Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, August 23, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Angers vs Lille: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Angers 0-2 Lille. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Lille was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (11.6%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (22%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (17%): correct.
Match analysis
Angers vs Lille was played on Sunday, August 23, 2026 (Ligue 1, matchday 1). Venue: Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers. Before kick-off, our model gave Angers a 16% chance of winning, the draw 36% and Lille 48%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (24.7%), ahead of 0-1 (23.9%) and 0-2 (11.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Angers have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Lille have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 8. Recent momentum is clearly with Angers. On average Angers score 2.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Lille score 2.60 and concede 1.60.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Angers, 2 for Lille and 0 draws. The most recent ended Angers 0-1 Lille (Feb 22, 2026). Angers out or doubtful: H. Belkebla. Lille: B. Andre and M. Fernandez-Pardo. In double chance terms, "Angers or draw" stands at 52%, "Lille or draw" at 84% and "no draw" at 64%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Angers – Lille. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (24.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 81% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Angers 0-0 Lille | 24.7% |
| Angers 0-1 Lille | 23.9% |
| Angers 0-2 Lille | 11.6% |
| Angers 1-0 Lille | 10.6% |
| Angers 1-1 Lille | 10.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.40 goals in total (0.43 for Angers, 0.97 for Lille): over 2.5 goals has a 17% probability and both teams to score 22%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Angers keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Lille in 65%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Angers expected goals | 0.43 |
| Lille expected goals | 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 22% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 41% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5% |
| Angers clean sheet | 38% |
| Lille clean sheet | 65% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Angers
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paris FC · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lorient · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Le Mans · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Creteil · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Les Herbiers · Club Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
Lille
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Everton · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hamburger SV · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OH Leuven · Club Friendlies | 6-3 | W |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jul 18, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| Lille | 11 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Angers 0-1 Lille | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Lille 1-0 Angers | Ligue 1 |
Out and doubtful
Angers
- H. Belkebla (out)
Lille
- B. Andre (out)
- M. Fernandez-Pardo (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Marseille 4-0 StrasbourgAug 21, 2026
- Lens 5-2 AuxerreAug 22, 2026
- Nice 0-0 LorientAug 22, 2026
- Estac Troyes 0-0 Paris FCAug 22, 2026
- Le Mans 2-2 Stade Brestois 29Aug 22, 2026
- Toulouse 0-2 LyonAug 22, 2026
- Le Havre 0-1 MonacoAug 23, 2026
- Rennes 2-2 Paris Saint GermainAug 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Angers vs Lille prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Angers a 16% chance of winning, the draw 36% and Lille 48%. Lille are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Angers vs Lille?
0-0 (24.7%), followed by 0-1 (23.9%), 0-2 (11.6%), 1-0 (10.6%) and 1-1 (10.3%).
Will both teams score in Angers vs Lille?
The probability that both Angers and Lille score is 22%. Angers have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lille 65%.
How many goals should we expect in Angers vs Lille?
The model expects 1.40 goals (0.43 for Angers, 0.97 for Lille). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 41%, over 2.5 goals 17%, over 3.5 goals 5%.
When and where is Angers vs Lille played?
Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 1. Venue: Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers.
What form are Angers and Lille in?
Angers: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 8 conceded). Lille: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Angers and Lille?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Angers, 2 for Lille and 0 draws. The most recent ended Angers 0-1 Lille (Feb 22, 2026).
What was the Angers vs Lille result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Angers 0-2 Lille. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Lille was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (11.6%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (22%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (17%): correct.
How is the Angers vs Lille prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.43 for Angers, 0.97 for Lille) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.