Colombian Primera A· Kick-off : Sunday, October 4, 2026, 22:05 (UK time)
Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Colombian Primera A: Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira kicks off on Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 22:05 (UK time). Venue: Estadio General Santander. The edge goes to Cucuta (54%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Deportivo Pereira win (22%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.6%), ahead of 1-1 (11.5%) and 2-0 (9.8%).
Cucuta have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 9. Deportivo Pereira have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 13. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Cucuta score 1.00 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Deportivo Pereira score 1.00 and concede 2.60. In the table, Cucuta sit 13th with 9 points from 10 games, Deportivo Pereira 18th with 7 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cucuta, 0 for Deportivo Pereira and 1 draw. The most recent ended Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Cucuta (Mar 24, 2026). In double chance terms, "Cucuta or draw" stands at 78%, "Deportivo Pereira or draw" at 46% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Cucuta are favourites for this Cucuta v Deportivo Pereira, with a 54% win probability from our model. On recent form, Cucuta have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Deportivo Pereira have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Cucuta – Deportivo Pereira. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Cucuta 1-0 Deportivo Pereira | 11.6% |
| Cucuta 1-1 Deportivo Pereira | 11.5% |
| Cucuta 2-0 Deportivo Pereira | 9.8% |
| Cucuta 2-1 Deportivo Pereira | 9.7% |
| Cucuta 0-0 Deportivo Pereira | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.68 for Cucuta, 0.99 for Deportivo Pereira): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Cucuta keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Deportivo Pereira in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Cucuta expected goals | 1.68 |
| Deportivo Pereira expected goals | 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Cucuta clean sheet | 37% |
| Deportivo Pereira clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Cucuta
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Deportivo Cali · Colombian Primera A | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Millonarios · Colombian Primera A | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto · Colombian Primera A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar · Colombian Primera A | 1-0 | W |
Deportivo Pereira
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Águilas Doradas · Colombian Primera A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bucaramanga · Colombian Primera A | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 10, 2026 | America de Cali · Copa Colombia | 1-4 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Millonarios · Colombian Primera A | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Independiente Medellin · Colombian Primera A | 0-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cucuta | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 7 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Cucuta | Colombian Primera A |
Out and doubtful
Cucuta
No absences reported.
Deportivo Pereira
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Cucuta
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Montano5/5
- F. Abadia5/5
- J. Quinones5/5
- Y. Abonia5/5
- D. Calcaterra4/5
- J. Ceballos4/5
- Neneco4/5
- G. Torres3/5
- K. Tamayo3/5
- L. Berdugo3/5
- V. Mejia3/5
Deportivo Pereira
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Betancourth5/5
- J. Largacha5/5
- J. Monroy5/5
- D. Ortiz4/5
- W. Pacheco4/5
- Y. Quinones4/5
- F. Mosquera3/5
- J. A. Bermudez Correa3/5
- S. Urrea3/5
- T. Bovone3/5
- E. A. Moreno Gomez2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Atletico Nacional – JuniorOct 1, 2026
- Internacional de Bogota – Once CaldasOct 2, 2026
- Deportivo Cali – Alianza ValleduparOct 3, 2026
- Águilas Doradas – JaguaresOct 3, 2026
- Deportes Tolima – ChicoOct 3, 2026
- Independiente Medellin – Santa FeOct 4, 2026
- Deportivo Pasto – Fortaleza FCOct 4, 2026
- Bucaramanga – JuniorOct 5, 2026
- Llaneros – America de CaliOct 5, 2026
- Atletico Nacional – Deportes TolimaOct 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira prediction?
Our AI gives Cucuta a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Pereira 22%. Cucuta are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira?
1-0 (11.6%), followed by 1-1 (11.5%), 2-0 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira?
The probability that both Cucuta and Deportivo Pereira score is 51%. Cucuta have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Deportivo Pereira 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.68 for Cucuta, 0.99 for Deportivo Pereira). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira played?
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 22:05 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio General Santander.
What form are Cucuta and Deportivo Pereira in?
Cucuta: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 9 conceded). Deportivo Pereira: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 13 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Cucuta and Deportivo Pereira?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Cucuta, 0 for Deportivo Pereira and 1 draw. The most recent ended Deportivo Pereira 2-2 Cucuta (Mar 24, 2026).
How is the Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.68 for Cucuta, 0.99 for Deportivo Pereira) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Cucuta predictions
- All Deportivo Pereira predictions
- Colombian Primera A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology