Chilean Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 15:30 (UK time)
A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: A. Italiano 0-1 Coquimbo Unido. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for A. Italiano (51%), while victory for Coquimbo Unido was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (8.4%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): correct.
Match analysis
A. Italiano and Coquimbo Unido met on Sunday, November 8, 2026, a Chilean Primera División, matchday 27 fixture. Venue: Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, La Florida. Before kick-off, our model gave A. Italiano a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Coquimbo Unido 22%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (14.2%), followed by 1-1 (12.3%) and 2-0 (10.4%).
A. Italiano have not won any of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Coquimbo Unido have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Coquimbo Unido therefore arrive in far better shape than A. Italiano. On average A. Italiano score 0.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Coquimbo Unido score 2.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, A. Italiano sit 13th with 30 points from 26 games, Coquimbo Unido 9th with 35 points from 25. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, A. Italiano have averaged 1.58 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.81 for Coquimbo Unido.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for A. Italiano, 1 for Coquimbo Unido and 0 draws. The most recent ended Coquimbo Unido 3-0 A. Italiano (May 16, 2026). In double chance terms, "A. Italiano or draw" stands at 78%, "Coquimbo Unido or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Our model backs A. Italiano to edge Coquimbo Unido (51% probability). In the table, A. Italiano (13th, 30 pts) host Coquimbo Unido (9th, 35 pts). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as A. Italiano – Coquimbo Unido. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 56% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| A. Italiano 1-0 Coquimbo Unido | 14.2% |
| A. Italiano 1-1 Coquimbo Unido | 12.3% |
| A. Italiano 2-0 Coquimbo Unido | 10.4% |
| A. Italiano 0-0 Coquimbo Unido | 9.6% |
| A. Italiano 2-1 Coquimbo Unido | 9.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.47 expected goals for A. Italiano and 0.87 for Coquimbo Unido, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 42% and "both teams to score" at 45%. Few goals are expected here. A. Italiano keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Coquimbo Unido in 23%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| A. Italiano expected goals | 1.47 |
| Coquimbo Unido expected goals | 0.87 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| A. Italiano clean sheet | 42% |
| Coquimbo Unido clean sheet | 23% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
A. Italiano
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Deportes Limache · Chilean Primera División | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 28, 2026 | U. Catolica · Chilean Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Huachipato · Chilean Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Colo Colo · Copa Chile | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Colo Colo · Copa Chile | 0-0 | D |
Coquimbo Unido
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Union La Calera · Copa Chile | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Union La Calera · Chilean Primera División | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Nublense · Chilean Primera División | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Colo Colo · Chilean Primera División | 5-2 | W |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Cobreloa · Copa Chile | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Italiano | 13 | 30 | 26 |
| Coquimbo Unido | 9 | 35 | 25 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido 3-0 A. Italiano | Chilean Primera División |
Out and doubtful
A. Italiano
No absences reported.
Coquimbo Unido
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
A. Italiano
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Ortiz5/5
- F. Salomoni4/5
- M. Collao4/5
- T. Ahumada4/5
- C. Pinares3/5
- D. Coelho3/5
- D. Monreal3/5
- F. Troyansky3/5
- G. Chiaverano3/5
- M. Fuentes3/5
- R. Rebolledo3/5
Coquimbo Unido
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Gazzolo2/4
- C. Zavala2/4
- D. Sánchez2/4
- F. Salinas2/4
- G. Vadalá2/4
- J. Cornejo2/4
- L. Riveros2/4
- M. Fernández2/4
- S. Cabrera2/4
- S. Cordero2/4
- S. Galani2/4
Other matches in this competition
- D. La Serena 1-0 PalestinoNov 7, 2026
- Everton de Vina 0-2 ConcepciónNov 7, 2026
- U. Catolica 3-0 Deportes LimacheNov 8, 2026
- Universidad de Chile 2-1 CobresalNov 8, 2026
- Nublense 1-2 Colo ColoNov 8, 2026
- Union La Calera 1-0 HuachipatoNov 8, 2026
- Universidad de Concepcion 3-2 O'HigginsNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave A. Italiano a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Coquimbo Unido 22%. A. Italiano are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?
1-0 (14.2%), followed by 1-1 (12.3%), 2-0 (10.4%), 0-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.1%).
Will both teams score in A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?
The probability that both A. Italiano and Coquimbo Unido score is 45%. A. Italiano have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Coquimbo Unido 23%.
How many goals should we expect in A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?
The model expects 2.34 goals (1.47 for A. Italiano, 0.87 for Coquimbo Unido). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 68%, over 2.5 goals 42%, over 3.5 goals 21%.
When and where is A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido played?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 15:30 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 27. Venue: Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, La Florida.
What form are A. Italiano and Coquimbo Unido in?
A. Italiano: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 5 conceded). Coquimbo Unido: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between A. Italiano and Coquimbo Unido?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for A. Italiano, 1 for Coquimbo Unido and 0 draws. The most recent ended Coquimbo Unido 3-0 A. Italiano (May 16, 2026).
What was the A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: A. Italiano 0-1 Coquimbo Unido. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for A. Italiano (51%), while victory for Coquimbo Unido was rated at only 22%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (8.4%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): correct.
How is the A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.47 for A. Italiano, 0.87 for Coquimbo Unido) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All A. Italiano predictions
- All Coquimbo Unido predictions
- Chilean Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology