Colombian Primera A· Kick-off : Saturday, October 3, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Águilas Doradas take on Jaguares on Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), a Colombian Primera A fixture. Venue: Estadio Cincuentenario. With a 64% win probability, Águilas Doradas go in as strong favourites against Jaguares (15%), with the draw rated at 21%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.7%), ahead of 2-0 (11.6%) and 1-1 (10.0%).
Águilas Doradas have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 9. Jaguares have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 9 and conceding 9. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Águilas Doradas score 1.20 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Jaguares score 1.80 and concede 1.80. In the table, Águilas Doradas sit 11th with 11 points from 9 games, Jaguares 19th with 7 points from 9. 8 places separate the two sides.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Águilas Doradas, 0 for Jaguares and 1 draw. The most recent ended Jaguares 1-1 Águilas Doradas (Mar 23, 2026). In double chance terms, "Águilas Doradas or draw" stands at 85%, "Jaguares or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Águilas Doradas are favourites for this Águilas Doradas v Jaguares, with a 64% win probability from our model. On recent form, Águilas Doradas have 0 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Jaguares have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Águilas Doradas – Jaguares. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Águilas Doradas 1-0 Jaguares | 11.7% |
| Águilas Doradas 2-0 Jaguares | 11.6% |
| Águilas Doradas 1-1 Jaguares | 10.0% |
| Águilas Doradas 2-1 Jaguares | 9.8% |
| Águilas Doradas 3-0 Jaguares | 7.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.82 goals in total (1.97 for Águilas Doradas, 0.85 for Jaguares): over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability and both teams to score 49%. Águilas Doradas keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Jaguares in 14%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Águilas Doradas expected goals | 1.97 |
| Jaguares expected goals | 0.85 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Águilas Doradas clean sheet | 43% |
| Jaguares clean sheet | 14% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Águilas Doradas
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | America de Cali · Colombian Primera A | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira · Colombian Primera A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Atletico Nacional · Colombian Primera A | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota · Colombian Primera A | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Chico · Colombian Primera A | 2-2 | D |
Jaguares
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Independiente Medellin · Colombian Primera A | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fortaleza FC · Colombian Primera A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Junior · Colombian Primera A | 3-3 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | America de Cali · Colombian Primera A | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chico · Colombian Primera A | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas Doradas | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| Jaguares | 19 | 7 | 9 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | Jaguares 1-1 Águilas Doradas | Colombian Primera A |
Out and doubtful
Águilas Doradas
No absences reported.
Jaguares
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Águilas Doradas
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Mosquera5/5
- A. Ricaurte5/5
- F. Lozano5/5
- J. Mena5/5
- J. Ontaneda5/5
- J. Soto5/5
- E. Arizalas4/5
- A. Vasquez3/5
- J. E. Avalo Trejos3/5
- I. Rojas2/5
- J. Melendez2/5
Jaguares
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Renteria5/5
- C. Henao5/5
- J. Arcila5/5
- J. Franco5/5
- R. Bustamante5/5
- R. R. Colpa Bolano5/5
- F. Mosquera4/5
- W. De La Rosa4/5
- J. Malagon3/5
- J. Mejia3/5
- Jopito3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Deportivo Pereira – Santa FeSep 30, 2026
- Independiente Medellin – MillonariosSep 30, 2026
- Atletico Nacional – JuniorOct 1, 2026
- Internacional de Bogota – Once CaldasOct 2, 2026
- Deportivo Cali – Alianza ValleduparOct 3, 2026
- Deportes Tolima – ChicoOct 3, 2026
- Independiente Medellin – Santa FeOct 4, 2026
- Cucuta – Deportivo PereiraOct 4, 2026
- Bucaramanga – JuniorOct 5, 2026
- Llaneros – America de CaliOct 5, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares prediction?
Our AI gives Águilas Doradas a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jaguares 15%. Águilas Doradas are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 2-0 (11.6%), 1-1 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (7.6%).
Will both teams score in Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares?
The probability that both Águilas Doradas and Jaguares score is 49%. Águilas Doradas have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Jaguares 14%.
How many goals should we expect in Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares?
The model expects 2.82 goals (1.97 for Águilas Doradas, 0.85 for Jaguares). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 31%.
When and where is Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares played?
Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Cincuentenario.
What form are Águilas Doradas and Jaguares in?
Águilas Doradas: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 9 conceded). Jaguares: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Águilas Doradas and Jaguares?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Águilas Doradas, 0 for Jaguares and 1 draw. The most recent ended Jaguares 1-1 Águilas Doradas (Mar 23, 2026).
How is the Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.97 for Águilas Doradas, 0.85 for Jaguares) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Águilas Doradas predictions
- All Jaguares predictions
- Colombian Primera A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology