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Premier LeaguePremier League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 19, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)

Everton vs Ipswich: 1-0 result and AI prediction review

EvertonEverton1 – 0IpswichIpswich

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Everton 1-0 Ipswich. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Everton was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.

Match analysis

Everton vs Ipswich was played on Saturday, September 19, 2026 (Premier League, matchday 5). Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. Before kick-off, our model gave Everton a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ipswich 28%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.5%), ahead of 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Everton are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 3. Over their last 5 matches, Ipswich have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Recent momentum is clearly with Everton. On average Everton score 1.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Ipswich score 2.00 and concede 2.80. In the table, Everton sit 9th with 6 points from 4 games, Ipswich 10th with 6 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Everton have averaged 1.43 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.38 for Ipswich.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Everton, 0 for Ipswich and 1 draw. Everton out or doubtful: C. Norgaard, H. Armstrong and M. Rohl. Ipswich: J. Taylor and A. Matusiwa. In double chance terms, "Everton or draw" stands at 72%, "Ipswich or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 76%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

48%
Everton (Win)
24%
Draw
28%
Ipswich (Win)

Double chance

72%
Everton or draw
52%
Ipswich or draw
76%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Everton – Ipswich. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Everton 1-1 Ipswich11.5%
Everton 1-0 Ipswich9.5%
Everton 2-1 Ipswich9.4%
Everton 2-0 Ipswich7.9%
Everton 0-1 Ipswich6.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.85 goals in total (1.65 for Everton, 1.20 for Ipswich): over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability and both teams to score 57%. Everton keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Ipswich in 19%.

Probability
Everton expected goals1.65
Ipswich expected goals1.20
Both teams to score57%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Everton clean sheet30%
Ipswich clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Everton

DateOpponentScore
Sep 16, 2026Wolves · EFL Cup1-0W
Sep 12, 2026Tottenham · Premier League0-0D
Sep 6, 2026Manchester United · Premier League2-2D
Aug 29, 2026Bournemouth · Premier League1-1D
Aug 26, 2026Preston · EFL Cup4-0W

Ipswich

DateOpponentScore
Sep 15, 2026Arsenal · EFL Cup2-4L
Sep 12, 2026Crystal Palace · Premier League3-2W
Sep 4, 2026Liverpool · Premier League0-2L
Aug 30, 2026Manchester United · Premier League2-5L
Aug 25, 2026Leicester · EFL Cup3-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Everton964
Ipswich1064

Head-to-head

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Everton, 0 for Ipswich and 1 draw.

Out and doubtful

Everton

  • C. Norgaard (out)
  • H. Armstrong (out)
  • M. Rohl (out)

Ipswich

  • J. Taylor (out)
  • A. Matusiwa (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Everton vs Ipswich prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Everton a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ipswich 28%. Everton are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Everton vs Ipswich?

1-1 (11.5%), followed by 1-0 (9.5%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (7.9%) and 0-1 (6.9%).

Will both teams score in Everton vs Ipswich?

The probability that both Everton and Ipswich score is 57%. Everton have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Ipswich 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Everton vs Ipswich?

The model expects 2.85 goals (1.65 for Everton, 1.20 for Ipswich). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.

When and where is Everton vs Ipswich played?

Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Premier League, matchday 5. Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool.

What form are Everton and Ipswich in?

Everton: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded). Ipswich: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 14 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Ipswich?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Everton, 0 for Ipswich and 1 draw.

What was the Everton vs Ipswich result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Everton 1-0 Ipswich. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Everton was the model's favourite outcome (48%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (9.5%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (54%): missed.

How is the Everton vs Ipswich prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.65 for Everton, 1.20 for Ipswich) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained