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Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 00:15 (UK time)

Cucuta vs Llaneros: 2-1 result and AI prediction review

CucutaCucuta2 – 1LlanerosLlaneros

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Cucuta 2-1 Llaneros. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Cucuta at 37%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (35%): missed.

Match analysis

Cucuta and Llaneros met on Sunday, September 27, 2026, a Colombian Primera A fixture. Venue: Estadio General Santander, Cucuta. Before kick-off, our model gave Cucuta a 37% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Llaneros 33%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.5%), followed by 1-0 (13.3%) and 0-1 (12.4%).

Cucuta have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Llaneros have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Cucuta score 1.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Llaneros score 1.40 and concede 1.60. In the table, Cucuta sit 14th with 9 points from 10 games, Llaneros 9th with 14 points from 10. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cucuta, 3 for Llaneros and 2 draws. The most recent ended Llaneros 2-2 Cucuta (Mar 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "Cucuta or draw" stands at 67%, "Llaneros or draw" at 63% and "no draw" at 70%.

In short : Cucuta host Llaneros in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (30%). In the table, Cucuta (14th, 9 pts) host Llaneros (9th, 14 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

37%
Cucuta (Win)
30%
Draw
33%
Llaneros (Win)

Double chance

67%
Cucuta or draw
63%
Llaneros or draw
70%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Cucuta – Llaneros. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 59% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Cucuta 1-1 Llaneros13.5%
Cucuta 1-0 Llaneros13.3%
Cucuta 0-1 Llaneros12.4%
Cucuta 0-0 Llaneros12.2%
Cucuta 2-1 Llaneros7.3%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.09 expected goals for Cucuta and 1.01 for Llaneros, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 35% and "both teams to score" at 42%. Few goals are expected here. Cucuta keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Llaneros in 34%.

Probability
Cucuta expected goals1.09
Llaneros expected goals1.01
Both teams to score42%
Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Cucuta clean sheet36%
Llaneros clean sheet34%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Cucuta

DateOpponentScore
Sep 20, 2026Deportivo Cali · Colombian Primera A0-3L
Sep 14, 2026Millonarios · Colombian Primera A1-2L
Sep 6, 2026Deportivo Pasto · Colombian Primera A2-2D
Sep 1, 2026Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A1-2L
Aug 26, 2026Alianza Valledupar · Colombian Primera A1-0W

Llaneros

DateOpponentScore
Sep 21, 2026Atletico Nacional · Colombian Primera A2-0W
Sep 12, 2026Internacional de Bogota · Colombian Primera A2-3L
Sep 8, 2026Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A1-2L
Sep 2, 2026Quindio · Copa Colombia1-1D
Aug 30, 2026Independiente Medellin · Colombian Primera A1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Cucuta14910
Llaneros91410

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 17, 2026Llaneros 2-2 CucutaPrimera A
Sep 11, 2024Cucuta 0-1 LlanerosPrimera B
May 31, 2024Cucuta 1-3 LlanerosPrimera B
May 26, 2024Llaneros 2-1 CucutaPrimera B
Apr 4, 2024Llaneros 0-0 CucutaPrimera B

Out and doubtful

Cucuta

No absences reported.

Llaneros

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Cucuta

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Montano5/5
  • F. Abadia5/5
  • J. Quinones5/5
  • Y. Abonia5/5
  • D. Calcaterra4/5
  • J. Ceballos4/5
  • Neneco4/5
  • G. Torres3/5
  • K. Tamayo3/5
  • L. Berdugo3/5
  • V. Mejia3/5

Llaneros

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • F. Meza5/5
  • R. Romana Garavito5/5
  • D. Quintero4/5
  • J. Castilla4/5
  • J. Pertuz4/5
  • L. Miranda4/5
  • N. Ospina4/5
  • Y. Mena4/5
  • F. Castaneda3/5
  • H. H. Mena Posada3/5
  • J. Medranda3/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Cucuta vs Llaneros prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Cucuta a 37% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Llaneros 33%. Cucuta are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Cucuta vs Llaneros?

1-1 (13.5%), followed by 1-0 (13.3%), 0-1 (12.4%), 0-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (7.3%).

Will both teams score in Cucuta vs Llaneros?

The probability that both Cucuta and Llaneros score is 42%. Cucuta have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Llaneros 34%.

How many goals should we expect in Cucuta vs Llaneros?

The model expects 2.10 goals (1.09 for Cucuta, 1.01 for Llaneros). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 62%, over 2.5 goals 35%, over 3.5 goals 16%.

When and where is Cucuta vs Llaneros played?

Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 00:15 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio General Santander, Cucuta.

What form are Cucuta and Llaneros in?

Cucuta: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded). Llaneros: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Cucuta and Llaneros?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cucuta, 3 for Llaneros and 2 draws. The most recent ended Llaneros 2-2 Cucuta (Mar 17, 2026).

What was the Cucuta vs Llaneros result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Cucuta 2-1 Llaneros. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Cucuta at 37%. The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.3%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (35%): missed.

How is the Cucuta vs Llaneros prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.09 for Cucuta, 1.01 for Llaneros) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained