Colombian Primera A· Kick-off : Monday, October 5, 2026, 00:10 (UK time)
Bucaramanga vs Junior prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Bucaramanga take on Junior on Monday, October 5, 2026 at 00:10 (UK time), a Colombian Primera A fixture. Our model makes Bucaramanga clear favourites: a 78% chance of winning, against 14% for the draw and 8% for Junior. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (13.1%), followed by 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (10.4%).
Bucaramanga are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 8 and conceding 4. Junior are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 7 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Bucaramanga score 1.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Junior score 1.40 and concede 1.00. In the table, Bucaramanga sit 6th with 17 points from 9 games, Junior 20th with 6 points from 8. 14 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Bucaramanga, 1 for Junior and 0 draws. The most recent ended Junior 2-0 Bucaramanga (Mar 24, 2026). In double chance terms, "Bucaramanga or draw" stands at 92%, "Junior or draw" at 22% and "no draw" at 86%.
In short : Bucaramanga are favourites for this Bucaramanga v Junior, with a 78% win probability from our model. On recent form, Bucaramanga have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Junior have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Bucaramanga – Junior. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bucaramanga 2-0 Junior | 13.1% |
| Bucaramanga 3-0 Junior | 11.1% |
| Bucaramanga 1-0 Junior | 10.4% |
| Bucaramanga 2-1 Junior | 8.7% |
| Bucaramanga 3-1 Junior | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.54 expected goals for Bucaramanga and 0.66 for Junior, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 62% and "both teams to score" at 45%. Goals look likely in this one. Bucaramanga keep a clean sheet in 52% of scenarios, Junior in 8%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Bucaramanga expected goals | 2.54 |
| Junior expected goals | 0.66 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Bucaramanga clean sheet | 52% |
| Junior clean sheet | 8% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Bucaramanga
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota · Colombian Primera A | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Independiente Medellin · Colombian Primera A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira · Colombian Primera A | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Deportivo Cali · Colombian Primera A | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A | 0-0 | D |
Junior
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Santa Fe · Primera A | 0-0 | D |
| May 21, 2026 | Sporting Cristal · CONMEBOL Libertadores | 3-2 | W |
| May 17, 2026 | Santa Fe · Primera A | 1-1 | D |
| May 14, 2026 | Once Caldas · Primera A | 2-2 | D |
| May 11, 2026 | Once Caldas · Primera A | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bucaramanga | 6 | 17 | 9 |
| Junior | 20 | 6 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | Junior 2-0 Bucaramanga | Colombian Primera A |
Out and doubtful
Bucaramanga
No absences reported.
Junior
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Bucaramanga
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Fiermarin5/5
- C. Romana5/5
- E. Batalla5/5
- F. Charrupi5/5
- F. Hinestroza5/5
- J. Ortiz5/5
- L. Pons5/5
- F. Sambueza4/5
- N. Castrillon4/5
- J. Garcia3/5
- L. Flores3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Atletico Nacional – JuniorOct 1, 2026
- Internacional de Bogota – Once CaldasOct 2, 2026
- Deportivo Cali – Alianza ValleduparOct 3, 2026
- Águilas Doradas – JaguaresOct 3, 2026
- Deportes Tolima – ChicoOct 3, 2026
- Independiente Medellin – Santa FeOct 4, 2026
- Cucuta – Deportivo PereiraOct 4, 2026
- Llaneros – America de CaliOct 5, 2026
- Atletico Nacional – Deportes TolimaOct 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Bucaramanga vs Junior prediction?
Our AI gives Bucaramanga a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Junior 8%. Bucaramanga are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Bucaramanga vs Junior?
2-0 (13.1%), followed by 3-0 (11.1%), 1-0 (10.4%), 2-1 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Bucaramanga vs Junior?
The probability that both Bucaramanga and Junior score is 45%. Bucaramanga have a 52% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Junior 8%.
How many goals should we expect in Bucaramanga vs Junior?
The model expects 3.20 goals (2.54 for Bucaramanga, 0.66 for Junior). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, over 3.5 goals 40%.
When and where is Bucaramanga vs Junior played?
Monday, October 5, 2026 at 00:10 (UK time), Colombian Primera A.
What form are Bucaramanga and Junior in?
Bucaramanga: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded). Junior: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Bucaramanga and Junior?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Bucaramanga, 1 for Junior and 0 draws. The most recent ended Junior 2-0 Bucaramanga (Mar 24, 2026).
How is the Bucaramanga vs Junior prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.54 for Bucaramanga, 0.66 for Junior) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Bucaramanga predictions
- All Junior predictions
- Colombian Primera A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology