Ligue 1· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 16:15 (UK time)
Paris FC vs Rennes prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Ligue 1, matchday 7: Paris FC vs Rennes kicks off on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time). Venue: Stade Jean Bouin, Isilemulino. Our model makes Paris FC clear favourites: a 72% chance of winning, against 16% for the draw and 12% for Rennes. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (9.9%), followed by 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (8.4%).
Paris FC are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Rennes have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Paris FC therefore arrive in far better shape than Rennes. On average Paris FC score 1.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Rennes score 0.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, Paris FC sit 3rd with 11 points from 5 games, Rennes 5th with 10 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Paris FC, 2 for Rennes and 0 draws. The most recent ended Rennes 2-1 Paris FC (May 10, 2026). Paris FC out or doubtful: E. Mbemba (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Paris FC or draw" stands at 88%, "Rennes or draw" at 28% and "no draw" at 84%.
In short : Paris FC are tipped by our AI model in this Paris FC v Rennes (72%). In the table, Paris FC (3rd, 11 pts) host Rennes (5th, 10 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Paris FC – Rennes. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (9.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Paris FC 2-0 Rennes | 9.9% |
| Paris FC 2-1 Rennes | 9.3% |
| Paris FC 3-0 Rennes | 8.4% |
| Paris FC 3-1 Rennes | 7.9% |
| Paris FC 1-0 Rennes | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.55 expected goals for Paris FC and 0.94 for Rennes, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 68% and "both teams to score" at 56%. Goals look likely in this one. Paris FC keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Rennes in 8%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Paris FC expected goals | 2.55 |
| Rennes expected goals | 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% |
| Paris FC clean sheet | 39% |
| Rennes clean sheet | 8% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Paris FC
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Strasbourg · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lyon · Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Marseille · Ligue 1 | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Nice · Ligue 1 | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Estac Troyes · Ligue 1 | 0-0 | D |
Rennes
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Laval · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lyon · Ligue 1 | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sturm Graz · UEFA Europa League | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Marseille · Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Angers · Ligue 1 | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 3 | 11 | 5 |
| Rennes | 5 | 10 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Rennes 2-1 Paris FC | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Paris FC 0-1 Rennes | Ligue 1 |
Out and doubtful
Paris FC
- E. Mbemba (doubtful)
Rennes
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Paris FC
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Adama Camara4/5
- Diego Coppola4/5
- Ilan Kebbal4/5
- Kevin Trapp4/5
- Lassine Sinayoko4/5
- Pablo Pagis4/5
- Pierre Lees Melou4/5
- Luca Koleosho3/5
- Maxime López3/5
- Samir Chergui3/5
- Hamari Traoré2/5
Rennes
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Cresswell5/5
- M. Camara5/5
- A. Rouault4/5
- A. Thomasson4/5
- B. Samba4/5
- V. Rongier4/5
- E. Lepaul3/5
- L. Blas3/5
- P. Frankowski3/5
- Q. Merlin3/5
- A. Nordin2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Le Mans – ToulouseOct 16, 2026
- Strasbourg – Paris Saint GermainOct 17, 2026
- Estac Troyes – LensOct 17, 2026
- Lille – Stade Brestois 29Oct 17, 2026
- Angers – MarseilleOct 18, 2026
- Le Havre – AuxerreOct 18, 2026
- Lorient – MonacoOct 18, 2026
- Lyon – NiceOct 18, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Paris FC vs Rennes prediction?
Our AI gives Paris FC a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Rennes 12%. Paris FC are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Paris FC vs Rennes?
2-0 (9.9%), followed by 2-1 (9.3%), 3-0 (8.4%), 3-1 (7.9%) and 1-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Rennes?
The probability that both Paris FC and Rennes score is 56%. Paris FC have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Rennes 8%.
How many goals should we expect in Paris FC vs Rennes?
The model expects 3.49 goals (2.55 for Paris FC, 0.94 for Rennes). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 68%, over 3.5 goals 46%.
When and where is Paris FC vs Rennes played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 16:15 (UK time), Ligue 1, matchday 7. Venue: Stade Jean Bouin, Isilemulino.
What form are Paris FC and Rennes in?
Paris FC: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded). Rennes: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Paris FC and Rennes?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Paris FC, 2 for Rennes and 0 draws. The most recent ended Rennes 2-1 Paris FC (May 10, 2026).
How is the Paris FC vs Rennes prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.55 for Paris FC, 0.94 for Rennes) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.