Chilean Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 20:30 (UK time)
Union La Calera vs Huachipato: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Union La Calera 1-0 Huachipato. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Huachipato (54%), while victory for Union La Calera was rated at only 19%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (8.2%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (41%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): correct.
Match analysis
Union La Calera and Huachipato met on Sunday, November 8, 2026, a Chilean Primera División, matchday 27 fixture. Venue: Municipal Nicolas Chahuan , La Calera. Before kick-off, our model gave Union La Calera a 19% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Huachipato 54%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (16.0%), followed by 1-1 (12.0%) and 0-2 (11.7%).
Union La Calera have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 5. Huachipato are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 5 and conceding 1. Huachipato therefore arrive in far better shape than Union La Calera. On average Union La Calera score 0.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Huachipato score 1.00 and concede 0.20. In the table, Union La Calera sit 16th with 21 points from 26 games, Huachipato 11th with 33 points from 25. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Union La Calera have averaged 0.89 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.23 for Huachipato.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Union La Calera, 1 for Huachipato and 0 draws. The most recent ended Huachipato 3-1 Union La Calera (May 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "Union La Calera or draw" stands at 46%, "Huachipato or draw" at 81% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Huachipato are tipped by our AI model in this Union La Calera v Huachipato (54%). In the table, Union La Calera (16th, 21 pts) host Huachipato (11th, 33 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Union La Calera – Huachipato. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (16.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 60% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Union La Calera 0-1 Huachipato | 16.0% |
| Union La Calera 1-1 Huachipato | 12.0% |
| Union La Calera 0-2 Huachipato | 11.7% |
| Union La Calera 0-0 Huachipato | 11.0% |
| Union La Calera 1-2 Huachipato | 8.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.75 expected goals for Union La Calera and 1.46 for Huachipato, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 38% and "both teams to score" at 41%. Few goals are expected here. Union La Calera keep a clean sheet in 23% of scenarios, Huachipato in 47%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Union La Calera expected goals | 0.75 |
| Huachipato expected goals | 1.46 |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Union La Calera clean sheet | 23% |
| Huachipato clean sheet | 47% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Union La Calera
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido · Copa Chile | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido · Chilean Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 25, 2026 | U. Catolica · Chilean Primera División | 3-1 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Concepción · Chilean Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | U. Catolica · Copa Chile | 0-0 | D |
Huachipato
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | D. La Serena · Chilean Primera División | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 24, 2026 | A. Italiano · Chilean Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | O'Higgins · Chilean Primera División | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion · Chilean Primera División | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Colo Colo · Chilean Primera División | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union La Calera | 16 | 21 | 26 |
| Huachipato | 11 | 33 | 25 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Huachipato 3-1 Union La Calera | Chilean Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Union La Calera
No absences reported.
Huachipato
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Union La Calera
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Salomoni4/4
- N. Avellaneda4/4
- C. Díaz3/4
- C. Gutiérrez3/4
- C. Moya3/4
- D. Gutiérrez3/4
- J. Cruz3/4
- R. Pérez3/4
- S. Sáez3/4
- B. Ferreyra2/4
- M. Campos2/4
Huachipato
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Toro4/5
- R. Caroca4/5
- H. Antiñirre3/5
- K. Altez3/5
- M. Briceño3/5
- M. León3/5
- M. Rodríguez3/5
- S. Mella3/5
- S. Núñez3/5
- C. Sepúlveda2/5
- P. Vargas2/5
Other matches in this competition
- D. La Serena 1-0 PalestinoNov 7, 2026
- Everton de Vina 0-2 ConcepciónNov 7, 2026
- A. Italiano 0-1 Coquimbo UnidoNov 8, 2026
- U. Catolica 3-0 Deportes LimacheNov 8, 2026
- Universidad de Chile 2-1 CobresalNov 8, 2026
- Nublense 1-2 Colo ColoNov 8, 2026
- Universidad de Concepcion 3-2 O'HigginsNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Union La Calera vs Huachipato prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Union La Calera a 19% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Huachipato 54%. Huachipato are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Union La Calera vs Huachipato?
0-1 (16.0%), followed by 1-1 (12.0%), 0-2 (11.7%), 0-0 (11.0%) and 1-2 (8.8%).
Will both teams score in Union La Calera vs Huachipato?
The probability that both Union La Calera and Huachipato score is 41%. Union La Calera have a 23% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Huachipato 47%.
How many goals should we expect in Union La Calera vs Huachipato?
The model expects 2.21 goals (0.75 for Union La Calera, 1.46 for Huachipato). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 38%, over 3.5 goals 18%.
When and where is Union La Calera vs Huachipato played?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 20:30 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 27. Venue: Municipal Nicolas Chahuan , La Calera.
What form are Union La Calera and Huachipato in?
Union La Calera: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded). Huachipato: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 1 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Union La Calera and Huachipato?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Union La Calera, 1 for Huachipato and 0 draws. The most recent ended Huachipato 3-1 Union La Calera (May 17, 2026).
What was the Union La Calera vs Huachipato result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Union La Calera 1-0 Huachipato. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Huachipato (54%), while victory for Union La Calera was rated at only 19%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (8.2%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (41%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (38%): correct.
How is the Union La Calera vs Huachipato prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.75 for Union La Calera, 1.46 for Huachipato) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Union La Calera predictions
- All Huachipato predictions
- Chilean Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology