Chilean Primera División· Kick-off : Sunday, November 8, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Nublense vs Colo Colo: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Nublense 1-2 Colo Colo. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Colo Colo was the model's favourite outcome (56%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (9.0%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): missed.
Match analysis
Nublense vs Colo Colo was played on Sunday, November 8, 2026 (Chilean Primera División, matchday 27). Venue: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas, Chillan. Before kick-off, our model gave Nublense a 18% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Colo Colo 56%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (15.4%), ahead of 0-2 (11.9%) and 1-1 (11.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Nublense have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Over their last 5 matches, Colo Colo have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Recent momentum is clearly with Colo Colo. On average Nublense score 0.80 and concede 2.20 goals per game; Colo Colo score 2.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Nublense sit 10th with 35 points from 26 games, Colo Colo 1st with 58 points from 26. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Nublense have averaged 0.91 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.29 for Colo Colo.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Nublense, 1 for Colo Colo and 0 draws. The most recent ended Colo Colo 6-2 Nublense (May 17, 2026). In double chance terms, "Nublense or draw" stands at 44%, "Colo Colo or draw" at 82% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Our model backs Colo Colo to edge Nublense (56% probability). In the table, Nublense (10th, 35 pts) host Colo Colo (1st, 58 pts). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Nublense – Colo Colo. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (15.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Nublense 0-1 Colo Colo | 15.4% |
| Nublense 0-2 Colo Colo | 11.9% |
| Nublense 1-1 Colo Colo | 11.7% |
| Nublense 0-0 Colo Colo | 10.0% |
| Nublense 1-2 Colo Colo | 9.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.30 goals in total (0.76 for Nublense, 1.54 for Colo Colo): over 2.5 goals has a 40% probability and both teams to score 42%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Nublense keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Colo Colo in 47%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Nublense expected goals | 0.76 |
| Colo Colo expected goals | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Nublense clean sheet | 21% |
| Colo Colo clean sheet | 47% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Nublense
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | O'Higgins · Chilean Primera División | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido · Chilean Primera División | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Universidad de Chile · Chilean Primera División | 0-6 | L |
| Sep 26, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt · Copa Chile | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 22, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt · Copa Chile | 0-2 | L |
Colo Colo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt · Copa Chile | 3-0 | W |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion · Chilean Primera División | 6-1 | W |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Palestino · Chilean Primera División | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido · Chilean Primera División | 2-5 | L |
| Sep 29, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt · Copa Chile | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 10 | 35 | 26 |
| Colo Colo | 1 | 58 | 26 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Colo Colo 6-2 Nublense | Chilean Primera División |
Out and doubtful
Nublense
No absences reported.
Colo Colo
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Nublense
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Reyes4/5
- M. Plaza4/5
- S. Valencia4/5
- E. Calderón3/5
- G. Graciani3/5
- J. Campusano3/5
- N. Pérez3/5
- D. Céspedes2/5
- F. Campos2/5
- F. Campos Mosqueira2/5
- F. Ovelar2/5
Colo Colo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Vidal4/5
- J. Correa4/5
- J. Rojas4/5
- F. Marchant3/5
- A. Madrid2/5
- Á. Madrid2/5
- C. Diaz2/5
- E. Villanueva2/5
- E. Wiemberg2/5
- G Díaz2/5
- J. Sosa2/5
Other matches in this competition
- D. La Serena 1-0 PalestinoNov 7, 2026
- Everton de Vina 0-2 ConcepciónNov 7, 2026
- A. Italiano 0-1 Coquimbo UnidoNov 8, 2026
- U. Catolica 3-0 Deportes LimacheNov 8, 2026
- Universidad de Chile 2-1 CobresalNov 8, 2026
- Union La Calera 1-0 HuachipatoNov 8, 2026
- Universidad de Concepcion 3-2 O'HigginsNov 8, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Nublense vs Colo Colo prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Nublense a 18% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Colo Colo 56%. Colo Colo are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Nublense vs Colo Colo?
0-1 (15.4%), followed by 0-2 (11.9%), 1-1 (11.7%), 0-0 (10.0%) and 1-2 (9.0%).
Will both teams score in Nublense vs Colo Colo?
The probability that both Nublense and Colo Colo score is 42%. Nublense have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Colo Colo 47%.
How many goals should we expect in Nublense vs Colo Colo?
The model expects 2.30 goals (0.76 for Nublense, 1.54 for Colo Colo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 67%, over 2.5 goals 40%, over 3.5 goals 20%.
When and where is Nublense vs Colo Colo played?
Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), Chilean Primera División, matchday 27. Venue: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas, Chillan.
What form are Nublense and Colo Colo in?
Nublense: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 11 conceded). Colo Colo: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Nublense and Colo Colo?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Nublense, 1 for Colo Colo and 0 draws. The most recent ended Colo Colo 6-2 Nublense (May 17, 2026).
What was the Nublense vs Colo Colo result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Nublense 1-2 Colo Colo. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Colo Colo was the model's favourite outcome (56%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (9.0%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): missed.
How is the Nublense vs Colo Colo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.76 for Nublense, 1.54 for Colo Colo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Nublense predictions
- All Colo Colo predictions
- Chilean Primera División predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology