Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, August 23, 2026, 16:15 (UK time)
Le Havre vs Monaco: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Le Havre 0-1 Monaco. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Monaco at 51%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.
Match analysis
Le Havre and Monaco met on Sunday, August 23, 2026, a Ligue 1, matchday 1 fixture. Venue: Stade Océane, Le Havre. Before kick-off, our model gave Le Havre a 25% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monaco 51%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.3%), followed by 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Le Havre have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Monaco have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Monaco therefore arrive in far better shape than Le Havre. On average Le Havre score 1.20 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Monaco score 1.80 and concede 1.60.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Le Havre, 1 for Monaco and 1 draw. The most recent ended Le Havre 0-0 Monaco (Jan 24, 2026). Le Havre out or doubtful: F. Mambimbi, A. Toure and S. Zagadou. Monaco: A. Fati, C. Mawissa and M. Salisu. In double chance terms, "Le Havre or draw" stands at 49%, "Monaco or draw" at 75% and "no draw" at 76%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Le Havre – Monaco. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 46% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Le Havre 1-1 Monaco | 11.3% |
| Le Havre 0-1 Monaco | 10.1% |
| Le Havre 1-2 Monaco | 9.6% |
| Le Havre 0-2 Monaco | 8.6% |
| Le Havre 1-0 Monaco | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.12 expected goals for Le Havre and 1.70 for Monaco, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 54% and "both teams to score" at 55%. Le Havre keep a clean sheet in 18% of scenarios, Monaco in 33%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Le Havre expected goals | 1.12 |
| Monaco expected goals | 1.70 |
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Le Havre clean sheet | 18% |
| Monaco clean sheet | 33% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Le Havre
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Le Mans · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oviedo · Club Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ipswich · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Laval · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | RED Star FC 93 · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Monaco
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze · UEFA Conference League | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Coventry · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Liverpool · Club Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Getafe · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cercle Brugge · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| Monaco | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Le Havre 0-0 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Monaco 3-1 Le Havre | Ligue 1 |
Out and doubtful
Le Havre
- F. Mambimbi (out)
- A. Toure (out)
- S. Zagadou (out)
Monaco
- A. Fati (out)
- C. Mawissa (out)
- M. Salisu (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Marseille 4-0 StrasbourgAug 21, 2026
- Lens 5-2 AuxerreAug 22, 2026
- Nice 0-0 LorientAug 22, 2026
- Estac Troyes 0-0 Paris FCAug 22, 2026
- Le Mans 2-2 Stade Brestois 29Aug 22, 2026
- Toulouse 0-2 LyonAug 22, 2026
- Angers 0-2 LilleAug 23, 2026
- Rennes 2-2 Paris Saint GermainAug 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Le Havre vs Monaco prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Le Havre a 25% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monaco 51%. Monaco are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Le Havre vs Monaco?
1-1 (11.3%), followed by 0-1 (10.1%), 1-2 (9.6%), 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-0 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in Le Havre vs Monaco?
The probability that both Le Havre and Monaco score is 55%. Le Havre have a 18% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Monaco 33%.
How many goals should we expect in Le Havre vs Monaco?
The model expects 2.82 goals (1.12 for Le Havre, 1.70 for Monaco). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 31%.
When and where is Le Havre vs Monaco played?
Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 1. Venue: Stade Océane, Le Havre.
What form are Le Havre and Monaco in?
Le Havre: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded). Monaco: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Monaco?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Le Havre, 1 for Monaco and 1 draw. The most recent ended Le Havre 0-0 Monaco (Jan 24, 2026).
What was the Le Havre vs Monaco result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Le Havre 0-1 Monaco. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Monaco at 51%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (10.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (55%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.
How is the Le Havre vs Monaco prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.12 for Le Havre, 1.70 for Monaco) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.