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Ecuadorian Liga ProEcuadorian Liga Pro· Kick-off : Sunday, November 1, 2026, 18:30 (UK time)

Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle2 – 0LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Independiente del Valle 2-0 LDU de Quito. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Independiente del Valle at 49%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (10.6%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (41%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (36%): correct.

Match analysis

Independiente del Valle and LDU de Quito met on Sunday, November 1, 2026, a Ecuadorian Liga Pro fixture. Venue: Estadio Banco De Guayaquil, Quito. Before kick-off, our model gave Independiente del Valle a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and LDU de Quito 23%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (15.8%), followed by 1-1 (12.6%) and 0-0 (11.8%).

Over their last 5 matches, Independiente del Valle have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, LDU de Quito have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Independiente del Valle score 1.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; LDU de Quito score 1.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Independiente del Valle sit 1st with 78 points from 33 games, LDU de Quito 4th with 53 points from 34. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Independiente del Valle have averaged 0.95 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.13 for LDU de Quito.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Independiente del Valle, 1 for LDU de Quito and 0 draws. The most recent ended LDU de Quito 0-2 Independiente del Valle (Aug 8, 2026). In double chance terms, "Independiente del Valle or draw" stands at 77%, "LDU de Quito or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 72%.

In short : Independiente del Valle are favourites for this Independiente del Valle v LDU de Quito, with a 49% win probability from our model. On recent form, Independiente del Valle have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while LDU de Quito have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

49%
Independiente del Valle (Win)
28%
Draw
23%
LDU de Quito (Win)

Double chance

77%
Independiente del Valle or draw
51%
LDU de Quito or draw
72%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Independiente del Valle – LDU de Quito. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 60% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Independiente del Valle 1-0 LDU de Quito15.8%
Independiente del Valle 1-1 LDU de Quito12.6%
Independiente del Valle 0-0 LDU de Quito11.8%
Independiente del Valle 2-0 LDU de Quito10.6%
Independiente del Valle 0-1 LDU de Quito9.4%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.34 expected goals for Independiente del Valle and 0.80 for LDU de Quito, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 36% and "both teams to score" at 41%. Few goals are expected here. Independiente del Valle keep a clean sheet in 45% of scenarios, LDU de Quito in 26%.

Probability
Independiente del Valle expected goals1.34
LDU de Quito expected goals0.80
Both teams to score41%
Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Independiente del Valle clean sheet45%
LDU de Quito clean sheet26%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Independiente del Valle

DateOpponentScore
Oct 29, 2026Delfin SC · Copa Ecuador3-0W
Oct 23, 2026Universidad Catolica · Ecuadorian Liga Pro0-0D
Oct 17, 2026Macara · Ecuadorian Liga Pro0-1L
Oct 10, 2026Aucas · Ecuadorian Liga Pro2-1W
Sep 25, 2026Gualaceo SC · Copa Ecuador2-0W

LDU de Quito

DateOpponentScore
Oct 30, 2026Universidad Catolica · Copa Ecuador2-2D
Oct 24, 2026Macara · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-2L
Oct 17, 2026Aucas · Ecuadorian Liga Pro1-1D
Oct 11, 2026Barcelona SC · Ecuadorian Liga Pro2-1W
Sep 21, 2026Universidad Catolica · Ecuadorian Liga Pro2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Independiente del Valle17833
LDU de Quito45334

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026LDU de Quito 0-2 Independiente del ValleEcuadorian Liga Pro
Apr 19, 2026Independiente del Valle 0-2 LDU de QuitoEcuadorian Liga Pro

Out and doubtful

Independiente del Valle

No absences reported.

LDU de Quito

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Independiente del Valle

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Sornoza3/5
  • L. Loor3/5
  • M. Carabajal3/5
  • R. Schunke3/5
  • A. Quintana2/5
  • Aldair Quintana2/5
  • D. A. Romero Padilla2/5
  • H. Quintana2/5
  • Mateo Carabajal2/5
  • Matías Perello2/5
  • C. Gonzalez1/5

LDU de Quito

Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).

  • Yerlin Quinonez4/4
  • F. Cornejo3/4
  • G. Allala3/4
  • G. Valle3/4
  • J. Pretell3/4
  • M. Weigandt3/4
  • Ricardo Ade3/4
  • J. Corozo2/4
  • L. Rodríguez2/4
  • Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla2/4
  • M. Estrada2/4

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Independiente del Valle a 49% chance of winning, the draw 28% and LDU de Quito 23%. Independiente del Valle are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito?

1-0 (15.8%), followed by 1-1 (12.6%), 0-0 (11.8%), 2-0 (10.6%) and 0-1 (9.4%).

Will both teams score in Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito?

The probability that both Independiente del Valle and LDU de Quito score is 41%. Independiente del Valle have a 45% chance of keeping a clean sheet, LDU de Quito 26%.

How many goals should we expect in Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito?

The model expects 2.14 goals (1.34 for Independiente del Valle, 0.80 for LDU de Quito). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 63%, over 2.5 goals 36%, over 3.5 goals 17%.

When and where is Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito played?

Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 18:30 (UK time), Ecuadorian Liga Pro. Venue: Estadio Banco De Guayaquil, Quito.

What form are Independiente del Valle and LDU de Quito in?

Independiente del Valle: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded). LDU de Quito: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Independiente del Valle and LDU de Quito?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Independiente del Valle, 1 for LDU de Quito and 0 draws. The most recent ended LDU de Quito 0-2 Independiente del Valle (Aug 8, 2026).

What was the Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Independiente del Valle 2-0 LDU de Quito. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Independiente del Valle at 49%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (10.6%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (41%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (36%): correct.

How is the Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.34 for Independiente del Valle, 0.80 for LDU de Quito) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained