean sheet in 68% of scenarios, Barcelona SC in 25%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Macara expected goals | 1.39 |
| Barcelona SC expected goals | 0.39 |
| Both teams to score | 24% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% |
| Macara clean sheet | 68% |
| Barcelona SC clean sheet | 25% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Macara
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | LDU de Quito · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Independiente del Valle · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Universidad Catolica · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aucas · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Emelec · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-0 | W |
Barcelona SC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aucas · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 4-0 | W |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Universidad Catolica · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | LDU de Quito · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Delfin SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Aucas · Ecuadorian Liga Pro | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macara | 2 | 63 | 34 |
| Barcelona SC | 6 | 48 | 33 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Barcelona SC 1-2 Macara | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Macara 3-1 Barcelona SC | Ecuadorian Liga Pro |
Out and doubtful
Macara
No absences reported.
Barcelona SC
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Macara
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Posse3/5
- J. Cazares3/5
- J. Marrufo3/5
- J. Mohor3/5
- M. Tello3/5
- M. Viera3/5
- R. Rodriguez3/5
- A. Campana2/5
- Agustin Campana2/5
- Denilson Bolaños2/5
- Franco Posse2/5
Barcelona SC
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Jefferson Wila5/5
- B. Carabalí3/5
- G. Vallecilla3/5
- J. Báez3/5
- J. Contreras3/5
- J. García3/5
- M. Lugo3/5
- D. Benedetto2/5
- D. Díaz2/5
- Gustavo Vallecilla2/5
- J. Perlaza2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Delfin SC 3-1 Deportivo CuencaOct 31, 2026
- Emelec 0-2 Leones del NorteOct 31, 2026
- Universidad Catolica 1-2 AucasNov 1, 2026
- Independiente del Valle 2-0 LDU de QuitoNov 1, 2026
- Guayaquil City FC 0-0 LibertadNov 1, 2026
- Orense SC 1-1 Tecnico UniversitarioNov 2, 2026
- Mushuc Runa SC 2-3 Manta FCNov 3, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Macara vs Barcelona SC prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Macara a 63% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Barcelona SC 10%. Macara are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Macara vs Barcelona SC?
1-0 (23.4%), followed by 0-0 (16.9%), 2-0 (16.3%), 1-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Macara vs Barcelona SC?
The probability that both Macara and Barcelona SC score is 24%. Macara have a 68% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Barcelona SC 25%.
How many goals should we expect in Macara vs Barcelona SC?
The model expects 1.78 goals (1.39 for Macara, 0.39 for Barcelona SC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 53%, over 2.5 goals 26%, over 3.5 goals 11%.
When and where is Macara vs Barcelona SC played?
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 21:30 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio Bellavista, Ambato.
What form are Macara and Barcelona SC in?
Macara: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded). Barcelona SC: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Macara and Barcelona SC?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Macara, 0 for Barcelona SC and 0 draws. The most recent ended Barcelona SC 1-2 Macara (Aug 9, 2026).
What was the Macara vs Barcelona SC result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Macara 3-0 Barcelona SC. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Macara at 63%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.5%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (24%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (26%): missed.
How is the Macara vs Barcelona SC prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.39 for Macara, 0.39 for Barcelona SC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Macara predictions
- All Barcelona SC predictions
- Ecuadorian Liga Pro predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology