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Ligue 1Ligue 1· Kick-off : Saturday, August 22, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Estac Troyes vs Paris FC: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

Estac TroyesEstac Troyes0 – 0Paris FCParis FC

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Estac Troyes 0-0 Paris FC. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Estac Troyes (55%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

Estac Troyes and Paris FC met on Saturday, August 22, 2026, a Ligue 1, matchday 1 fixture. Venue: Stade de l'Aube, Troyes. Before kick-off, our model gave Estac Troyes a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Paris FC 21%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (10.0%).

Estac Troyes are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 and conceding 4. Paris FC have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 11. Estac Troyes therefore arrive in far better shape than Paris FC. On average Estac Troyes score 2.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Paris FC score 1.40 and concede 2.20.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Estac Troyes, 4 for Paris FC and 1 draw. Estac Troyes out or doubtful: I. Boura and A. Fatah. Paris FC: J. Ikone, E. Mbemba, N. Sangui and O. Sissoko. In double chance terms, "Estac Troyes or draw" stands at 79%, "Paris FC or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

55%
Estac Troyes (Win)
24%
Draw
21%
Paris FC (Win)

Double chance

79%
Estac Troyes or draw
45%
Paris FC or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Estac Troyes – Paris FC. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Estac Troyes 1-0 Paris FC11.7%
Estac Troyes 1-1 Paris FC11.3%
Estac Troyes 2-0 Paris FC10.0%
Estac Troyes 2-1 Paris FC9.7%
Estac Troyes 0-0 Paris FC6.8%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.72 expected goals for Estac Troyes and 0.97 for Paris FC, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 50% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Estac Troyes keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Paris FC in 18%.

Probability
Estac Troyes expected goals1.72
Paris FC expected goals0.97
Both teams to score51%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Estac Troyes clean sheet38%
Paris FC clean sheet18%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Estac Troyes

DateOpponentScore
Aug 14, 2026Panetolikos · Club Friendlies1-1D
Aug 8, 2026Auxerre · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jul 31, 2026Chasselay MDA · Club Friendlies5-2W
Jul 25, 2026Grenoble · Club Friendlies3-0W
Jul 18, 2026RED Star FC 93 · Club Friendlies1-0W

Paris FC

DateOpponentScore
Aug 15, 2026Angers · Club Friendlies2-3L
Aug 8, 2026FSV Mainz 05 · Club Friendlies0-4L
Aug 1, 2026VfB Stuttgart · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 24, 2026Como · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jul 18, 2026Reims · Club Friendlies1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Estac Troyes1600
Paris FC1000

Head-to-head

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Estac Troyes, 4 for Paris FC and 1 draw.

Out and doubtful

Estac Troyes

  • I. Boura (out)
  • A. Fatah (out)

Paris FC

  • J. Ikone (out)
  • E. Mbemba (out)
  • N. Sangui (out)
  • O. Sissoko (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Estac Troyes vs Paris FC prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Estac Troyes a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Paris FC 21%. Estac Troyes are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Estac Troyes vs Paris FC?

1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%), 2-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.8%).

Will both teams score in Estac Troyes vs Paris FC?

The probability that both Estac Troyes and Paris FC score is 51%. Estac Troyes have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Paris FC 18%.

How many goals should we expect in Estac Troyes vs Paris FC?

The model expects 2.69 goals (1.72 for Estac Troyes, 0.97 for Paris FC). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Estac Troyes vs Paris FC played?

Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 1. Venue: Stade de l'Aube, Troyes.

What form are Estac Troyes and Paris FC in?

Estac Troyes: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 4 conceded). Paris FC: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 11 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Estac Troyes and Paris FC?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Estac Troyes, 4 for Paris FC and 1 draw.

What was the Estac Troyes vs Paris FC result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Estac Troyes 0-0 Paris FC. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Estac Troyes (55%), while a draw was rated at only 24%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (6.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the Estac Troyes vs Paris FC prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.72 for Estac Troyes, 0.97 for Paris FC) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained