Skip to content
Elofoot

Colombian Primera AColombian Primera A· Kick-off : Sunday, October 4, 2026, 22:05 (UK time)

Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas: 1-1 result and AI prediction review

Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1 – 1Once CaldasOnce Caldas

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: Internacional de Bogota 1-1 Once Caldas. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Internacional de Bogota (49%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

Match analysis

Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas was played on Sunday, October 4, 2026 (Colombian Primera A). Venue: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Before kick-off, our model gave Internacional de Bogota a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Once Caldas 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.0%), ahead of 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.4%).

Over their last 5 matches, Internacional de Bogota have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Once Caldas have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Internacional de Bogota score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Once Caldas score 0.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Internacional de Bogota sit 12th with 12 points from 12 games, Once Caldas 11th with 12 points from 11. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Internacional de Bogota, 4 for Once Caldas and 1 draw. The most recent ended Once Caldas 2-1 Internacional de Bogota (Apr 21, 2026). In double chance terms, "Internacional de Bogota or draw" stands at 74%, "Once Caldas or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : Internacional de Bogota are tipped by our AI model in this Internacional de Bogota v Once Caldas (49%). On recent form, Internacional de Bogota have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Once Caldas have 2 wins, 0 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

49%
Internacional de Bogota (Win)
25%
Draw
26%
Once Caldas (Win)

Double chance

74%
Internacional de Bogota or draw
51%
Once Caldas or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Internacional de Bogota – Once Caldas. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Internacional de Bogota 1-1 Once Caldas12.0%
Internacional de Bogota 1-0 Once Caldas11.3%
Internacional de Bogota 2-1 Once Caldas9.4%
Internacional de Bogota 2-0 Once Caldas8.9%
Internacional de Bogota 0-1 Once Caldas7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.63 goals in total (1.57 for Internacional de Bogota, 1.06 for Once Caldas): over 2.5 goals has a 49% probability and both teams to score 52%. Internacional de Bogota keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Once Caldas in 21%.

Probability
Internacional de Bogota expected goals1.57
Once Caldas expected goals1.06
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Internacional de Bogota clean sheet35%
Once Caldas clean sheet21%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Internacional de Bogota

DateOpponentScore
Sep 26, 2026Deportivo Pereira · Colombian Primera A0-0D
Sep 20, 2026Bucaramanga · Colombian Primera A0-2L
Sep 17, 2026Atletico Nacional · Colombian Primera A2-3L
Sep 12, 2026Llaneros · Colombian Primera A3-2W
Sep 10, 2026Real Cundinamarca · Copa Colombia2-1W

Once Caldas

DateOpponentScore
Sep 26, 2026Bucaramanga · Colombian Primera A1-3L
Sep 20, 2026Deportivo Pasto · Colombian Primera A0-1L
Sep 17, 2026Deportes Tolima · Colombian Primera A1-0W
Sep 14, 2026Deportivo Cali · Colombian Primera A1-2L
Sep 10, 2026Alianza Valledupar · Copa Colombia1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Internacional de Bogota121212
Once Caldas111211

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 21, 2026Once Caldas 2-1 Internacional de BogotaPrimera A
Oct 7, 2025Internacional de Bogota 0-1 Once CaldasPrimera A
Apr 16, 2025Once Caldas 3-0 Internacional de BogotaPrimera A
Aug 4, 2024Internacional de Bogota 1-1 Once CaldasPrimera A
May 31, 2024Internacional de Bogota 1-2 Once CaldasPrimera A

Out and doubtful

Internacional de Bogota

No absences reported.

Once Caldas

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Internacional de Bogota

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • J. Castro5/5
  • D. Duarte4/5
  • D. S. Victoria Palacios4/5
  • F. Sanguinetti4/5
  • M. Pernia4/5
  • A. Irazoque3/5
  • F. Bone3/5
  • J. Caballero3/5
  • L. Vasquez3/5
  • M. Rodas3/5
  • W. Farinez3/5

Once Caldas

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • A. Colorado5/5
  • A. Correa5/5
  • A. Roa5/5
  • D. Londono4/5
  • J. D. Cuesta Santos4/5
  • J. Parra4/5
  • M. Barrios4/5
  • D. Moreno3/5
  • J. Alvarado3/5
  • J. A. Zapata Ramirez2/5
  • J. Cardona2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Internacional de Bogota a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Once Caldas 26%. Internacional de Bogota are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.

What is the most likely correct score for Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas?

1-1 (12.0%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.4%), 2-0 (8.9%) and 0-1 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas?

The probability that both Internacional de Bogota and Once Caldas score is 52%. Internacional de Bogota have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Once Caldas 21%.

How many goals should we expect in Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas?

The model expects 2.63 goals (1.57 for Internacional de Bogota, 1.06 for Once Caldas). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas played?

Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 22:05 (UK time), Colombian Primera A. Venue: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.

What form are Internacional de Bogota and Once Caldas in?

Internacional de Bogota: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). Once Caldas: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Internacional de Bogota and Once Caldas?

In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Internacional de Bogota, 4 for Once Caldas and 1 draw. The most recent ended Once Caldas 2-1 Internacional de Bogota (Apr 21, 2026).

What was the Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Internacional de Bogota 1-1 Once Caldas. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Internacional de Bogota (49%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The exact score 1-1 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (12.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): correct.

How is the Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.57 for Internacional de Bogota, 1.06 for Once Caldas) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained