Colombian Primera A· Kick-off : Saturday, October 3, 2026, 01:45 (UK time)
Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Colombian Primera A: the Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar match is scheduled on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 01:45 (UK time). Venue: Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira. With a 78% win probability, Deportivo Cali go in as strong favourites against Alianza Valledupar (8%), with the draw rated at 14%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (13.2%), ahead of 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (10.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Deportivo Cali have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Alianza Valledupar have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with Deportivo Cali. On average Deportivo Cali score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Alianza Valledupar score 0.80 and concede 1.80. In the table, Deportivo Cali sit 5th with 18 points from 10 games, Alianza Valledupar 16th with 8 points from 10. 11 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo Cali, 1 for Alianza Valledupar and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Deportivo Cali (Mar 22, 2026). In double chance terms, "Deportivo Cali or draw" stands at 92%, "Alianza Valledupar or draw" at 22% and "no draw" at 86%.
In short : Deportivo Cali are favourites for this Deportivo Cali v Alianza Valledupar, with a 78% win probability from our model. On recent form, Deportivo Cali have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Alianza Valledupar have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Deportivo Cali – Alianza Valledupar. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali 2-0 Alianza Valledupar | 13.2% |
| Deportivo Cali 3-0 Alianza Valledupar | 11.1% |
| Deportivo Cali 1-0 Alianza Valledupar | 10.4% |
| Deportivo Cali 2-1 Alianza Valledupar | 8.7% |
| Deportivo Cali 3-1 Alianza Valledupar | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.19 goals in total (2.53 for Deportivo Cali, 0.66 for Alianza Valledupar): over 2.5 goals has a 62% probability and both teams to score 45%. Everything points to an open game. Deportivo Cali keep a clean sheet in 52% of scenarios, Alianza Valledupar in 8%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali expected goals | 2.53 |
| Alianza Valledupar expected goals | 0.66 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Deportivo Cali clean sheet | 52% |
| Alianza Valledupar clean sheet | 8% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Deportivo Cali
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Santa Fe · Colombian Primera A | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cucuta · Colombian Primera A | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Once Caldas · Colombian Primera A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Millonarios · Colombian Primera A | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Atletico Nacional · Copa Colombia | 0-3 | L |
Alianza Valledupar
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Santa Fe · Colombian Primera A | 1-4 | L |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Chico · Colombian Primera A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Junior · Colombian Primera A | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Once Caldas · Copa Colombia | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 3, 2026 | America de Cali · Colombian Primera A | 0-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cali | 5 | 18 | 10 |
| Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 8 | 10 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Deportivo Cali | Colombian Primera A |
Out and doubtful
Deportivo Cali
No absences reported.
Alianza Valledupar
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Deportivo Cali
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Bello5/5
- E. Velasco5/5
- F. Alvarez5/5
- F. Viafara5/5
- G. Cuellar5/5
- J. Martinez5/5
- L. Chaverra5/5
- J. C. Caldera Alvis4/5
- N. Benedetti4/5
- J. Dinenno3/5
- P. Gallese3/5
Alianza Valledupar
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Quinones4/5
- E. Beltran4/5
- F. Pardo4/5
- I. Alba4/5
- J. Castillo4/5
- J. Figueroa4/5
- J. Munoz4/5
- J. Viveros4/5
- C. Vergara3/5
- J. Lasso3/5
- W. Fernandez3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Independiente Medellin – MillonariosSep 30, 2026
- Atletico Nacional – JuniorOct 1, 2026
- Internacional de Bogota – Once CaldasOct 2, 2026
- Águilas Doradas – JaguaresOct 3, 2026
- Deportes Tolima – ChicoOct 3, 2026
- Independiente Medellin – Santa FeOct 4, 2026
- Deportivo Pasto – Fortaleza FCOct 4, 2026
- Cucuta – Deportivo PereiraOct 4, 2026
- Bucaramanga – JuniorOct 5, 2026
- Llaneros – America de CaliOct 5, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar prediction?
Our AI gives Deportivo Cali a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Alianza Valledupar 8%. Deportivo Cali are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
2-0 (13.2%), followed by 3-0 (11.1%), 1-0 (10.4%), 2-1 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
The probability that both Deportivo Cali and Alianza Valledupar score is 45%. Deportivo Cali have a 52% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Alianza Valledupar 8%.
How many goals should we expect in Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
The model expects 3.19 goals (2.53 for Deportivo Cali, 0.66 for Alianza Valledupar). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, over 3.5 goals 40%.
When and where is Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar played?
Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 01:45 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira.
What form are Deportivo Cali and Alianza Valledupar in?
Deportivo Cali: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). Alianza Valledupar: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Cali and Alianza Valledupar?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo Cali, 1 for Alianza Valledupar and 0 draws. The most recent ended Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Deportivo Cali (Mar 22, 2026).
How is the Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.53 for Deportivo Cali, 0.66 for Alianza Valledupar) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Deportivo Cali predictions
- All Alianza Valledupar predictions
- Colombian Primera A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology