Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, August 22, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Nice vs Lorient: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Nice 0-0 Lorient. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Nice (51%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
Match analysis
Nice and Lorient met on Saturday, August 22, 2026, a Ligue 1, matchday 1 fixture. Venue: Allianz Riviera, Nice. Before kick-off, our model gave Nice a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lorient 24%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Nice have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Over their last 5 matches, Lorient have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Nice score 1.40 and concede 0.40 goals per game; Lorient score 2.00 and concede 1.40.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Nice, 1 for Lorient and 2 draws. The most recent ended Lorient 0-0 Nice (Mar 4, 2026). Nice out or doubtful: M. Abdelmonem, L. Abergel, M. Bombito and N. Ngoumou. Lorient: M. Bamba. In double chance terms, "Nice or draw" stands at 76%, "Lorient or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Nice – Lorient. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Nice 1-1 Lorient | 11.8% |
| Nice 1-0 Lorient | 11.4% |
| Nice 2-1 Lorient | 9.5% |
| Nice 2-0 Lorient | 9.2% |
| Nice 0-1 Lorient | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.61 expected goals for Nice and 1.04 for Lorient, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Nice keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Lorient in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Nice expected goals | 1.61 |
| Lorient expected goals | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Nice clean sheet | 35% |
| Lorient clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Nice
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hull City · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cagliari · Club Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Juventus · Club Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Marseille · Club Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nimes · Club Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
Lorient
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Elversberg · Club Friendlies | 1-4 | L |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Angers · Club Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 4, 2026 | UNFP · Club Friendlies | 5-1 | W |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Guingamp · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nantes · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| Lorient | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Lorient 0-0 Nice | Coupe de France |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Nice 3-3 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Lorient 3-1 Nice | Ligue 1 |
Out and doubtful
Nice
- M. Abdelmonem (out)
- L. Abergel (out)
- M. Bombito (out)
- N. Ngoumou (out)
Lorient
- M. Bamba (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Marseille 4-0 StrasbourgAug 21, 2026
- Lens 5-2 AuxerreAug 22, 2026
- Estac Troyes 0-0 Paris FCAug 22, 2026
- Le Mans 2-2 Stade Brestois 29Aug 22, 2026
- Toulouse 0-2 LyonAug 22, 2026
- Angers 0-2 LilleAug 23, 2026
- Le Havre 0-1 MonacoAug 23, 2026
- Rennes 2-2 Paris Saint GermainAug 23, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Nice vs Lorient prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Nice a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lorient 24%. Nice are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Nice vs Lorient?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.2%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Nice vs Lorient?
The probability that both Nice and Lorient score is 52%. Nice have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lorient 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Nice vs Lorient?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.61 for Nice, 1.04 for Lorient). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Nice vs Lorient played?
Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 1. Venue: Allianz Riviera, Nice.
What form are Nice and Lorient in?
Nice: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 2 conceded). Lorient: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Nice and Lorient?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Nice, 1 for Lorient and 2 draws. The most recent ended Lorient 0-0 Nice (Mar 4, 2026).
What was the Nice vs Lorient result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Nice 0-0 Lorient. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Nice (51%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.
How is the Nice vs Lorient prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.61 for Nice, 1.04 for Lorient) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.