Colombian Primera A· Kick-off : Wednesday, September 30, 2026, 00:00 (UK time)
Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Deportivo Pereira take on Santa Fe on Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), a Colombian Primera A fixture. Venue: Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas, Pereira. It is a tight call: 30% for Deportivo Pereira, 27% for the draw and 43% for Santa Fe. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.7%), followed by 0-1 (11.3%) and 1-0 (9.2%).
Deportivo Pereira have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 13. Santa Fe are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 5. Santa Fe therefore arrive in far better shape than Deportivo Pereira. On average Deportivo Pereira score 1.00 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Santa Fe score 1.40 and concede 1.00. In the table, Deportivo Pereira sit 18th with 7 points from 8 games, Santa Fe 8th with 16 points from 10. 10 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo Pereira, 0 for Santa Fe and 1 draw. The most recent ended Santa Fe 2-2 Deportivo Pereira (Jan 28, 2026). In double chance terms, "Deportivo Pereira or draw" stands at 57%, "Santa Fe or draw" at 70% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Our model backs Santa Fe to edge Deportivo Pereira (43% probability). In the table, Deportivo Pereira (18th, 7 pts) host Santa Fe (8th, 16 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 50%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Deportivo Pereira – Santa Fe. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Santa Fe | 12.7% |
| Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Santa Fe | 11.3% |
| Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Santa Fe | 9.2% |
| Deportivo Pereira 1-2 Santa Fe | 8.8% |
| Deportivo Pereira 0-0 Santa Fe | 8.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.12 expected goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.38 for Santa Fe, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 46% and "both teams to score" at 50%. Deportivo Pereira keep a clean sheet in 25% of scenarios, Santa Fe in 33%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira expected goals | 1.12 |
| Santa Fe expected goals | 1.38 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Deportivo Pereira clean sheet | 25% |
| Santa Fe clean sheet | 33% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Deportivo Pereira
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Águilas Doradas · Colombian Primera A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bucaramanga · Colombian Primera A | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 10, 2026 | America de Cali · Copa Colombia | 1-4 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Millonarios · Colombian Primera A | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Independiente Medellin · Colombian Primera A | 0-3 | L |
Santa Fe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama · CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fortaleza FC · Colombian Primera A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Millonarios · Colombian Primera A | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Junior · Colombian Primera A | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 7 | 8 |
| Santa Fe | 8 | 16 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Santa Fe 2-2 Deportivo Pereira | Colombian Primera A |
Out and doubtful
Deportivo Pereira
No absences reported.
Santa Fe
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Deportivo Pereira
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Betancourth5/5
- J. Largacha5/5
- J. Monroy5/5
- D. Ortiz4/5
- W. Pacheco4/5
- Y. Quinones4/5
- F. Mosquera3/5
- J. A. Bermudez Correa3/5
- S. Urrea3/5
- T. Bovone3/5
- E. A. Moreno Gomez2/5
Santa Fe
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Fagundez4/5
- I. R. Scarpeta Silgado4/5
- J. Torres4/5
- W. Asprilla4/5
- D. Torres3/5
- E. Olivera3/5
- L. Palacios3/5
- M. Lovera3/5
- M. Puerta3/5
- N. Bustos3/5
- C. Mafla2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Deportivo Pereira – Internacional de BogotaSep 26, 2026
- Cucuta – LlanerosSep 27, 2026
- Junior – Independiente MedellinSep 27, 2026
- Jaguares – Alianza ValleduparSep 27, 2026
- Fortaleza FC – Deportes TolimaSep 28, 2026
- Deportivo Cali – Águilas DoradasSep 28, 2026
- Independiente Medellin – MillonariosSep 30, 2026
- Atletico Nacional – JuniorOct 1, 2026
- Internacional de Bogota – Once CaldasOct 2, 2026
- Deportivo Cali – Alianza ValleduparOct 3, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe prediction?
Our AI gives Deportivo Pereira a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Santa Fe 43%. Santa Fe are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
1-1 (12.7%), followed by 0-1 (11.3%), 1-0 (9.2%), 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-0 (8.2%).
Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
The probability that both Deportivo Pereira and Santa Fe score is 50%. Deportivo Pereira have a 25% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Santa Fe 33%.
How many goals should we expect in Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe?
The model expects 2.50 goals (1.12 for Deportivo Pereira, 1.38 for Santa Fe). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 71%, over 2.5 goals 46%, over 3.5 goals 24%.
When and where is Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe played?
Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at 00:00 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas, Pereira.
What form are Deportivo Pereira and Santa Fe in?
Deportivo Pereira: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 13 conceded). Santa Fe: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Pereira and Santa Fe?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo Pereira, 0 for Santa Fe and 1 draw. The most recent ended Santa Fe 2-2 Deportivo Pereira (Jan 28, 2026).
How is the Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.12 for Deportivo Pereira, 1.38 for Santa Fe) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Deportivo Pereira predictions
- All Santa Fe predictions
- Colombian Primera A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology